Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
76 70 81 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
68 54 82 -
Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
Insufficient record: 3 promises resolved, 5 needed for a score.
All types combined: 74 (likely 69 to 80, high confidence), from 96 claims: 82 factual claims, 14 predictions. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Bill Ackman's claims
29 claims
“and trade at 19 times our estimate of current earnings per share”
Pershing Square Holdings letter signed by Bill Ackman, CEO 12 August 2026 Pershing Square H1 2026 Letter To Shareholders (Seeking Alpha)
Pershing Square's portfolio companies trade at 19 times its estimate of current earnings per share.
Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
Reasoning
Based on Pershing Square's own internal earnings estimates.
Cite this claim
Bill Ackman, “Pershing Square's portfolio companies trade at 19 times its estimate of current earnings per share.” (said 12 August 2026). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_4f336ee9e783, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_4f336ee9e783
Claims without a verdict
- Unresolvable 135
- Not yet due 9
- Own records only 29
- Not researched 162
- Not checkable 431
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Bill Ackman? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.