2,528 claims · page 12 of 26
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delivered on time | Elon Musk | Promise | 26 Jan 2023 | Volume production of the vehicle under discussion will happen in 2024. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla's internal production potential is closer to 2 million vehicles, although it publicly said 1.8 million. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla FSD has accumulated about 100 million miles outside of highways as of January 2023. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | If 2023 has no major supply chain interruption, Tesla has the potential to produce 2 million cars in 2023. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Promise | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla's Cybertruck will have Hardware 4. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla has deployed FSD Beta for city streets to roughly 400,000 customers in North America as of January 2023. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Promise | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla is increasing 4680 cell capacity by another 100 gigawatt-hours, as announced at Giga Nevada. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla delivered over 1.3 million cars in 2022. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | FSD Beta is the only way any consumer can test the latest AI-powered autonomy. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | Cybertruck will not be a significant contributor to Tesla's bottom line in 2023 but will be in 2024. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Elon Musk has posted on Twitter several times about interest rates and the value of securities. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla's production costs at Berlin and Austin are dropping in line with production growth. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla thinks demand for its vehicles will be good despite a probable contraction in the overall automotive market. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla's published data shows an improvement in safety statistics with FSD Beta. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Every Tesla car sold can have full self-driving enabled through a software upload. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla achieved a 17% operating margin in 2022, the highest among any volume carmaker. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Elon Musk | Promise | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla expects Cybertruck production to start maybe sometime in summer 2023. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | Elon Musk said that, long term, "we" expect the value of these credits to be very significant. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | There are millions of Tesla cars on which full self-driving can be sold at essentially 100% gross margin. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | The value of Tesla's battery credits in 2023 will not be gigantic, but could become gigantic later. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | As of January 2023, Tesla's orders are almost twice its production rate. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla's 4680 cell production rate reached enough for 1,000 cars a week at the end of 2022. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | Hardware 3 will far exceed the safety of the average human driver, though not be as good as Hardware 4. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla's year-to-date orders in January 2023 were the strongest in its history. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla has raised the Model Y price a little bit in response to high orders. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | For Panasonic's domestic battery manufacturing, Tesla and Panasonic are splitting the value of the credits. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 9 Jan 2023 | Nobel laureates Jennifer Doudna, David MacMillan, Paul Nurse and Venki Ramakrishnan joined the Isomorphic Labs Scientific Advisory Board. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 9 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 8 Jan 2023 | Demis Hassabis and Yann LeCun accepted the Princess of Asturias Award for Technical & Scientific Research in Spain in late 2022. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 8 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 1 Jan 2023 | On 1 January 2018 Rodney Brooks published predictions about self driving cars, AI, machine learning, robotics and the space industry. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | Jan 2023 | GMO took extreme risk-reducing measures for the housing bubble in 2007. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | Jan 2023 | GMO has two strategies, Climate Change and Resources, which have very sound 5-year and 10-year records respectively. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | Jan 2023 | Grantham told Tyler Cowen that three U.S. bubbles, the housing bubble and Japan's 1989 land and stock bubbles were sufficient data to form a reasonably confident opinion. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | Jan 2023 | GMO completely exited the Japanese market in the late 1980s and most of its U.S. growth stocks in 1998-99 as those bubbles formed. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | Jan 2023 | Grantham told Tyler Cowen in a podcast that he was impressed by the unique nature and painful outcomes of the 1929, 2000 and 1972 bubbles. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 2023 | The paper responds to Tetlock et al. (2022). (2022). Nassim Taleb · Factual · 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Ray Kurzweil | Factual | 2023 | Kurzweil has been following large language models for almost three years. