Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

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2,653 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Resolved true Marc Andreessen Prediction 18 Apr 2020 The essay "It's Time to Build" will be the target of criticism. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 18 Apr 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Marc Andreessen Factual 18 Apr 2020 Things built in huge quantities, like computers and TVs, drop rapidly in price. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 18 Apr 2020 Economics and markets
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 31 Mar 2020 Peter Thiel had warned about biomedical red tape about five years before March 2020. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 31 Mar 2020 Biosecurity
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 31 Mar 2020 Censoring anyone in this way, let alone a head of state, will push people towards censorship-resistant platforms. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 31 Mar 2020 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 30 Mar 2020 It took about 10 years for the economy to recover from the Great Recession. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 30 Mar 2020 Economics and markets
Mixed Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 30 Mar 2020 When US stimulus checks arrive, people will spend them on consumer staples, after which prices will rise. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 30 Mar 2020 Economics and markets
Resolved true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 30 Mar 2020 Europe has reported low quality masks and tests imported from China. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 30 Mar 2020 Biosecurity
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 30 Mar 2020 Steven Pinker and an epidemiologist were featured as Harvard experts in a Harvard article on the fate of the handshake. Steven Pinker · Factual · 30 Mar 2020 Other
Mostly false Jim Cramer Factual 30 Mar 2020 On 2020-03-30 falling oil prices were pushing down the S&P 500, with oil about to fall through $19 a barrel. Jim Cramer · Factual · 30 Mar 2020 Economics and markets
Mixed Balaji Srinivasan Factual 29 Mar 2020 Vox did not accurately relay what experts were saying at the time; WHO had declared a global emergency in late January 2020, weeks before the Recode handshake piece. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 29 Mar 2020 Other
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 29 Mar 2020 The COVID-19 lockdown will not be the last lockdown. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 29 Mar 2020 Biosecurity
Resolved true Nate Silver Factual 29 Mar 2020 The Netherlands considered a herd immunity strategy and its case fatality rate is now 7% as of 2020-03-29. Nate Silver · Factual · 29 Mar 2020 Biosecurity
Mostly true Nate Silver Prediction 28 Mar 2020 The coronavirus peak in the NYC metro area will probably come sooner than elsewhere in the US. Nate Silver · Prediction · 28 Mar 2020 Biosecurity
Resolved true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 28 Mar 2020 Fear of retaliation may be why many doctors did not go on the record in recent weeks about equipment shortages. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 28 Mar 2020 Biosecurity
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 24 Mar 2020 Avoiding terms like 'Chinese Virus' and 'Wuhan virus' is part of a trend within medicine to avoid stigmatizing names for diseases and conditions. Steven Pinker · Factual · 24 Mar 2020 Philosophy, ethics and society
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 20 Mar 2020 John Ioannidis published a 2005 article that alerted scientists to the replicability crisis. Steven Pinker · Factual · 20 Mar 2020 Science and research methods
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 13 Mar 2020 A very large number of people may need to be tested for COVID-19 because there may be more spreaders than assumed. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 13 Mar 2020 Biosecurity
Mixed Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 13 Mar 2020 Testing may need to become extremely routine, effectively mainstreaming genomics. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 13 Mar 2020 Biosecurity
Resolved true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 13 Mar 2020 If about 100 people in San Francisco had the virus, there would be about a 10 percent chance that a 1,000-person gathering includes an infected person. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 13 Mar 2020 Biosecurity
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 13 Mar 2020 The pandemic will force everybody to treat remote work as primary rather than auxiliary. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 13 Mar 2020 Economics and markets
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 13 Mar 2020 People will lean harder into social networks and online games as proxies for offline socialization because of the pandemic. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 13 Mar 2020 Philosophy, ethics and society
Resolved true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 13 Mar 2020 Real-time PCR is not especially fast; 'real time' refers to something different. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 13 Mar 2020 Biosecurity
Resolved true Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 13 Mar 2020 People who suffer severe COVID-19 may have long-term health impacts that are not yet known. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 13 Mar 2020 Biosecurity
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 13 Mar 2020 COVID-19 testing involves taking a swab from the patient's mouth or nose, sending it to a lab, and receiving a positive or negative result. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 13 Mar 2020 Biosecurity
