Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

666 claims · page 7 of 7

666 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Resolved true Nate Silver Factual 2012 In a 2012 interview, Nate Silver described himself as being somewhere between a liberal and a libertarian. Nate Silver · Factual · 2012 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Steven Pinker Promise 10 Nov 2011 Steven Pinker's next book project will be a style manual for the 21st century, a competitor to Strunk and White incorporating modern linguistics and cognitive science. Steven Pinker · Promise · 10 Nov 2011 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 10 Nov 2011 Cognition and language are Steven Pinker's research specialty. Steven Pinker · Factual · 10 Nov 2011 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 6 Oct 2011 Steven Pinker is a professor who teaches psychology classes and conducts research on language and the human mind. Steven Pinker · Factual · 6 Oct 2011 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 Burry wrote a paper in 1994, as a summer extern at the Rehabilitation Institute of Chicago, on why rehabilitation medicine was doing well. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 Burry decided to short the mortgage market, intending to profit from its collapse. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 Burry left medicine with $145,000 in debt and no assets under management when starting Scion Capital. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 Burry ran a website during the latter half of the 1990s on which he posted his thoughts about stocks and markets. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 After Burry criticized index funds and hyperlinked to Vanguard on his website, Vanguard's attorneys told him to cease and desist. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 Burry's proposed "Milton's Opus" never got off the ground, after his investors met it with scepticism and outside institutions he approached went off to do the idea themselves. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jeff Bezos Factual 2011 Amazon applied service-oriented architecture long before SOA became an industry buzzword. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 2011 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 Michael Burry deliberately avoided Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns as swap counterparties. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 Michael Burry shut down Scion Capital in 2008. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 Michael Burry's prediction of a mortgage market meltdown was based on his research into the residential mortgage market and mortgage-backed securities. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 By mid-2005 Michael Burry bought credit default swaps on billions of dollars of subprime mortgage-backed securities and bonds of financial companies. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 Michael Burry demanded daily collateral settlement on his swaps, with cash posted to Scion's account the next day if positions moved in its favor. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 Michael Burry used six counterparties for his credit default swaps to limit exposure to any one of them. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true GiveWell Factual 7 Jan 2010 GiveWell last laid out a business plan in November 2008. GiveWell · Factual · 7 Jan 2010 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true GiveWell Promise 7 Jan 2010 GiveWell will examine itself critically over the coming weeks and share its self-review in near real time on its blog. GiveWell · Promise · 7 Jan 2010 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true GiveWell Promise 7 Jan 2010 GiveWell intends to discuss, for each of its self-review questions, its progress since November 2008, where it stands today relative to success, and what it can do to improve. GiveWell · Promise · 7 Jan 2010 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Factual 2010 In 2006 Warren Buffett committed to gradually give all his Berkshire Hathaway stock to philanthropic foundations. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2010 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual 13 Apr 2009 As a Stanford undergraduate, Thiel started a student newspaper that he says scored some limited victories, most notably in undoing speech codes instituted by the university. Peter Thiel · Factual · 13 Apr 2009 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nouriel Roubini Factual 2009 Roubini began worrying about the US economy and financial system in 2006 after seeing an unsustainable housing bubble in home prices and mortgages. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 2009 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nouriel Roubini Factual 2009 Roubini wrote about his concerns in summer 2006 and gave a speech to a few hundred International Monetary Fund staff in early September 2006. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 2009 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nouriel Roubini Factual 2009 In 2006 people were sceptical of Roubini's predictions, talking instead of high growth, a Goldilocks economy and a gently deflating minor housing bubble. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 2009 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nassim Taleb Factual 2009 Taleb said the only important thing was that he had protected his clients. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 2009 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nassim Taleb Factual 3 Apr 2008 Nassim Taleb worked on Wall Street for close to two decades in trading and risk management of derivatives. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 3 Apr 2008 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual 7 Jun 2007 After being told to come back in a month, Bill Gates worked day and night on a software project that he said ended his college education and began his journey with Microsoft. Bill Gates · Factual · 7 Jun 2007 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Jeremy Grantham Prediction Apr 2007 GMO's 7-year forecast implies U.S. equities would return minus 1.4% real per year as P/Es and profit margins revert to long-term averages. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · Apr 2007 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Berkshire's partners in owning MidAmerican Energy are Walter Scott, Dave Sokol and Greg Abel. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 2007 Buffett said Berkshire believed its $16.9 billion gain in net worth during 2006 was a record one-year gain for any American business, leaving aside boosts from mergers. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Prediction 2007 Berkshire's results from its bread-and-butter insurance lines will deteriorate in 2007, though Buffett said he thought they would remain satisfactory. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Guidance 2007 After the Equitas transaction, Berkshire's annual DCRA cost will initially increase to about $450 million a year. Warren Buffett · Guidance · 2007 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Prediction 28 Feb 2002 Ron Peltier will likely make more real estate brokerage acquisitions for Berkshire in 2002 and the following years. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Prediction 28 Feb 2002 Berkshire expects the FINOVA transaction overall to prove satisfactory for Berkshire. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 Berkshire lost $2 billion to $2.5 billion in the September 11th event without having been paid properly for the risk assumed. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Prediction 28 Feb 2002 MidAmerican Energy's reported earnings should increase considerably in 2002 because the goodwill amortization charge will disappear under new GAAP rules. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 At the parent company level, Berkshire makes no charitable contributions except those designated by shareholders. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 Buffett previously assured shareholders that General Re was underwriting with discipline, and that assurance proved wrong. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Promise 28 Feb 2002 Buffett will keep well over 99% of his net worth in Berkshire. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Promise 28 Feb 2002 Buffett and Munger will not take cash compensation, restricted stock or option grants that would make their results superior to shareholders'. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Michael Burry Factual 3 Jul 2001 The Scion Value Fund does not generally offer portfolio transparency to its members. Michael Burry · Factual · 3 Jul 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Jeff Bezos Factual 2 Apr 2001 Amazon reached 25 million customers and $2 billion in sales, which it had not expected. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 2 Apr 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jeff Bezos Factual 2 Apr 2001 When Amazon started, it had a hard time raising its first $1 million, then obtained $8 million from venture capital. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 2 Apr 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jeff Bezos Prediction 2 Apr 2001 Amazon's site will have more community features where customers help other customers make purchase decisions. Jeff Bezos · Prediction · 2 Apr 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jeff Bezos Factual 2 Apr 2001 Amazon's initial plan was to grow slowly and become profitable quickly. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 2 Apr 2001 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Jeff Bezos Factual 2 Apr 2001 Five years earlier, Amazon's website looked so different that there was no comparison with what it was in 2001. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 2 Apr 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Jeff Bezos Factual 2 Apr 2001 Amazon expected $100 million in sales in its first five years. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 2 Apr 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2001 Berkshire's practice of keeping most shoe production in domestic factories has cost its shoe businesses heavily. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2001 GEICO's policyholder growth slowed to a halt as 2000 progressed. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Prediction 28 Feb 2001 Buffett said Berkshire was confident that EJA (NetJets) would remain the world leader in fractional ownership in planes flying, service quality and safety standards. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2001 GEICO's underwriting loss in 2000 produced a float cost of 6.1%. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Promise 28 Feb 2001 Because these transactions, which typically come in large chunks, can materially distort the company's figures, it will tell readers about them as they occur. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2001 Berkshire paid for the 1993 Dexter acquisition using Berkshire shares. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Promise 28 Feb 2001 Chess champion Patrick Wolff will play blindfolded against all comers in the mall at the 2001 Berkshire meeting weekend. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Prediction 28 Feb 2001 For the next couple of years the Civic Auditorium will be Berkshire's only venue choice for its annual meeting. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Prediction 28 Feb 2001 Omaha will shortly have a new Convention Center with ample parking. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2001 In 2000 Berkshire had an insurance underwriting loss of $1.6 billion, giving a float cost of 6%. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Promise 28 Feb 2001 Berkshire will hold its annual meeting at the Civic Auditorium on Saturday, April 28, 2001. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Warren Buffett Promise 28 Feb 2001 If the new Convention Center is available, Buffett will poll shareholders on whether to return to a Monday annual meeting. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Warren Buffett Promise 28 Feb 2001 Buffett and Charlie Munger will answer shareholder questions until 3:30 p.m. at the 2001 meeting, except for a noon break. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Michael Burry Factual 2001 Burry earns no income from Scion Capital unless members' annual return exceeds 6% net of expenses. Michael Burry · Factual · 2001 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Michael Burry Promise 2001 The Scion Value Fund's minimum initial investment for future investors will be raised to $250,000 as of the July 1, 2001 investment date. Michael Burry · Promise · 2001 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Ray Kurzweil Factual 23 Oct 2000 Ray Kurzweil played a role in bringing the dangers of self-replicating technologies to Bill Joy's attention. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 23 Oct 2000 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual Jun 1995 Netscape did not have a major sales force in Europe as of June 1995. Marc Andreessen · Factual · Jun 1995 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Marc Andreessen Factual Jun 1995 Early in his time at the University of Illinois, Andreessen started working in a research lab at the university's physics research facility. Marc Andreessen · Factual · Jun 1995 Their own work or organisation
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Nate Silver

