Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

6,750 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Mostly true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 Dalio said that history shows all fiat currencies go down in all such periods, which followed the interviewer's reference to times "where they can print the money". Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Training AI models is extremely expensive and requires a massive amount of compute, which is limited in supply. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Anthropic is open about the fact that its AI models sometimes make things up or get confused. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Ray Dalio Prediction 9 May 2026 Interest rates will rise, hurting markets, and central banks will print money, devaluing it and creating stagflation. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 9 May 2026 Economics and markets
Not yet due Ray Dalio Prediction 9 May 2026 Republicans will probably lose control of the US House in the 2026 midterm elections. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 9 May 2026 AI policy and governance
Not yet due Ray Dalio Prediction 9 May 2026 Dalio said he thinks that over the next five years there will be huge changes as five forces, which the quoted passage does not name, come together, and that afterwards things will be almost unrecognizable. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 9 May 2026 Other global risks
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Anthropic publishes an economic index showing how people are using AI today. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI, the economy and work
Mostly false Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 Throughout history, including before World War II, societies have generally had rising living standards and become richer. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Medical research shows people with a good relationship with their doctor tend to have better clinical outcomes. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 Science and research methods
Unresolvable Ray Dalio Prediction 9 May 2026 The development under discussion can be a major productivity enhancer that may perhaps help mitigate a number of debt problems. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 9 May 2026 AI, the economy and work
Not yet due Ray Dalio Prediction 9 May 2026 Political and social conflict in the US will intensify between the 2026 midterms and the 2028 presidential election. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 9 May 2026 Philosophy, ethics and society
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Anthropic conducted a qualitative survey speaking with 81,000 people about how they use AI. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI, the economy and work
Mostly true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 At the end of World War II, the United States had half of world GDP and the dominant military power. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Other global risks
Mostly true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 The US government takes in about $5 trillion and spends about $7 trillion, about 40% more than it takes in. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Economics and markets
Mostly false Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 AI is now creating enormous wealth gaps between its beneficiaries and others. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI, the economy and work
Unresolvable Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 Dalio has spoken to top levels of both the Democratic and Republican parties, and everyone agrees on the mechanics of how debt crises work. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Claude sometimes gives incorrect answers. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI capabilities
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Global AI adoption is not evenly spread across countries and demographics. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI, the economy and work
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 The AI industry is a high capital expenditure business that carries inherent risks. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Daniela Amodei Prediction 9 May 2026 AI will become very good at medical diagnosis. Daniela Amodei · Prediction · 9 May 2026 AI capabilities
Unresolvable Ray Dalio Prediction 9 May 2026 AI will replace a lot of jobs. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 9 May 2026 AI, the economy and work
Mostly true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 AI companies must buy compute far in advance. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Resolved true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 About one-third of US debt is held by foreigners. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 Dalio said that US dominance in the world order, and the conflict, are worse off; he did not name the period he was comparing with. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Other global risks
Mostly true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Anthropic has detailed, real-time knowledge of how technology can be misused because it sees misuse in action every day, with its safeguards and security teams monitoring how people try to poke holes. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI safety and alignment
Resolved true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 Dalio said that, as most people see it, climate conditions are moving toward worsening rather than improvement. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Other global risks
Resolved true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 There are more guns in the United States than people. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Philosophy, ethics and society
Resolved true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 Ray Dalio studied roughly the last 500 years of history to find what causes the rise and decline of reserve currencies and empires. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ray Dalio Prediction 9 May 2026 Dalio said he does not think any of the fiat currencies will be effective stores of wealth. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 9 May 2026 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Ray Dalio Prediction 9 May 2026 Dalio said he does not think China will end up being the classic hegemon. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 9 May 2026 Other global risks
Mostly true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 People in developing countries are usually way more optimistic about AI, seeing it as a huge opportunity and a potential equalizer, while people in the US, Europe and parts of Asia tend to feel more anxious. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI, the economy and work
Mostly true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 The monetary system broke down in 1971 while the United States was still a dominant power. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Economics and markets
Mostly true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Daniela Amodei started working at Stripe when it had about 40 people. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 AI is currently enabling workers rather than replacing them outright. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI, the economy and work