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 13 Mar 2020 The pandemic will be a gigantic boost for every diagnostic and medical imaging company in the world, with defense-budget-level spending. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 13 Mar 2020 Economics and markets
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 13 Mar 2020 Health screening of travellers will move to real time, within a day or an hour before boarding a flight. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 13 Mar 2020 Biosecurity
Resolved true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 13 Mar 2020 COVID-19 is spreading uncontrollably on multiple continents, so it meets the definition of a pandemic. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 13 Mar 2020 Biosecurity
Resolved true Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 13 Mar 2020 COVID-19 will cause at least a recession, likely something more severe. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 13 Mar 2020 Economics and markets
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 13 Mar 2020 2020 will establish a lasting new normal, as World War Two did for women in the workforce. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 13 Mar 2020 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mixed Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 13 Mar 2020 Srinivasan said he thought China would build a nationwide system that constantly sequences and tests its population, then quarantines and vaccinates areas where a virus is rising. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 13 Mar 2020 Biosecurity
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Prediction 13 Mar 2020 Work-from-home tools such as home office chat will get really good as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Balaji Srinivasan · Prediction · 13 Mar 2020 Technology
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 12 Mar 2020 The newest lecture in Gen Ed 1066, Rationality, is titled Social and Political Bias. Steven Pinker · Factual · 12 Mar 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 OpenAI, a Khosla investment, is pursuing the goal of building artificial general intelligence (transcribed as 'ADR'). Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 AI capabilities
Resolved true Vinod Khosla Factual 24 Feb 2020 Square's current business was not part of the plan when Khosla Ventures originally invested; it started as a hardware dongle. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 24 Feb 2020 Economics and markets
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 12 Feb 2020 Demis Hassabis received the 2020 Dan David Prize Future Award alongside Prof. Amnon Shashua. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 12 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 10 Feb 2020 The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation was started 20 years before 2020. Bill Gates · Factual · 10 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual 10 Feb 2020 For the last 20 years the Gates Foundation has focused on improving global health and strengthening US public education. Bill Gates · Factual · 10 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 10 Feb 2020 Gavi has brought more vaccines and supplies into the market while lowering prices. Bill Gates · Factual · 10 Feb 2020 Economics and markets
Resolved true Bill Gates Factual 10 Feb 2020 Gates said that "we" had known for a while that they wanted to give away the majority of their wealth from Microsoft and use it to make people's lives better. Bill Gates · Factual · 10 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual 10 Feb 2020 The Gates Foundation has spent $53.8 billion over its first 20 years. Bill Gates · Factual · 10 Feb 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Bill Gates Factual 10 Feb 2020 Vaginal gels were not effective at stopping HIV transmission, despite the foundation's optimism that they could prevent infection. Bill Gates · Factual · 10 Feb 2020 Biosecurity
Mostly false Bill Gates Factual 10 Feb 2020 An HIV-positive person receiving treatment now has the same expected lifespan as someone without HIV. Bill Gates · Factual · 10 Feb 2020 Biosecurity
Resolved true Peter Thiel Factual 7 Feb 2020 China's per capita GDP is close to $10,000. Peter Thiel · Factual · 7 Feb 2020 Economics and markets
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual 7 Feb 2020 The US economy was not deeply connected to the Soviet Union's during the Cold War. Peter Thiel · Factual · 7 Feb 2020 Economics and markets
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual 7 Feb 2020 The US and Chinese economies are very deeply connected. Peter Thiel · Factual · 7 Feb 2020 Economics and markets
Mostly true Peter Thiel Factual 7 Feb 2020 The main way middle-class people in the US accumulate capital is by owning real estate, their house. Peter Thiel · Factual · 7 Feb 2020 Economics and markets
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 15 Jan 2020 The DeepMind Nature paper takes inspiration from its recent reinforcement learning work to shed new light on how dopamine works in the brain. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 15 Jan 2020 Science and research methods
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 15 Jan 2020 A DeepMind paper on AI and neuroscience was published in Nature on 2020-01-15. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 15 Jan 2020 Science and research methods
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 15 Jan 2020 DeepMind's AlphaFold work, using deep neural networks to predict protein structures, was published in Nature on 2020-01-15. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 15 Jan 2020 Science and research methods
