Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

2,625 claims · page 27 of 27

2,625 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Unresolvable Michael Burry Prediction 2001 Over the next year or two, and especially five years, the Fund's investment in this position has a very high probability of producing substantial gains. Michael Burry · Prediction · 2001 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 2001 By the second half of the 21st century there will be no clear distinction between human and machine intelligence. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 AI timelines and forecasting
Own records only Jeff Bezos Prediction 2001 If the price performance of bandwidth keeps doubling about every 9 months, Amazon.com will be able to use 60 times as much bandwidth per customer in 5 years while keeping its bandwidth cost per customer the same. Jeff Bezos · Prediction · 2001 Technology
Unresolvable Ray Kurzweil Prediction 2001 Most of his readers are likely to be alive to see the Singularity. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 AI timelines and forecasting
Unresolvable Ray Kurzweil Prediction 2001 Nanobot technology will provide fully immersive, totally convincing virtual reality by positioning nanobots near interneuronal connections from the senses. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 Technology
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 2001 Biological brains will be vastly expanded through distributed nanobot-based implants. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 Technology
Unresolvable Ray Kurzweil Prediction 2001 As intelligence saturates available matter and energy, it turns dumb matter into smart matter. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 AI timelines and forecasting
Unresolvable Ray Kurzweil Prediction 23 Oct 2000 Response at all levels to potentially large-scale lethal self-replicating entities will be vastly more intense than to computer viruses. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 23 Oct 2000 Other global risks
Unresolvable Ray Kurzweil Prediction 23 Oct 2000 In the years ahead there will be enormous gains in overcoming cancer and other diseases and in greatly extending human longevity. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 23 Oct 2000 Technology
Unresolvable Ray Kurzweil Prediction 23 Oct 2000 It will eventually be possible to have nanotechnology provide the codes within biological entities, replacing DNA, so the much safer Broadcast Architecture can be used. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 23 Oct 2000 Other global risks
Unresolvable Ray Kurzweil Prediction 23 Oct 2000 Abandoning broad areas of technology will only push them underground, where development continues unimpeded by ethics or regulation. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 23 Oct 2000 Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable Ray Kurzweil Prediction 23 Oct 2000 The means will soon exist in a routine biotechnology laboratory to create a pathogen that could be more destructive to humans or other living organisms than an atomic bomb. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 23 Oct 2000 Biosecurity
Not yet due Ray Kurzweil Prediction 23 Oct 2000 If paradigm shifts keep doubling about every decade, technological progress in the 21st century will be equivalent to what the linear view would require on the order of 20,000 years. Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 23 Oct 2000 AI timelines and forecasting
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 1999 Companies that invest early in digital nervous systems to capture and analyze customer input will differentiate themselves from competitors. Bill Gates · Prediction · 1999 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 1999 The successful companies of the next decade (after 1999) will be those that use digital tools to reinvent the way they work. Bill Gates · Prediction · 1999 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 1999 Merchants who treat e-commerce as more than a digital cash register will do the best. Bill Gates · Prediction · 1999 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeff Bezos Prediction 21 Mar 1998 Through personalization, online commerce will in future accelerate the process of discovery for customers. Jeff Bezos · Prediction · 21 Mar 1998 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Jeff Bezos Prediction 1998 Online bookselling and online commerce in general should prove to be a very large market, and it is likely that a number of companies will benefit significantly. Jeff Bezos · Prediction · 1998 Economics and markets
Mostly false Marc Andreessen Prediction Jun 1995 George Gilder predicts that within five to ten years the Internet will essentially be free. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · Jun 1995 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Prediction Jun 1995 Andreessen said he thought a lot of companies were going to start taking advantage of "that"; the material does not say what "that" refers to. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · Jun 1995 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Prediction Jun 1995 Among other things, commercialization will guarantee that the Net will be there. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · Jun 1995 Economics and markets
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Prediction Jun 1995 Catalogs of Internet resources will be supported by advertising in the future. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · Jun 1995 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Prediction Jun 1995 Some day it should be possible for everyone to publish on the Net as easily as using word processing. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · Jun 1995 Technology
Unresolvable Marc Andreessen Prediction Jun 1995 Five or ten years is about the right timeframe to think about consumers shifting their commerce online, because that is about how long it takes for consumer habits to change on a broad scale. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · Jun 1995 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Bill Gates Prediction 1995 People always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten. Bill Gates · Prediction · 1995 Technology
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Michael Burry

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Prediction Their own work or organisation

“over the next year or two, and especially over the next five years, there is a very high probability of substantial gains as a result of this investment.”

Michael Burry, Scion fund manager, in fund letter 2001 Scion Funds annual letters compilation (investorkurs.no)

Over the next year or two, and especially five years, the Fund's investment in this position has a very high probability of producing substantial gains.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

Position unidentified, so gains cannot be checked.

Cite this claim

Michael Burry, “Over the next year or two, and especially five years, the Fund's investment in this position has a very high probability of producing substantial gains.” (said 2001). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_e866bc35fe05, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_e866bc35fe05

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.