| Mostly true |
Jeff Bezos | Prediction |
2 Apr 2001 |
Amazon's site will have more community features where customers help other customers make purchase decisions.
Jeff Bezos · Prediction · 2 Apr 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Jeff Bezos | Prediction |
2 Apr 2001 |
Full-motion video will completely transform the online user experience, and Amazon's site will become more customized.
Jeff Bezos · Prediction · 2 Apr 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Jeff Bezos | Prediction |
2 Apr 2001 |
In 10 years, the online shopping user experience will be so different it cannot now be imagined.
Jeff Bezos · Prediction · 2 Apr 2001 |
Technology |
| Unresolvable |
Jeff Bezos | Prediction |
2 Apr 2001 |
Amazon's early stage businesses will become profitable over time, and Amazon has already announced a target date for companywide profitability.
Jeff Bezos · Prediction · 2 Apr 2001 |
Economics and markets |
| Resolved true |
Jeff Bezos | Prediction |
2 Apr 2001 |
Some e-commerce businesses will fail in 2001.
Jeff Bezos · Prediction · 2 Apr 2001 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Warren Buffett | Prediction |
28 Feb 2001 |
Over time GEICO will inevitably increase its market share significantly while achieving excellent profits, thanks to its low-cost advantage.
Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Warren Buffett | Prediction |
28 Feb 2001 |
Buffett said Berkshire was confident that EJA (NetJets) would remain the world leader in fractional ownership in planes flying, service quality and safety standards.
Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Warren Buffett | Prediction |
28 Feb 2001 |
Berkshire's negotiated acquisitions of entire businesses will at best provide only reasonable returns.
Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Warren Buffett | Prediction |
28 Feb 2001 |
Most of Berkshire's stock holdings are fully priced and are unlikely to deliver more than moderate returns in the future.
Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Warren Buffett | Prediction |
28 Feb 2001 |
Absent a mega-catastrophe, Berkshire expected its float cost to fall in 2001, perhaps substantially, in large part because of pricing corrections at General Re.
Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Warren Buffett | Prediction |
28 Feb 2001 |
Fewer than 10 of the 200 most profitable companies in 2000 will attain 15% annual earnings-per-share growth over the next 20 years.
Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 |
Economics and markets |
| Resolved true |
Warren Buffett | Prediction |
28 Feb 2001 |
For the next couple of years the Civic Auditorium will be Berkshire's only venue choice for its annual meeting.
Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Warren Buffett | Prediction |
28 Feb 2001 |
Omaha will shortly have a new Convention Center with ample parking.
Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Warren Buffett | Prediction |
28 Feb 2001 |
Buffett stated an expectation that, at GEICO, float would over time be free (no cost).
Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Warren Buffett | Prediction |
28 Feb 2001 |
The matter referred to on page 65 of the report will have no effect on Berkshire's intrinsic value.
Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 |
Economics and markets |
| Own records only |
Warren Buffett | Prediction |
28 Feb 2001 |
CORT looks like a good bet to beat Berkshire's original expectations for the business.
