334 claims · page 4 of 4
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolved true | Ørsted | Prediction | Feb 2014 | DONG Energy expects business performance EBITDA of DKK 15-17 billion in 2014. Ørsted · Prediction · Feb 2014 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | Mar 2013 | The NVIDIA GRID VCA BASE model costs $24,900 plus a $2,400/yr software license covering unlimited devices. Jensen Huang · Factual · Mar 2013 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 12 Dec 2012 | Nassim Taleb spent most of his adult life as an option trader. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 12 Dec 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | 3 Dec 2012 | GMO is solvent and has stayed in business. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 1 Nov 2012 | Steven Pinker's academic credentials are as an experimental psychologist. Steven Pinker · Factual · 1 Nov 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Vinod Khosla | Factual | 9 Sep 2012 | Vinod Khosla recently read Ben Austen's WIRED article about Steve Jobs. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 9 Sep 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 18 Jun 2012 | Pinker said he has argued that the concept of group selection has no useful role to play in psychology or social science. Steven Pinker · Factual · 18 Jun 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Jensen Huang | Promise | May 2012 | NVIDIA will make the Tesla K20 available in Q4 2012. Jensen Huang · Promise · May 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Nate Silver | Factual | 2012 | In a 2012 interview, Nate Silver described himself as being somewhere between a liberal and a libertarian. Nate Silver · Factual · 2012 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Steven Pinker | Promise | 10 Nov 2011 | Steven Pinker's next book project will be a style manual for the 21st century, a competitor to Strunk and White incorporating modern linguistics and cognitive science. Steven Pinker · Promise · 10 Nov 2011 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 10 Nov 2011 | Cognition and language are Steven Pinker's research specialty. Steven Pinker · Factual · 10 Nov 2011 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 6 Oct 2011 | Steven Pinker is a professor who teaches psychology classes and conducts research on language and the human mind. Steven Pinker · Factual · 6 Oct 2011 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Michael Burry | Factual | 5 Apr 2011 | Burry wrote a paper in 1994, as a summer extern at the Rehabilitation Institute of Chicago, on why rehabilitation medicine was doing well. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Michael Burry | Factual | 5 Apr 2011 | Burry decided to short the mortgage market, intending to profit from its collapse. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Michael Burry | Factual | 6 Apr 2010 | Michael Burry deliberately avoided Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns as swap counterparties. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Michael Burry | Factual | 6 Apr 2010 | Michael Burry shut down Scion Capital in 2008. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Michael Burry | Factual | 6 Apr 2010 | Michael Burry's prediction of a mortgage market meltdown was based on his research into the residential mortgage market and mortgage-backed securities. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | GiveWell | Promise | 7 Jan 2010 | GiveWell will examine itself critically over the coming weeks and share its self-review in near real time on its blog. GiveWell · Promise · 7 Jan 2010 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | GiveWell | Promise | 7 Jan 2010 | GiveWell intends to discuss, for each of its self-review questions, its progress since November 2008, where it stands today relative to success, and what it can do to improve. GiveWell · Promise · 7 Jan 2010 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 3 Apr 2008 | Nassim Taleb worked on Wall Street for close to two decades in trading and risk management of derivatives. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 3 Apr 2008 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 2007 | Berkshire's partners in owning MidAmerican Energy are Walter Scott, Dave Sokol and Greg Abel. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 2007 | Buffett said Berkshire believed its $16.9 billion gain in net worth during 2006 was a record one-year gain for any American business, leaving aside boosts from mergers. Warren Buffett · Factual · 2007 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Prediction | 2007 | Berkshire's results from its bread-and-butter insurance lines will deteriorate in 2007, though Buffett said he thought they would remain satisfactory. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 2007 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 28 Feb 2002 | Berkshire lost $2 billion to $2.5 billion in the September 11th event without having been paid properly for the risk assumed. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Promise | 28 Feb 2002 | Buffett and Munger will not take cash compensation, restricted stock or option grants that would make their results superior to shareholders'. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2002 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Michael Burry | Factual | 3 Jul 2001 | The Scion Value Fund does not generally offer portfolio transparency to its members. Michael Burry · Factual · 3 Jul 2001 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 2 Apr 2001 | Five years earlier, Amazon's website looked so different that there was no comparison with what it was in 2001. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 2 Apr 2001 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 28 Feb 2001 | GEICO's policyholder growth slowed to a halt as 2000 progressed. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2001 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 28 Feb 2001 | Berkshire paid for the 1993 Dexter acquisition using Berkshire shares. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2001 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Prediction | 28 Feb 2001 | For the next couple of years the Civic Auditorium will be Berkshire's only venue choice for its annual meeting. Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Factual | 28 Feb 2001 | In 2000 Berkshire had an insurance underwriting loss of $1.6 billion, giving a float cost of 6%. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2001 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Warren Buffett | Promise | 28 Feb 2001 | If the new Convention Center is available, Buffett will poll shareholders on whether to return to a Monday annual meeting. Warren Buffett · Promise · 28 Feb 2001 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Michael Burry | Promise | 2001 | The Scion Value Fund's minimum initial investment for future investors will be raised to $250,000 as of the July 1, 2001 investment date. Michael Burry · Promise · 2001 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ray Kurzweil | Factual | 23 Oct 2000 | Ray Kurzweil played a role in bringing the dangers of self-replicating technologies to Bill Joy's attention. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 23 Oct 2000 | Their own work or organisation |
“Business performance EBITDA is expected to be DKK 15-17 billion in 2014.”
DONG Energy (Ørsted), company announcement February 2014 Announcement of financial results for 2013 - Improved earnings and strengthened capital base (Ørsted (DONG Energy))
DONG Energy expects business performance EBITDA of DKK 15-17 billion in 2014.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
What would count as true or false
Compare DONG Energy's reported 2014 full-year business performance EBITDA with the predicted DKK 15-17 billion range. True: the reported figure is between DKK 15.0 and 17.0 billion inclusive. Mostly true: it falls outside the range by no more than DKK 0.3 billion (DKK 14.7-15.0bn or 17.0-17.3bn). Mostly false: it is outside the range by more than DKK 0.3 billion but no more than DKK 1.5 billion. False: it is outside the range by more than DKK 1.5 billion. Mixed is not used. Later revisions of the guidance during the year do not change the test, which applies to the original range.
Evidence
- [PDF] FINANCIAL REPORT FULL YEAR 2014 DONG Energy (Ørsted) · 5 February 2015 Own record
“EBITDA of DKK 16.4bn (up 9% y/y)”
- interim financial report first nine month 2014 DONG Energy (Ørsted) · October 2014 Own record
“Business performance EBITDA for 2014 is expected to exceed DKK 16 billion compared with the previous outlook of DKK 15-17 billion”
Reasoning
DONG Energy's full-year 2014 results presentation [E1] reports 2014 EBITDA of DKK 16.4bn, which falls inside the predicted DKK 15-17bn range. The Q3 2014 report [E2] shows the outlook was later revised to exceed DKK 16bn and confirms the original range was for business performance EBITDA. Under the criteria that revision does not change the test. Both sources come from the company itself, but E1 is its formal reported result rather than a general statement, and E1 does not explicitly label the figure 'business performance'.
Cite this claim
Ørsted, “DONG Energy expects business performance EBITDA of DKK 15-17 billion in 2014.” (said February 2014). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_cc220943deb3, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_cc220943deb3
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.