Unresolvable Ray Dalio Prediction 9 May 2026 The US will enter a period of greater disorder from a confluence of monetary, domestic social/political and international order pressures. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 9 May 2026 Other global risks
Mostly true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Amodei said her organisation had developed a powerful new class of model and, in a decision she linked to Project Glasswing, held off wide release because it felt it needed more time to ensure the model was safe. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI safety and alignment
Resolved true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Daniela Amodei graduated college in 2009 with a literature degree. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 60% of the American people have below a 6th grade reading level. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Philosophy, ethics and society
Unresolvable Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Most of Anthropic's revenue comes from businesses. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ray Dalio Prediction 9 May 2026 Dalio said he very much doubts that China, or Chinese debt, will be a serious store of wealth, citing China's history of not protecting wealth. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 9 May 2026 Economics and markets
Mostly true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Anthropic chose not to release its latest model widely because of concerns about cyber misuse. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 AI safety and alignment
Unresolvable Ray Dalio Prediction 9 May 2026 A coming financial crisis will leave the US with very limited capacity to spend. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 9 May 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 9 May 2026 It has been 10 years since AlphaGo. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 9 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 The decline of British power began before the Suez crisis. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Other global risks
Resolved true Ray Dalio Factual 9 May 2026 Gold is currently the second largest reserve asset of central banks, after the dollar. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 Economics and markets
Unresolvable Daniela Amodei Prediction 9 May 2026 AI will change the types of jobs available and how people work. Daniela Amodei · Prediction · 9 May 2026 AI, the economy and work
Mostly true Daniela Amodei Factual 9 May 2026 Daniela Amodei spent nearly six years at Stripe working closely with engineers. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ørsted Factual 6 May 2026 Ørsted has commenced installation of monopile foundations at Hornsea 3 in the UK and Baltica 2 in Poland. Ørsted · Factual · 6 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ørsted Prediction 6 May 2026 Commissioning of Greater Changhua 2b and 4 offshore wind farms in Taiwan remains on track for the third quarter of 2026. Ørsted · Prediction · 6 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Prediction 6 May 2026 Ørsted will significantly increase its power generation throughout 2026 as its offshore construction projects are delivered. Ørsted · Prediction · 6 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Ørsted Factual 6 May 2026 Ørsted's net profit for Q1 2026 was DKK 2.6 billion, affected by non-cash tax effects and impairments due to higher long-dated US interest rates. Ørsted · Factual · 6 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ørsted Prediction 6 May 2026 Offshore wind and other renewables deployed at scale can deliver secure, green energy and significantly lower total system costs for households and businesses. Ørsted · Prediction · 6 May 2026 Technology
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 6 May 2026 Ørsted maintains its gross investment guidance of DKK 50-55 billion. Ørsted · Promise · 6 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ørsted Factual 6 May 2026 Ørsted's offshore business EBITDA in Q1 2026 was DKK 7.5 billion, up DKK 1.2 billion from the same period last year. Ørsted · Factual · 6 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Ørsted Promise 6 May 2026 Ørsted maintains its full-year 2026 EBITDA guidance of above DKK 28 billion excluding new partnerships and cancellation fees. Ørsted · Promise · 6 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Ørsted Factual 6 May 2026 Revolution Wind delivered first power to New England and the first wind turbines were installed at Sunrise Wind outside New York, per Ørsted's Q1 2026 announcement. Ørsted · Factual · 6 May 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 Meta is already training models more advanced than Muse Spark. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 Meta released its Muse family of models in 2026, starting with Muse Spark, along with a significantly upgraded Meta AI. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 29 Apr 2026 Zuckerberg expects 2026 to be a key period for establishing AI agents as the way people use AI. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 29 Apr 2026 AI capabilities
Mixed Rodney Brooks Factual 29 Apr 2026 The Trump administration's DOJ has said that Jan 6th rioters who threatened to hang Mike Pence should be pardoned. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Other
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 Most of the increase in Meta's 2026 infrastructure capex forecast is due to higher component costs, particularly memory pricing. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 29 Apr 2026 Zuckerberg said he believes the future will see a massive increase in entrepreneurship from people creating new things they have always wanted to exist but previously did not have the tools to bring into the world. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 29 Apr 2026 AI, the economy and work
Not yet due Mark Zuckerberg Guidance 29 Apr 2026 Meta is increasing its 2026 infrastructure capital expenditure forecast. Mark Zuckerberg · Guidance · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 More than 3.5 billion people use at least one Meta app every day. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 As of April 2026, Meta has its next set of more advanced AI models in training. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 29 Apr 2026 Demis Hassabis met South Korean President Lee Jae-myung in Seoul. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 Meta AI use has increased greatly since the updates, and the Meta AI app has consistently been near the top of the app stores. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 Meta is testing an early version of business AIs, and weekly conversations have grown 10 times since the start of 2026. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 Meta remains the biggest investor in VR across the industry. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 Mark Zuckerberg said Meta released Ray-Ban MetaOptics glasses "this quarter" (as of April 29, 2026), designed for all-day wear rather than primarily as sunglasses. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Rodney Brooks Factual 29 Apr 2026 The Trump administration's DOJ says James Comey should be prosecuted over a photograph of sea shells spelling "8647". Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Other
