Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
77 71 83 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
58 38 77
All types combined: 75 (likely 70 to 81, high confidence), from 85 claims: 79 factual claims, 6 predictions. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Bill Gates's claims
10 claims
“Or all of them that I know, which is basically everybody but Elon.”
Bill Gates, interviewed by GeekWire 29 August 2026 Bill Gates in his own words: How he's using AI, and why he's worried about the future (GeekWire)
Of the AI leaders Bill Gates knows, everybody but Elon Musk is worried about AI.
Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.
Reasoning
It rests on Gates's private knowledge of his acquaintances' views.
Cite this claim
Bill Gates, “Of the AI leaders Bill Gates knows, everybody but Elon Musk is worried about AI.” (said 29 August 2026). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_9b8eda00a8ee, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_9b8eda00a8ee
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Bill Gates? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.