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Nassim Taleb | Citation | 2023 | Most of the critics' points are already amply covered in two papers in the same journal, including the one they are criticizing and a more formal paper. Nassim Taleb · Citation · 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 2023 | Pinker was among those who argued that predicting the next word is not how language works. Steven Pinker · Factual · 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 24 Dec 2022 | The lost Carl Sagan lecture 'Science and Civil Liberties' was discovered and edited by Steven Pinker and Harvey Silverglate and appeared in Quillette's 2022 Editors' Choice. Steven Pinker · Factual · 24 Dec 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Steven Pinker | Factual | 19 Dec 2022 | Steven Pinker said on 2022-12-19 that he had just appeared on BBC World Service to discuss why 99 positive stories from 2022 got "virtually no coverage" in (other) mainstream media. Steven Pinker · Factual · 19 Dec 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 6 Nov 2022 | Roubini's book MegaThreats extensively discusses the threat to liberal democracies from backlash against trade, technology and social and political institutions. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 6 Nov 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 4 Nov 2022 | From mid-2021 to mid-2022 Rodney Brooks wrote 12 monthly columns. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 4 Nov 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 27 Oct 2022 | Satya Nadella's annual letter to Microsoft shareholders reflects on connecting what technology can do with what the world needs. Satya Nadella · Factual · 27 Oct 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 13 Oct 2022 | Dario Amodei and his co-founders were among the first to document, while at OpenAI, that scaling up AI training smoothly improves results across a range of cognitive tasks. Dario Amodei · Factual · 13 Oct 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 12 Oct 2022 | Satya Nadella gave a keynote at Microsoft Ignite on 2022-10-12. Satya Nadella · Factual · 12 Oct 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Gates | Factual | 20 Sep 2022 | The Goalkeepers community is meeting in person for the first time since 2019. Bill Gates · Factual · 20 Sep 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Bill Gates | Factual | 8 Sep 2022 | Bill Gates has met Queen Elizabeth II. Bill Gates · Factual · 8 Sep 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 28 Aug 2022 | Jeff Bezos says his first job was at the burger chain shown in the post (McDonald's). Jeff Bezos · Factual · 28 Aug 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Gates | Factual | 23 Aug 2022 | In 2021 Bill Gates laid out a plan for eliminating greenhouse gas emissions. Bill Gates · Factual · 23 Aug 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Bill Gates | Factual | 18 Aug 2022 | Dr. Helene Gayle and Ashish Dhawan have decided to join the Gates Foundation's board. Bill Gates · Factual · 18 Aug 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 6 Aug 2022 | Tom Alberg was an early investor in Amazon and served on Amazon's board for 23 years. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 6 Aug 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Bill Ackman | Promise | 1 Aug 2022 | Bill Ackman will appear on CNBC at 8:20am on 2 August 2022 to discuss what he called Visa's continued facilitation of child trafficking on PornHub and affiliated sites. Bill Ackman · Promise · 1 Aug 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Bill Ackman | Factual | 31 Jul 2022 | The Pershing Square Foundation is not involved in this case but has supported organizations working to stop human trafficking and image-based abuse. Bill Ackman · Factual · 31 Jul 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Bill Ackman | Factual | 30 Jul 2022 | Bill Ackman and his firm have no economic interest, long or short, in Visa, Mastercard, PayPal, Amex or any other payments company, processing company, bank or financial institution. Bill Ackman · Factual · 30 Jul 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 4 Jul 2022 | Balaji Srinivasan holds no Snap (Snapchat) stock. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 4 Jul 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 4 Jul 2022 | Balaji Srinivasan has previously discussed a one-commandment society, the cancel-proof one. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 4 Jul 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 4 Jul 2022 | Balaji Srinivasan posted a tweet saying "Super soldier serum is real." Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 4 Jul 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 4 Jul 2022 | Balaji Srinivasan said he was in genomics before people were talking about it. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 4 Jul 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 4 Jul 2022 | Balaji Srinivasan wrote a post in 2021 at 1729.com/inflation specifying a shadow inflation statistics system. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 4 Jul 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Nate Silver | Promise | 29 Jun 2022 | Nate Silver's midterms forecast model will be published soon. Nate Silver · Promise · 29 Jun 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jim Cramer | Factual | 28 Jun 2022 | On the 2022-06-28 Mad Money episode, Jim Cramer interviews Adam Selipsky, CEO of Amazon Web Services. Jim Cramer · Factual · 28 Jun 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 10 Jun 2022 | MIRI tried and failed to find a coherent formula for an agent that would let itself be shut down without actively trying to get shut down. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 10 Jun 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Ray Kurzweil | Factual | 26 May 2022 | Kurzweil presented a similar device about 15 years ago. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 26 May 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 24 May 2022 | Microsoft is building out physical workspace to be more modular. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 24 May 2022 | About 20 years had passed since Microsoft launched Xbox, as of 2022. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 24 May 2022 | Microsoft found that a direct connection to one's immediate manager was the biggest factor in effective onboarding. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 24 May 2022 | Nadella spent most of his 32-year professional career in middle-management roles. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 24 May 2022 | Microsoft drew on Carol Dweck's growth mindset work, which helped it move from 'know-it-alls' to 'learn-it-alls'. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 24 May 2022 | Microsoft's Flight Simulator, a PC game predating Xbox, is as old as Microsoft. