Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
84 79 88 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Insufficient record: 2 predictions resolved, 5 needed for a score.
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Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
Insufficient record: 3 promises resolved, 5 needed for a score.
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Guidance
A company's own figures for its results over a period, checked against what it then reported.
Insufficient record: 1 guidance claim resolved, 5 needed for a score.
All types combined: 84 (likely 79 to 88, high confidence), from 90 claims: 90 factual claims. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Jeff Bezos's claims
35 claims
“Our e-commerce platform is composed of a federation of hundreds of software services that work in concert to deliver functionality ranging from recommendations to order fulfillment to inventory tracking.”
Jeff Bezos, CEO, in shareholder letter 2011 2010 Letter to Shareholders (SEC (Amazon))
Amazon's e-commerce platform is a federation of hundreds of software services covering recommendations, order fulfillment and inventory tracking.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
Judge as of 2011. True: Amazon technical publications or credible accounts from around that time show that its e-commerce platform was built as a service-oriented architecture of hundreds of software services, including functions such as recommendations, order fulfillment and inventory tracking. Mostly true: the architecture is accurately described, but the number of services was materially different (for example, dozens, or thousands) or one of the named functions is described inaccurately. Mixed: the platform was partly service-based but still largely monolithic. Mostly false: service-based architecture existed only in a small part of the platform and is presented as the whole. False: the platform was not built from such services.
Evidence
- SOA Technology @Amazon n-chandra (personal blog, Blogspot) · 19 August 2011
“If 200+ services are called to render a single page, dependencies and handling failures becomes a critical aspect.”
- Managing Data in Microservices InfoQ · 16 April 2018
“Amazon.com rewrote everything from 2000 to 2005 in a service-oriented architecture.”
Reasoning
E4 (InfoQ, 2018) says Amazon.com rewrote its system from 2000 to 2005 as a service-oriented architecture. E3 (a personal blog from 2011) describes 200+ services being called to render a single page. Together they support the main claim: by 2011 the platform was built from hundreds of services. Neither source confirms the named functions (recommendations, order fulfillment, inventory tracking), and E3 is an informal source, so the claim is supported in substance but not in full.
Cite this claim
Jeff Bezos, “Amazon's e-commerce platform is a federation of hundreds of software services covering recommendations, order fulfillment and inventory tracking.” (said 2011). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_ccb93bab00dc, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_ccb93bab00dc
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Jeff Bezos? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.