Resolved true Demis Hassabis Factual 1 Jan 2020 The DeepMind, Google Health and Cancer Research UK breast cancer screening study was published in Nature on 2020-01-01. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 Science and research methods
Resolved true Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2020 Starliner launched on December 20, 2019 and reached orbit, but due to software failures it was in the wrong orbit and lacked fuel to reach the ISS. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 Technology
Mostly true Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2020 During 2019 Waymo started operating what Brooks called a 'taxi service' in Chandler, Arizona, with no human driver in the vehicles. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 Technology
Resolved true Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2020 Neither Boeing nor SpaceX achieved crewed capsule flight in 2019, after major failures with their systems. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 Technology
Resolved true Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2020 On 20 April 2019 a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule exploded during a ground test. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 Technology
Mostly true Rodney Brooks Factual 1 Jan 2020 The December 2019 Starliner flight was meant to be the final unmanned test, planned to dock with the ISS and then soft-land on the ground. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 1 Jan 2020 Technology
Mostly true Jeremy Grantham Prediction 2020 By the end of 2020, thousands of corporate bankruptcies will arrive into a peak of already existing corporate debt. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 2020 Economics and markets
Mostly true Jeremy Grantham Factual 2020 The U.S. economy is currently in its worst 10% of historical conditions, perhaps even the worst 1%. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2020 Economics and markets
Mostly false Jeremy Grantham Prediction 2020 During the depressed earnings phase, market P/E ratios will be pulled down, giving a lower multiple of substantially lower earnings. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 2020 Economics and markets
Mostly true Jeremy Grantham Prediction 2020 It is nearly certain that a V-shaped economic recovery from the coronavirus crisis looks like a lost hope. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 2020 Economics and markets
Mostly true Jeremy Grantham Factual 2020 In Grantham's opinion, the U.S. trend GDP growth rate has fallen from over 3% a year to at best 1.5%. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 2020 Economics and markets
Mostly true Jeremy Grantham Prediction 2020 U.S. unemployment will reach up to 20% for at least a moment. Jeremy Grantham · Prediction · 2020 Economics and markets
Mostly false Balaji Srinivasan Factual 31 Dec 2019 Roughly two years of monetizing WhatsApp at Facebook's ARPU would yield about $19B in revenue, the amount Facebook paid for WhatsApp. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 31 Dec 2019 Economics and markets
Mostly true Nassim Taleb Factual 30 Dec 2019 In 2019 Taleb gave a lecture in Lebanese, "From Ponzi to Localism", at USJ, broadcast on Lebanese TV during the riots. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 30 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nassim Taleb Factual 29 Dec 2019 It is almost always different people who are getting richer, owing to rotation at the top of the wealth distribution. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 29 Dec 2019 Economics and markets
Mostly true Nassim Taleb Factual 29 Dec 2019 The richest 1% of people in 2019 are not quite the same individuals as the richest 1% of 2009. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 29 Dec 2019 Economics and markets
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 27 Dec 2019 Pinker took on an assignment from the Financial Times to write about what to expect from the 2020s for its end-of-year issue. Steven Pinker · Factual · 27 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Nouriel Roubini Factual 27 Dec 2019 The latest issue of CIRSD's Horizons magazine includes Roubini's article "The Specter of Deglobalization and the Thucydides Trap". Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 27 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 26 Dec 2019 The Oculus Quest VR headset has been a sleeper hit commercially. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 26 Dec 2019 Technology
Mostly false Steven Pinker Factual 26 Dec 2019 Enlightenment ideals are rising in the Islamic world, riding a six-decade global wave of liberal values documented by the World Values Survey. Steven Pinker · Factual · 26 Dec 2019 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mixed Nassim Taleb Factual 25 Dec 2019 During 2019 overwhelming DNA evidence emerged that Southern Levantines had DNA indistinguishable from that of Imperial Romans. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 25 Dec 2019 Science and research methods
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 25 Dec 2019 A website with a .eth or other crypto domain can now hold a crypto wallet as well as metadata. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 25 Dec 2019 Technology
Resolved true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 24 Dec 2019 PostgreSQL natively indexes JSON data via the JSONB type. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 24 Dec 2019 Technology
Mostly true Balaji Srinivasan Factual 24 Dec 2019 As advertising load rises, customer satisfaction falls. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 24 Dec 2019 Economics and markets
