Volume production of the vehicle under discussion will happen in 2024.
Delivered on time The record shows it happened or was so.
Promise: Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
The vehicle is the one discussed in the 2023-01-26 Tesla earnings call (identify it from the transcript; likely the Cybertruck). True: Tesla's records show volume production of that vehicle during calendar 2024, meaning steady, ongoing series production at a meaningful rate (thousands of units per quarter, or Tesla stating in a shareholder update or filing that volume production had been reached in 2024), not just a handful of early units. Mostly true: production clearly ramped to volume in 2024 but fell slightly short of a detail, for example reaching volume only very late in the year. Mostly false: production started but stayed at low or pilot rates through 2024, or volume production was reached only after 2024. False: no production of the vehicle in 2024, or a dated report shows it was cancelled or postponed beyond 2024.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (4)
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E1 Is The Tesla Cybertruck a Hit Or Not? - The Autopian The Autopian · 20 December 2024
“he estimates that the company has produced 30,582 Cybertrucks in total as of Q3 2024. In that same time, the company has delivered just 21,450 examples.”
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E2 Tesla gives update on Cybertruck, 1,000 in a week Electrek · 24 April 2024
“Cybertruck was at 1,000 a week just a couple of weeks ago. This happened in the first four to five months since we SOP (start of production) late last year. Of course, volume production is what matters.”
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E3 Tesla gives update on Cybertruck, 1,000 in a week Electrek · 24 April 2024
“At that rate, Tesla should be at the planned volume production of 250,000 trucks per year early next year, which is about what the company guided.”
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E4 exhibit - SEC.gov Tesla, Inc. (Q2 2024 Update, Exhibit 99.1, filed with the SEC) Own record
“Q2-2023 Q3-2023 Q4-2023 Q1-2024 Q2-2024 YoY Model 3/Y production 460,211 416,800 476,777 412,376 386,576 -16% Other models production 19,489 13,688 18,212 20,995 24,255 24%”
Reasoning
The resolution criteria identify the vehicle as likely the Cybertruck. Electrek (E2) reported in April 2024 that Cybertruck production had reached 1,000 units a week, a few months after production started in late 2023. An analyst estimate cited by The Autopian (E1) puts cumulative production at 30,582 by Q3 2024. Together with Electrek's April 2024 report of about 1,000 a week (E2), this fits the criteria's threshold of "thousands of units per quarter" in 2024. Tesla's Q2 2024 filing (E4) does not report the Cybertruck separately, but its "Other models" production rose in Q1 and Q2 2024, which is consistent with that ramp. The planned 250,000-a-year rate was expected only in early 2025 (E3), but the criteria do not require that rate.
Cite this claim
Elon Musk, “Volume production of the vehicle under discussion will happen in 2024.” (said 26 January 2023). Verdict: delivered on time. Reliability API, claim c_41fe7157d7dd, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_41fe7157d7dd
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More promise claims by Elon Musk
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Resolved false
“I really think long-term, the only vehicles that we'll make will be autonomous vehicles with the exception of the next generation Roadster which we're hoping to debut in April.”
Tesla hopes to debut the next-generation Roadster in April 2026.
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Resolved false
“We will probably unveil Optimus 3 in a few months.”
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Delivered on time
“We expect to start production in April.”
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Resolved true
“it's time to bring the Model S and X programs to an end with an honorable discharge.”
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Delivered on time
“we expect to wind down S and X production next quarter and basically stop production of Model S and X next quarter.”
Tesla expects to wind down and basically stop Model S and X production next quarter.
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.