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 Meta is rolling out more than one gigawatt of custom silicon developed with Broadcom, plus a significant amount of AMD chips, alongside new NVIDIA systems. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 AI compute, hardware and data
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 Meta is seeing increasing examples of one or two people building in a week what previously took dozens of people months. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 AI, the economy and work
Own records only Mark Zuckerberg Factual 29 Apr 2026 The number of people using Meta's AI glasses daily tripled year over year. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Unresolvable Rodney Brooks Factual 27 Apr 2026 The US last built a battleship in 1944. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 27 Apr 2026 Other
Unresolvable Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 20 Apr 2026 LLMs generalize at a more shallow level than the deep-rooted commitments of a human with integrity. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 20 Apr 2026 AI safety and alignment
Mostly true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 20 Apr 2026 Once formed through RL training, an LLM's test-passing preference stands on its own and is not overridden by its inference of what the user wants. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 20 Apr 2026 AI safety and alignment
Unresolvable Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 20 Apr 2026 LLMs that learn to predict writing by people on LSD do not themselves have distorted cognition, because that would not yield well-calibrated predictions. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 20 Apr 2026 AI safety and alignment
Mostly true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 20 Apr 2026 LLMs surely have neural circuits they learned to model text streams from fictional and nonfictional personas that are not lying, deceiving… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 20 Apr 2026 AI safety and alignment
Mostly true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 20 Apr 2026 LLMs' predict-as-if-honest circuitry is contextual, invoked for predicting some text streams but not others. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 20 Apr 2026 AI safety and alignment
Mixed Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 20 Apr 2026 Yudkowsky himself observed the persona-selection-like hypothesis around the time of GPT 3.5. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 20 Apr 2026 AI safety and alignment
Mostly true Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 20 Apr 2026 Presumably, at some point during RL training on code-passing tasks, LLMs learn a dispreference for failing tests, independent of how that is avoided or whether the user's real goal is met. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 20 Apr 2026 AI safety and alignment
Unresolvable Demis Hassabis Factual 14 Apr 2026 Gemini Robotics-ER 1.6 enables robots like Boston Dynamics' Spot to read complex industrial gauges autonomously. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 14 Apr 2026 AI capabilities
Mostly true Rodney Brooks Factual 12 Apr 2026 JD Vance campaigned for Viktor Orban in the Hungarian elections the week before 12 April 2026, and Orban lost the election. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 12 Apr 2026 Other
Resolved true Rodney Brooks Factual 12 Apr 2026 A Putin ally suffered a major defeat in the election after 16 years in power. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 12 Apr 2026 Other
Mostly true Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 Deep Blue was world-champion level at chess but could not do anything else. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 AI capabilities
Not yet due Demis Hassabis Prediction 10 Apr 2026 Within 50 years, AI-enabled abundance could lead to human flourishing, cured diseases, longer healthier lives and travel to the stars. Demis Hassabis · Prediction · 10 Apr 2026 AI timelines and forecasting
Unresolvable Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 Knowing a protein's structure is only one small part of the drug discovery process. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 Science and research methods
Mostly true Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 Demis Hassabis decided from a very young age to work on AI because he was obsessed with big questions as a schoolchild. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Not yet due Demis Hassabis Prediction 10 Apr 2026 Science-fiction developments such as asteroid mining become very plausible in the next 50 years. Demis Hassabis · Prediction · 10 Apr 2026 Technology
Unresolvable Demis Hassabis Prediction 10 Apr 2026 There could be unique things, and unique connections between humans, that AI systems will never replicate. Demis Hassabis · Prediction · 10 Apr 2026 Philosophy, ethics and society
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 Over 3 million scientists are now using AlphaFold. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 Science and research methods
Unresolvable Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 Transformers, invented by Google colleagues, together with some reinforcement learning, proved sufficient to crack language tasks without further major breakthroughs. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 AI capabilities
Mixed Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 Hassabis got into AI originally because he was interested in big questions such as the nature of reality and consciousness. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 Only about 10% of drugs get through all the clinical stages. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 Science and research methods
Unresolvable Demis Hassabis Prediction 10 Apr 2026 Hassabis thinks the types of technologies behind the drug programs his team is working on should eventually be able to help across almost every therapeutic area. Demis Hassabis · Prediction · 10 Apr 2026 Science and research methods
Mostly true Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 A protein's 3D structure is what determines, or partially determines, its function. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 Science and research methods
Not yet due Demis Hassabis Prediction 10 Apr 2026 Within 50 years, humanity could get safely through the AGI moment, with AGI built and helpful to society. Demis Hassabis · Prediction · 10 Apr 2026 AI timelines and forecasting
Own records only Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 Public users may have access to cutting-edge AI technology perhaps only 3 to 6 months behind what is in the labs. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 AI policy and governance
Own records only Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 Hassabis said he thinks his team is working on about 18 or 19 drug programs across a range of areas, from cardiovascular disease to cancer to immunology. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
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Factual Their own work or organisation