Mostly true Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen expected China to have an excess-capacity debt crisis, and it did not happen. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Economics and markets
Mostly true Steven Pinker Factual 23 Dec 2019 Public health research and evidence-based harm reduction policies save tens of thousands of lives every year. Steven Pinker · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Other
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 23 Dec 2019 Steven Pinker wrote a guest post titled 'NIPS vs. NeurIPS' on Scott Aaronson's blog Shtetl-Optimized. Steven Pinker · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Bloomberg's first tier of readers are those who subscribe to its terminals. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Economics and markets
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Most podcasts do not offer a transcript. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen first went to China about 30 years before 2019 and has been there many times since. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Tyler Cowen Factual 23 Dec 2019 Gordon Tullock dictated his writing using a tape recorder, not software, and then had someone type it out. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Other
Mostly true Nassim Taleb Factual 22 Dec 2019 Levantine Arabic is not a dialect of Classical Arabic (Fus7a), according to the works of @Safaitic and @PhDniX. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 22 Dec 2019 Science and research methods
Resolved true Steven Pinker Factual 21 Dec 2019 The plural of Prius is Priuses, because names take regular plurals, as in the Childs, the Manns and the Maple Leafs. Steven Pinker · Factual · 21 Dec 2019 Other
Mixed Nouriel Roubini Factual 27 Nov 2019 As of 27 November 2019, Ethereum is down 90% from its peak and close to its 2018 low. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 27 Nov 2019 Economics and markets
Mostly true Nouriel Roubini Factual 20 Nov 2019 In November 2019 there is a growing disconnect between mediocre global economic growth with rising risks and frothy, exuberant financial markets. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 20 Nov 2019 Economics and markets
Resolved true Gary Marcus Factual 14 Nov 2019 Gary Marcus wrote a book called The Birth of the Mind about how a small number of genes builds a complex brain. Gary Marcus · Factual · 14 Nov 2019 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Gary Marcus Factual 14 Nov 2019 Cyc is not an end-to-end system. Gary Marcus · Factual · 14 Nov 2019 AI capabilities
Mixed Gary Marcus Factual 14 Nov 2019 AI currently lacks a way of building reusable skills. Gary Marcus · Factual · 14 Nov 2019 AI capabilities
Resolved true Gary Marcus Factual 14 Nov 2019 AlphaGo is a hybrid system that uses deep learning for pattern recognition and Monte Carlo tree search, a symbolic operation, to search possibilities. Gary Marcus · Factual · 14 Nov 2019 AI capabilities
Mixed Nouriel Roubini Factual 6 Nov 2019 As of November 2019, no application of blockchain, defined as a public, decentralized, permission-less, trustless ledger, works or is widely used despite billions spent on it over a decade. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 6 Nov 2019 Technology
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 17 Oct 2019 A decade before 2019, almost all of the major internet platforms were American. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 Technology
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Promise 17 Oct 2019 Facebook is establishing an independent Oversight Board for people to appeal its content decisions. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 17 Oct 2019 Facebook works with independent fact checkers to stop viral hoaxes from spreading. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 17 Oct 2019 Almost half the world's population now has a voice through the internet. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 17 Oct 2019 Laws and regulations around the world that undermine free expression and human rights are increasing. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 Philosophy, ethics and society
Resolved true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 17 Oct 2019 Facebook does not fact-check political ads. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Promise 17 Oct 2019 Facebook's Oversight Board will have power to make final binding decisions on whether content stays up or comes down, which Facebook's team and Zuckerberg cannot overturn. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Mark Zuckerberg Factual 17 Oct 2019 Facebook does not operate Facebook, Instagram or its other services in China, which Zuckerberg gave as partly linked to his question about whether that is the internet we want. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 17 Oct 2019 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Nate Silver Factual 29 Sep 2019 Margins of error in individual state and national primary polls on support among black or Hispanic voters are often very high, for example around +/- 10%. Nate Silver · Factual · 29 Sep 2019 Science and research methods
Resolved true Nate Silver Factual 27 Sep 2019 Democratic primary delegate allocation is highly proportional, and a candidate eventually needs a majority of delegates to win. Nate Silver · Factual · 27 Sep 2019 AI policy and governance
Mostly true Nate Silver Factual 26 Sep 2019 In the Democratic primary, a candidate who gets under 15% in a given state or district receives no delegates. Nate Silver · Factual · 26 Sep 2019 AI policy and governance
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Marc Andreessen