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 24 May 2022 | Microsoft has been building games that create virtual worlds for many decades. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 24 May 2022 | Microsoft onboarded about 50,000 employees during the pandemic. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Satya Nadella | Factual | 24 May 2022 | Microsoft has been in the gaming business throughout its history. Satya Nadella · Factual · 24 May 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 29 Apr 2022 | Anthropic announced a new fundraising round on 2022-04-29. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 29 Apr 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | GiveWell | Promise | 6 Apr 2022 | Each contest entry will be reviewed by at least one GiveWell researcher with substantial experience with its cost-effectiveness analyses. GiveWell · Promise · 6 Apr 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | GiveWell | Prediction | 6 Apr 2022 | GiveWell likely will not be able to share a full response to all contest entries, due to limited research capacity. GiveWell · Prediction · 6 Apr 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | GiveWell | Factual | 6 Apr 2022 | Each of the six listed analyses relates to a program to which GiveWell has directed substantial funding (generally tens of millions of dollars) and which it intends to consider for substantial future funding. GiveWell · Factual · 6 Apr 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | GiveWell | Citation | 6 Apr 2022 | A post by the Happier Lives Institute proposes a different approach to modeling the long-term benefits of deworming programs and is a strong critique meeting the contest criteria. GiveWell · Citation · 6 Apr 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | GiveWell | Promise | 6 Apr 2022 | GiveWell will announce contest winners by December 15, 2022. GiveWell · Promise · 6 Apr 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | GiveWell | Prediction | 6 Apr 2022 | Most strong contest entries will focus on one of the six listed programs. GiveWell · Prediction · 6 Apr 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | GiveWell | Promise | 6 Apr 2022 | GiveWell will share a full, substantive response to the winning and runner-up contest entries. GiveWell · Promise · 6 Apr 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | GiveWell | Prediction | 6 Apr 2022 | Contest entries focused on the six listed programs will likely have a higher chance of meaningfully influencing GiveWell's overall allocation of funding. GiveWell · Prediction · 6 Apr 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 24 Mar 2022 | Zuckerberg said that a 15-year project he described has six or seven key unknowns, and that multiple teams are trying different approaches to them. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 24 Mar 2022 | This podcast is the first podcast or public appearance where Zuckerberg has discussed any of Meta's values. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 24 Mar 2022 | Each of Meta's company values is coupled with an operational effort. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 24 Mar 2022 | As Facebook grew, it produced so many bugs that fixing them slowed it down more than moving fast sped it up. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 24 Mar 2022 | The Oversight Board is a completely independent organization from Meta. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 24 Mar 2022 | Until the last few years, Meta had not focused as much on building awe-inspiring things, as opposed to widely used products. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 24 Mar 2022 | Since 2016, there has almost never been a month in which net public sentiment toward Facebook/Meta was positive. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 24 Mar 2022 | Workrooms will probably learn what it needs to do to become a great product a lot faster than many others in the space. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not yet due | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 24 Mar 2022 | Zuckerberg hopes that by the end of this decade 50 percent or more of Meta's workforce will work distributed and remotely. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 24 Mar 2022 | Meta's last company value is "Meta, Metamates, Me", adapted from the naval saying "Ship, shipmates, self." Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 24 Mar 2022 | Zuckerberg said Meta basically encodes a framework of goals, metrics to track those goals, and countermetrics into all of its teams across the company. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 24 Mar 2022 | When Facebook rebranded as Meta, the company internally asked what to call its employees. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 24 Mar 2022 | Meta has a rule that everyone in leadership or management should do at least one standing meeting a week in Workrooms. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 24 Mar 2022 | Workrooms is a VR product Meta built for collaboration. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Not researched | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 24 Mar 2022 | Meta changed its performance review cycle from every six months to once a year. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 24 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 23 Mar 2022 | Tyler Cowen published a Conversation with Lydia Davis. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Own records only | Tyler Cowen | Promise | 19 Mar 2022 | Tyler Cowen will make an Emergent Ventures donation to Mylovanov, with his team contacting him to ensure secure delivery. Tyler Cowen · Promise · 19 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Unresolvable | Scott Alexander | Factual | 14 Mar 2022 | Scott Alexander said that in February 2022 he had discussed problems with the Metaculus leaderboard. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 14 Mar 2022 | In February 2022 Scott Alexander suggested that Manifold Markets add a loan feature to boost investment in long-term markets. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Mar 2022 | Their own work or organisation |
“It's kind of when does volume production actually happen, and that's next year.”