“First, I spent nearly six years at Stripe working closely with engineers—research and engineering aren’t the same, but there’s definitely some overlap and it gave me a solid grounding.”

Daniela Amodei, Anthropic president 9 May 2026 Daniela Amodei, Co-Founder and President of Anthropic: Building AI the Right Way (transcript) (The Transcript Desk)

Daniela Amodei spent nearly six years at Stripe working closely with engineers.

Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.

What would count as true or false

Judge as of 9 May 2026. Establish Daniela Amodei's start and end dates at Stripe. True if her tenure was about 5.5 to 6 years and her roles involved working with engineering teams (for example technical recruiting, or risk or engineering-adjacent management). Mostly true if her tenure was about 5 to 5.5 years or slightly over 6 years (up to about 6.5), or if the 'closely with engineers' part is only loosely supported. Mixed if her tenure was about 4–5 years. Mostly false if it was about 3–4 years. False if it was under 3 years or over about 7 years, or if she did not work at Stripe.

Evidence

  1. Stripe is the most underrated—and influential—$159 billion company in the world Fast Company · 16 July 2026
    “Anthropic cofounder Daniela Amodei joined Stripe in 2013 as a lead technical recruiter, employee no. 45. (She left in 2018 to work at OpenAI.)”
  2. Daniela Amodei — Biography, Career & Key Ideas Faster Than Normal · 5 October 2026
    “In May 2013, Daniela Amodei joined Stripe as roughly its fortieth employee. Her title was lead technical recruiter.”
  3. Daniela Amodei — Biography, Career & Key Ideas Faster Than Normal · 5 October 2026
    “In August 2015 she became a risk program manager. From January 2016 to July 2018 she was a risk manager covering core operations, user policy, and underwriting.”
  4. Daniela Amodei — Biography, Career & Key Ideas Faster Than Normal · 5 October 2026
    “Her first exposure to machine learning came here, working with engineers, data scientists, and lawyers on fraud and credit models.”

Reasoning

E2 and E3 put her Stripe tenure at May 2013 to July 2018, about 5 years and 2 months. E1 agrees independently, saying she joined in 2013 and left in 2018. That is in the 5–5.5 year band, so "nearly six years" overstates it somewhat. Her roles as lead technical recruiter (E1, E2) and in risk, where she worked with engineers, data scientists and lawyers on risk and credit models (E3, E4), support the "closely with engineers" part.

Cite this claim

Daniela Amodei, “Daniela Amodei spent nearly six years at Stripe working closely with engineers.” (said 9 May 2026). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_f5a13a1eeb60, method 0.1.0+28da144b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_f5a13a1eeb60

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.