Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
84 79 88 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Insufficient record: 2 predictions resolved, 5 needed for a score.
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Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
Insufficient record: 3 promises resolved, 5 needed for a score.
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Guidance
A company's own figures for its results over a period, checked against what it then reported.
Insufficient record: 1 guidance claim resolved, 5 needed for a score.
All types combined: 84 (likely 79 to 88, high confidence), from 90 claims: 90 factual claims. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Jeff Bezos's claims
4 claims
| Verdict | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostly false | Promise | 6 Oct 2025 | Blue Origin will launch its New Glenn vehicle at the end of October or the first week of November 2025, sending NASA's Escapade satellite into orbit around Mars. Promise · 6 Oct 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Factual | 20 Sep 2018 | Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket factory in Florida is a 650,000-square-foot manufacturing facility. Factual · 20 Sep 2018 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Factual | 17 Apr 2017 | Jeff Bezos frequently uses "disagree and commit" on decisions himself. Factual · 17 Apr 2017 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Factual | 2 Apr 2001 | Amazon's U.S. books, music and video segment showed a $125 million operating profit in Q3 2000, its second profitable quarter. Factual · 2 Apr 2001 | Economics and markets |
“This is a 650,000-square-foot manufacturing facility.”
Jeff Bezos, Blue Origin founder, narrating video 20 September 2018 Full transcript: Jeff Bezos shares Amazon management wisdom (GeekWire)
Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket factory in Florida is a 650,000-square-foot manufacturing facility.
Mostly false False in substance, right in a detail.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
TRUE: Blue Origin records, permits or credible reporting show that its New Glenn manufacturing facility at Exploration Park, Florida, measured about 650,000 sq ft as of 2018-09-20, within about 5%. MOSTLY TRUE: within about 10%. MOSTLY FALSE: the 650,000 figure refers to a different scope, such as the whole campus or planned rather than built space, or the actual figure differs by 10 to 25%. FALSE: the facility's size differed by more than 25%.
Evidence
- Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin has big plans to expand New Glenn rocket factory in Florida GeekWire · 23 March 2019
“Blue Origin has erected a 750,000-square-foot factory on the 126-acre North Campus site for building orbital-class New Glenn rockets.”
- Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin makes a deal to build rocket servicing center in Florida GeekWire · 4 October 2018
“$205 million, 750,000-square-foot New Glenn rocket manufacturing factory that Blue Origin already has built in Florida.”
- Blue Origin's Giant Rocket Facility is Taking Shape in Florida Space.com · 8 December 2016
“Just a very short note to update you on the 750,000 square-foot New Glenn rocket factory”
Reasoning
Three independent reports give the New Glenn factory in Florida as 750,000 square feet, not 650,000. These are Space.com in December 2016 (E3), and GeekWire in October 2018 (E2) and March 2019 (E1). E2, published about two weeks after the claim date, says the 750,000-square-foot factory was already built. The 650,000 figure is about 13% below the reported size, which falls in the 10–25% band the criteria set for mostly false.
Cite this claim
Jeff Bezos, “Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket factory in Florida is a 650,000-square-foot manufacturing facility.” (said 20 September 2018). Verdict: mostly false. Reliability API, claim c_27d1d856d23a, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_27d1d856d23a
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Jeff Bezos? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.