Elon Musk, Tesla CEO, on earnings call 26 January 2023 Tesla Q4 2022 Earnings Call Transcript (Motley Fool)
Volume production of the vehicle under discussion will happen in 2024.
Delivered on time The record shows it happened or was so.
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
The vehicle is the one discussed in the 2023-01-26 Tesla earnings call (identify it from the transcript; likely the Cybertruck). True: Tesla's records show volume production of that vehicle during calendar 2024, meaning steady, ongoing series production at a meaningful rate (thousands of units per quarter, or Tesla stating in a shareholder update or filing that volume production had been reached in 2024), not just a handful of early units. Mostly true: production clearly ramped to volume in 2024 but fell slightly short of a detail, for example reaching volume only very late in the year. Mostly false: production started but stayed at low or pilot rates through 2024, or volume production was reached only after 2024. False: no production of the vehicle in 2024, or a dated report shows it was cancelled or postponed beyond 2024.
Evidence
- Is The Tesla Cybertruck a Hit Or Not? - The Autopian The Autopian · 20 December 2024
“he estimates that the company has produced 30,582 Cybertrucks in total as of Q3 2024. In that same time, the company has delivered just 21,450 examples.”
- Tesla gives update on Cybertruck, 1,000 in a week Electrek · 24 April 2024
“Cybertruck was at 1,000 a week just a couple of weeks ago. This happened in the first four to five months since we SOP (start of production) late last year. Of course, volume production is what matters.”
- Tesla gives update on Cybertruck, 1,000 in a week Electrek · 24 April 2024
“At that rate, Tesla should be at the planned volume production of 250,000 trucks per year early next year, which is about what the company guided.”
- exhibit - SEC.gov Tesla, Inc. (Q2 2024 Update, Exhibit 99.1, filed with the SEC) Own record
“Q2-2023 Q3-2023 Q4-2023 Q1-2024 Q2-2024 YoY Model 3/Y production 460,211 416,800 476,777 412,376 386,576 -16% Other models production 19,489 13,688 18,212 20,995 24,255 24%”
Reasoning
The resolution criteria identify the vehicle as likely the Cybertruck. Electrek (E2) reported in April 2024 that Cybertruck production had reached 1,000 units a week, a few months after production started in late 2023. An analyst estimate cited by The Autopian (E1) puts cumulative production at 30,582 by Q3 2024. Together with Electrek's April 2024 report of about 1,000 a week (E2), this fits the criteria's threshold of "thousands of units per quarter" in 2024. Tesla's Q2 2024 filing (E4) does not report the Cybertruck separately, but its "Other models" production rose in Q1 and Q2 2024, which is consistent with that ramp. The planned 250,000-a-year rate was expected only in early 2025 (E3), but the criteria do not require that rate.
Cite this claim
Elon Musk, “Volume production of the vehicle under discussion will happen in 2024.” (said 26 January 2023). Verdict: delivered on time. Reliability API, claim c_41fe7157d7dd, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_41fe7157d7dd
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.