Warren Buffett · Prediction · 28 Feb 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
The bulk of human experiences will shift from real reality to virtual reality.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Technology |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
By 2050, $1000 of computing will equal the processing power of all human brains on Earth.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Noninvasively scanning a living brain will ultimately become feasible as MRI, optical and other scanning improve.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Stock values of B2B and B2C web portals and enabling technologies are likely to come back strongly as e-commerce escalates and surviving firms show profitable models.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Economics and markets |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Most of civilization's intelligence will be nonbiological, and by the end of the 21st century will be trillions of trillions of times more powerful than human intelligence.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
In Kurzweil's view, the likely outcome is that superhuman intelligences will appear to biological humans as transcendent servants satisfying their needs and desires.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Radical extensions to human longevity and far greater economic expansion do not rule each other out, because the positive factors are stronger and will ultimately dominate.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly false |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Computers will be able to read on their own, understanding and modeling what they read, by the second decade of the 21st century.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
There are no natural limits preventing functionally equivalent recreation of the hundred-billion-neuron human brain.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
A defect in the mechanism limiting nanobot self-replication would endanger all physical entities, biological or otherwise.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
By the third decade of the twenty-first century, we will be in a position to create highly detailed and complete maps of all relevant features of all neurons, neural connections and synapses in the human brain, and to recreate these designs in suitably advanced neural computers.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Technology companies' rapid creation of real wealth will continue to fuel ongoing double exponential growth in the economy.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Undetectable spy nanobots placed in food or water could monitor, influence and even control people's thoughts and actions.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly false |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Supercomputers will achieve one human brain's capacity by 2010, and personal computers by around 2020.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Not researched |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
The economic growth rate will continue to grow exponentially because the rate of progress will continue to accelerate.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
The creative and constructive applications of advanced technology like nanotech and AI will dominate over harmful ones.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Technology |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
By 2030, nanobot technology will be viable and brain scanning will be a prominent application.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly false |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Exponential-outlook views of the economy will prevail gradually over the next several years, producing a strong continuing updraft for the stock market.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Technologies being researched (3D chips, optical, crystalline, DNA, quantum computing) will keep exponential growth in computation going for a long time.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Future machines will claim to be people and to have the full range of emotional and spiritual experiences people claim.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
In Kurzweil's view, the intelligence that emerges after the Singularity will continue to represent human civilization, which he described as already a human-machine civilization.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Technological progress will ultimately become so fast that it exceeds humans' ability to follow it.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
The Singularity will transform all aspects of life, including social, sexual and economic.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Any skill, capability or form of intelligence one cares to define will be replicated in nonbiological machines within a few decades.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
According to Kurzweil's models, adopting an exponential rather than linear outlook means current stock prices should triple, adding about $40 trillion on roughly $20 trillion of equity.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Economics and markets |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Kurzweil said we can conservatively expect the requisite nanobot technology by around 2030.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Once the technology is refined, a reinstantiated scanned person will appear to observers to have much the same personality, history and memory as the original.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
The 21st century will see on the order of twenty thousand years of progress, measured at the rate of progress current when the statement was made (January 2001).
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Scanning a frozen brain is feasible today but not at sufficient speed or bandwidth; accelerating returns will supply the required scanning speed.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Human-like intelligent entities will be capable of passing the Turing test.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI capabilities |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Society will rethink social security once centenarians look and act like 30-year-olds.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Economics and markets |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
According to Kurzweil's models, the physical limits of matter and energy for intelligent processes won't be approached this century but will become an issue within a couple of centuries.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
The 21st century will see almost a thousand times greater technological change than the 20th century.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Once brain patterns can be stored and restored, the longevity of a person's mind file will not depend on any particular hardware medium.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Technology |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Recreating and enhancing human bodies will be, and has been, an easier task than recreating human minds.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Responses at all levels to potentially large-scale lethal self-replicating entities will be vastly more serious.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Routine college bioengineering labs will soon be able to create pathogens more dangerous than nuclear weapons, as more sophisticated labs already can.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Biosecurity |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Once a computer achieves human-level intelligence, it will necessarily soar past it.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI capabilities |
| Not researched |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
The underlying rate of economic growth will continue to double approximately every decade.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Economics and markets |
| Resolved true |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Within a couple of decades of 2001, the computational power to emulate the human brain will be available.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Nanobot-based brain scanning will be more practical than scanning the brain from outside.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Moore's Law will run out of steam during the second decade of the 21st century, after which a sixth computing paradigm will take over.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Abandoning broad areas of technology would push them underground, where development would continue without ethics and regulation.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Nanotechnology is the inevitable end result of the persistent trend toward miniaturization across all technology.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Technology |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
One cubic inch of nanotube circuitry would be a million times more powerful than the human brain.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Humans will become vastly smarter as they merge with technology.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Not researched |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Because the rate of progress doubles every decade, a century of progress at the 2001 rate will occur in only 25 calendar years.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
The next primary paradigm shift will be from biological thinking to a hybrid of biological and nonbiological thinking.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Billions of nanobots could travel through every brain capillary and scan every relevant feature from up close.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Technological progress will literally get out of human control.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
Jan 2001 |
Nanotech is potentially more dangerous than biotech because nanobots can be physically stronger and more intelligent than protein-based entities.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · Jan 2001 |
AI safety and alignment |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Once a species develops computing technology, within a couple of centuries its nonbiological intelligence explodes.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Nanobots will be introduced into the body without surgery, essentially by injecting or swallowing them.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
Technology |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
By 2030, going to a web site will mean entering a full immersion virtual reality environment.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
Technology |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Total human biological thinking capacity of about 10^26 calculations per second will never appreciably change, apart from a small genetic-engineering increase.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Humanity will reverse-engineer the human brain to gain insights for building more intelligent machines.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
Science and research methods |
| Unresolvable |
Jeff Bezos | Prediction |
2001 |
Improvements in disk space and processing power price performance will let Amazon do more and better real-time personalization of its website.