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Factual Economics and markets

“The things we build in huge quantities, like computers and TVs, drop rapidly in price.”

Marc Andreessen, a16z co-founder, essay author 18 April 2020 It's Time to Build (a16z)

Things built in huge quantities, like computers and TVs, drop rapidly in price.

Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

Judged as of 2020-04-18. The claim is a general economic statement that mass-produced goods such as computers and TVs fall quickly in price. True: price indices (for example the US CPI for televisions and for personal computers) show steep falls in real or quality-adjusted prices over the years before 2020, and the economic evidence broadly supports falling prices for goods made in very large quantities. Mostly true: TVs and computers clearly fell steeply in price, but the generalization to all goods built in huge quantities holds only broadly. Mixed: the named examples fell in price, but many other high-volume goods did not, so the general statement holds only about half the time. Mostly false: the declines are mostly quality-adjusted measures while nominal prices were flat, or the cited examples are exceptions stated as a general rule. False: computer and TV prices did not fall over that period.

Evidence

  1. Long-term price trends for computers, TVs, and related items U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (The Economics Daily) · 13 October 2015
    “From December 1997 to August 2015, the Consumer Price Index for personal computers and peripheral equipment declined 96 percent. Most of the decline in this index occurred between 1998 and 2003.”
  2. Long-term price trends for computers, TVs, and related items U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (The Economics Daily) · 13 October 2015
    “The price index for TVs decreased 94 percent from December 1997 to August 2015. This decline was more gradual than the decline in the price index for personal computers.”
  3. Long-term price trends for computers, TVs, and related items U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (The Economics Daily) · 13 October 2015
    “These data are from the Consumer Price Index (CPI) program. The CPI adjusts prices to account for changes in the quality of consumer electronics and other items.”
  4. Lettuce prices up 15 percent, TV prices down 17 percent over the year ending February 2019 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (The Economics Daily) · 18 March 2019
    “From February 2018 to February 2019, the price of lettuce increased 14.5 percent while television prices decreased 16.8 percent. This compared to an increase of 1.5 percent for all consumer items over that period.”

Reasoning

BLS data show the CPI for personal computers and peripherals fell 96 percent and the CPI for TVs fell 94 percent from December 1997 to August 2015 (E1, E2). TV prices also fell 16.8 percent in the year to February 2019 (E4). The BLS notes these are quality-adjusted indices (E3), but no evidence shows that nominal prices stayed flat. The evidence supports the named examples, but it does not test the wider claim about all goods made in huge quantities, so the generalization holds only broadly.

Cite this claim

Marc Andreessen, “Things built in huge quantities, like computers and TVs, drop rapidly in price.” (said 18 April 2020). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_e85fcb28ce96, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_e85fcb28ce96

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.