Open its page

Factual Their own work or organisation

“In 2012, in an interview that Molloy cited in her piece, I described myself as being somewhere between a liberal and a libertarian.”

Nate Silver, author of Silver Bulletin 2012 Not everyone who disagrees with you is a closet right-winger (Silver Bulletin)

In a 2012 interview, Nate Silver described himself as being somewhere between a liberal and a libertarian.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

What would count as true or false

True: a 2012 interview exists in which Silver described his politics as somewhere between liberal and libertarian, or in close equivalent words. Mostly true: the interview exists and the self-description matches in substance, but the year is slightly off (for example it was published late 2011 or early 2013), or the wording differs in a minor way. Mostly false: an interview exists, but he described himself differently in a way that only partly matches, for example only 'libertarian-leaning' or only 'liberal'. False: the interview located (including the one Molloy cited) shows he did not describe himself this way, or shows a clearly different self-description.

Evidence

  1. Nate Silver - Wikiquote Wikiquote
    “I'd say I am somewhere in between being a libertarian and a liberal. So if I were to vote it would be kind of a Gary Johnson versus Mitt Romney decision, I suppose.”
  2. Nate Silver - Wikiquote Wikiquote
    “Interview with Charlie Rose (29 October 2012)”
  3. Interview: Nate Silver explains The Phoenix (Boston) · 5 November 2012
    “I'm actually more liberal to libertarian.”
  4. Nate Silver - Influence Watch InfluenceWatch
    “in a 2012 NPR interview, he called himself a “political independent.””

Reasoning

Wikiquote quotes Silver saying "I'd say I am somewhere in between being a libertarian and a liberal" (E1). It attributes the line to an interview with Charlie Rose dated 29 October 2012 (E2). A separate Boston Phoenix interview published 5 November 2012 quotes him saying "I'm actually more liberal to libertarian" (E3), which supports the same self-description in a 2012 interview. The wording matches the claim, and so does the year.

Cite this claim

Nate Silver, “In a 2012 interview, Nate Silver described himself as being somewhere between a liberal and a libertarian.” (said 2012). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_d4dcb7d3a1c1, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_d4dcb7d3a1c1

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.