Jeff Bezos · Prediction · 2001 |
Technology |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Nonbiological intelligence, growing at a double exponential rate, will vastly exceed biological intelligence well before the middle of the twenty-first century.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
By the end of the 21st century nonbiological thinking will be trillions of trillions of times more powerful than that of biological humans.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Brain nanobots can all be directed to leave the body, so their use will be easily reversible.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
Technology |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Nonbiological intelligence will ultimately dominate because it grows at a double exponential rate while biological intelligence is static.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly false |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
By the end of the decade (the 2000s), full immersion visual-auditory environments will be available, with images written onto the retinas by eyeglasses and contact lenses.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
Technology |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Biological human thinking is stuck at 1026 (presumably 10^26) calculations per second for all human brains, and this figure will not appreciably change even with bioengineering changes to the human genome.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
By 2099, intelligence from human-machine civilization will be trillions of trillions of times more powerful than in 2001, mostly nonbiological.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Resolved false |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Within ten years of 2001, biotechnology advances will add more than a year of life expectancy every year.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
Science and research methods |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
From a practical perspective, people will accept the claims of nonbiological intelligent machines in the twenty-first century that they are conscious.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Michael Burry | Prediction |
2001 |
Burry said he fully expected the Scion Value Fund's expense ratio for members to decrease quite significantly as assets under management grew with new investors.
Michael Burry · Prediction · 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Michael Burry | Prediction |
2001 |
The Fund will receive full value in the future for its shares in its largest hotel holding.
Michael Burry · Prediction · 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
If tubules multiplied neuron complexity a thousandfold, reaching human brain computational capacity would be delayed by only about 9 years under Kurzweil's model of computational growth.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Nonbiological computing will overtake total human biological thinking capacity before 2030.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Brain implants based on distributed intelligent nanobots will ultimately expand human memories a trillionfold and vastly improve sensory, pattern recognition and cognitive abilities.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
Technology |
| Not researched |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
The underlying long-term economic growth rate will continue at a double exponential rate.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Expanding intelligence will overcome gravity and other cosmological forces and create the Universe it wants.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Nanobot technology will be feasible within 30 years of 2001, based on miniaturization and cost reduction trends.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
Technology |
| Unresolvable |
Jeff Bezos | Prediction |
2001 |
Jeff Bezos said that "we", in context Amazon.com, still believed that some 15% of retail commerce may ultimately move online.
Jeff Bezos · Prediction · 2001 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Michael Burry | Prediction |
2001 |
Burry's investment principles, applied consistently, will continue to serve the Fund well despite future shocks.
Michael Burry · Prediction · 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Michael Burry | Prediction |
2001 |
A rarely traded publicly traded real estate stock held by the Fund will recover and ultimately head much higher over time.
Michael Burry · Prediction · 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Ultra high levels of intelligence will expand outward at the speed of light, though this may not be the actual limit.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
Other global risks |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Humanity will continue to build more powerful computational mechanisms because it creates enormous value.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
According to Kurzweil's model, a civilization at Earth's level of radio transmission takes at most one to two centuries to become a SETI Type II civilization.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
Other global risks |
| Unresolvable |
Michael Burry | Prediction |
2001 |
The future performance of one of the Fund's largest positions will have no correlation with the general market or further terrorist attacks.
Michael Burry · Prediction · 2001 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Intelligence will be more powerful than impersonal cosmological forces.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Unresolvable |
Jeff Bezos | Prediction |
2001 |
Physical-world retailers will continue to use technology to reduce costs but not to transform the customer experience.
Jeff Bezos · Prediction · 2001 |
Economics and markets |
| Not yet due |
Ray Kurzweil | Prediction |
2001 |
Before the 22nd century begins, humanity will merge with its computational technology with no clear human-machine distinction.
Ray Kurzweil · Prediction · 2001 |
AI timelines and forecasting |