Claims

Guidance · Their own work or organisation

“I think this year, we may track to a fair bit about 50%, but we don't want to commit to that”

Elon Musk, Tesla CEO, on earnings call · 27 January 2021 · Tesla Q4 2020 Earnings Call Transcript (Motley Fool)

Tesla may track to growth of a fair bit above 50% in 2021, though it does not commit to it.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

Measure: growth in Tesla's total vehicle deliveries in 2021 over 2020, as reported by Tesla. The bar is the claim's own: 'a fair bit above 50%'. TRUE: growth of about 55% or more. MOSTLY TRUE: growth above 50% but under about 55% (above 50%, but not by 'a fair bit'). MOSTLY FALSE: growth just under 50% (49–50%). FALSE: growth below 49%.

Evidence

1. Tesla Q4 2021 Vehicle Production & Deliveries | Tesla Investor Relations Tesla Investor Relations (Business Wire release) · 2 January 2022 Own record

   “In 2021, we delivered over 936,000 vehicles.”

2. Tesla nears million-vehicle mark in 2021, despite supply-chain challenges Green Car Reports · 4 January 2022

   “Tesla delivered a record 936,172 vehicles in 2021, according to a company financial report, up from 499,550 vehicles in 2020 and 367,500 in 2019”

Reasoning

Green Car Reports, citing a company financial report, gives Tesla's deliveries as 936,172 vehicles in 2021 and 499,550 in 2020 (E2). Tesla's own release separately says it delivered over 936,000 vehicles in 2021 (E1). That works out to growth of about 87%, well above the roughly 55% that counts as 'a fair bit above 50%' under the criteria.

Cite this claim

Elon Musk, “Tesla may track to growth of a fair bit above 50% in 2021, though it does not commit to it.” (said 27 January 2021). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_08667a5266a4, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_08667a5266a4