2,653 claims · page 5 of 27
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolved true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 6 Oct 2025 | In 2000, when the Internet bubble burst, Amazon stock fell in a short period from $113 a share to $6 a share. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 6 Oct 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 3 Oct 2025 | Jeff Bezos started Amazon when he was 30 years old. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 3 Oct 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 3 Oct 2025 | Jeff Bezos finished college. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 3 Oct 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 29 Sep 2025 | NVIDIA announced Dynamo, a disaggregated AI workload orchestration software, and open sourced it. Jensen Huang · Factual · 29 Sep 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Jensen Huang | Factual | 29 Sep 2025 | NVIDIA's investment in OpenAI is not tied to anything. Jensen Huang · Factual · 29 Sep 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 29 Sep 2025 | Blackwell delivers 30 times the performance of Hopper. Jensen Huang · Factual · 29 Sep 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly false | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 28 Sep 2025 | The Levant was the most stable area in the world between the early 1800s and 1948, with only skirmishes in 1860. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 28 Sep 2025 | Other |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 26 Sep 2025 | Nvidia recently struck a partnership deal with Intel, a company that spent most of its life trying to put Nvidia out of business. Jensen Huang · Factual · 26 Sep 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 26 Sep 2025 | The number of chips Nvidia is building is growing, and Nvidia is growing faster as a company. Jensen Huang · Factual · 26 Sep 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 26 Sep 2025 | The projects building out AI infrastructure with OCI, OpenAI and SoftBank are contracted and being worked on. Jensen Huang · Factual · 26 Sep 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 26 Sep 2025 | OpenAI has 800 million active users. Jensen Huang · Factual · 26 Sep 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 26 Sep 2025 | NVIDIA is OpenAI's AI infrastructure partner. Jensen Huang · Factual · 26 Sep 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 26 Sep 2025 | Huang said Nvidia's partnership with Intel recognizes that general purpose computing needs to be fused with accelerated computing to create opportunities "for them". Jensen Huang · Factual · 26 Sep 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 26 Sep 2025 | Until a couple of years ago, NVIDIA had 95% market share in China. Jensen Huang · Factual · 26 Sep 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 26 Sep 2025 | AI models that think longer (inference-time reasoning) produce better quality answers. Jensen Huang · Factual · 26 Sep 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 26 Sep 2025 | Delivering Blackwell's 30X performance gain required integration and optimization across six or seven chips. Jensen Huang · Factual · 26 Sep 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 26 Sep 2025 | Huang said that "we" have no trouble beating "the numbers" on a regular basis, without saying whose numbers. Jensen Huang · Factual · 26 Sep 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 26 Sep 2025 | The land, power and shell for such a data center already come to $15 billion. Jensen Huang · Factual · 26 Sep 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 26 Sep 2025 | Nvidia's H20 chip is not as good as Nvidia's Blackwell chip. Jensen Huang · Factual · 26 Sep 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 26 Sep 2025 | TikTok cannot operate without AI. Jensen Huang · Factual · 26 Sep 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mixed | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 25 Sep 2025 | Taleb's point was that bike lanes improve well-being and happiness without generating economic growth. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 25 Sep 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 24 Sep 2025 | Harvard does not admit students on meritocratic grounds. Steven Pinker · Factual · 24 Sep 2025 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 24 Sep 2025 | Some marine species, such as broadcast spawners, coordinate the release of gametes on the full moon or a fixed number of days after it. Steven Pinker · Factual · 24 Sep 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Mostly true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 24 Sep 2025 | Human sacrifice, once practised by all ancient civilizations, no longer exists today. Steven Pinker · Factual · 24 Sep 2025 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mixed | Steven Pinker | Factual | 24 Sep 2025 | More countries are democratic than not, though fewer than 20 years ago. Steven Pinker · Factual · 24 Sep 2025 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 24 Sep 2025 | Large language models have features, such as hidden layers, that implicitly build in some insights of linguistics. Steven Pinker · Factual · 24 Sep 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 24 Sep 2025 | Slavery exists only clandestinely today; no country has legal slavery anymore. Steven Pinker · Factual · 24 Sep 2025 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 24 Sep 2025 | Asked whether Taiwan is a sovereign state, Pinker said the official policy of the United States, and as far as he knows of pretty much every other country, is that Taiwan as a sovereign state does not exist. Steven Pinker · Factual · 24 Sep 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mixed | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 24 Sep 2025 | Entities in biology and economics grow convexly then slow as they saturate; growth may be unbounded but remains sub-logarithmic. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 24 Sep 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Mixed | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 24 Sep 2025 | If ancient populations such as hunter-gatherers and Inuit had a high incidence of cardiovascular disease, the unavoidable conclusion is that cardiovascular problems are at least half genetic. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 24 Sep 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Mostly true | Steven Pinker | Factual | 24 Sep 2025 | There are not more slaves in the world today than in the past as a proportion of the world's population. Steven Pinker · Factual · 24 Sep 2025 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Resolved true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 22 Sep 2025 | Spitz has been bullish on markets for the past 3 years. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 22 Sep 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 21 Sep 2025 | The 3rd edition of Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails is available and adds 3 chapters and an appendix on Max Entropy distributions including Tsallis Entropy. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 21 Sep 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Nassim Taleb | Factual | 19 Sep 2025 | Scientists who come up with new ideas and frameworks are more often experienced researchers than young ones. Nassim Taleb · Factual · 19 Sep 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 11 Sep 2025 | Elon Musk helped start OpenAI. Sam Altman · Factual · 11 Sep 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 11 Sep 2025 | AI-enabled impersonation scams are no longer a merely theoretical concern. Sam Altman · Factual · 11 Sep 2025 | Other global risks |
| Mixed | Sam Altman | Factual | 11 Sep 2025 | Current AI models now hallucinate only a little bit. Sam Altman · Factual · 11 Sep 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 11 Sep 2025 | Elon Musk later decided OpenAI was not on a trajectory to succeed, told its founders it had a zero percent chance of success, and stopped participating. Sam Altman · Factual · 11 Sep 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Sam Altman | Factual | 11 Sep 2025 | AI models such as ChatGPT do not do anything unless a user asks them to. Sam Altman · Factual · 11 Sep 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 11 Sep 2025 | As of September 2025, US law gives no legal privilege protecting users' conversations with AI comparable to doctor or lawyer confidentiality. Sam Altman · Factual · 11 Sep 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | A blade of grass is a solar-powered, fully self-replicating general factory. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | Biosecurity |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | Conservation of mass provided a lot of indirect support for atomic theory. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | No AI has yet been shown to redesign a tree and build a much smarter AI that builds a still smarter AI; that scenario has not occurred. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | Yudkowsky said that, as far as he knows, he was the person who originally made that argument. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | The conservation of mass was one of the first hints that things are rearranged rather than created or destroyed. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Sep 2025 | Burning a substance inside a sealed glass vessel does not change the total weight. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Sep 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 15 Aug 2025 | GPT-5 is not close to human performance at figuring out what questions to ask or working on a task over a very long period. Sam Altman · Factual · 15 Aug 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 14 Aug 2025 | GPT-5 is an integrated model, so users do not need to choose between GPT-4o, o3 or o4 mini in the model switcher. Sam Altman · Factual · 14 Aug 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 14 Aug 2025 | India is OpenAI's second largest market in the world. Sam Altman · Factual · 14 Aug 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 14 Aug 2025 | When OpenAI started, it took four and a half years before it had its first product. Sam Altman · Factual · 14 Aug 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 9 Aug 2025 | For some users with fragile mental states, ChatGPT's sycophantic behaviour encouraged delusions. Sam Altman · Factual · 9 Aug 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 9 Aug 2025 | OpenAI builds AI compute infrastructure (chips, memory, networking, data centers, energy) in a bespoke one-off way, though this is improving. Sam Altman · Factual · 9 Aug 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Factual | 9 Aug 2025 | OpenAI shapes ChatGPT's personality by showing the model examples of how it should respond in different cases, from which it learns its overall personality. Sam Altman · Factual · 9 Aug 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mixed | Sam Altman | Factual | 9 Aug 2025 | GPT-5 is significantly better than earlier models at healthcare-related queries. Sam Altman · Factual · 9 Aug 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 9 Aug 2025 | It is really hard to find a gigawatt of available power in the short term. Sam Altman · Factual · 9 Aug 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Prediction | 9 Aug 2025 | After GPT-5 launches there will be another big spike in demand that OpenAI will not be able to serve. Sam Altman · Prediction · 9 Aug 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 9 Aug 2025 | Altman said that they had scaling laws indicating that the technology gets predictably better as compute, memory and data increase, and that they used those predictions to decide how to scale it up. Sam Altman · Factual · 9 Aug 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 3 Aug 2025 | Proteins are the basic building blocks of life. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 3 Aug 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Mostly true | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 3 Aug 2025 | Killer AI already exists in the form of drones, and every country is pursuing it. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 3 Aug 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 3 Aug 2025 | AI can break captchas but cannot fake onchain balances. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 3 Aug 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 3 Aug 2025 | Current AI agents cannot set complex goals or properly verify outputs. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 3 Aug 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 3 Aug 2025 | Current AI systems still can't really yet go beyond asking novel questions or conjectures, or come up with new hypotheses not thought of before. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 3 Aug 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mixed | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 3 Aug 2025 | The success of the AI field in the last few years has attracted more attention, resources and talent. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 3 Aug 2025 | AI, the economy and work |
| Mixed | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 3 Aug 2025 | AI is currently having a decentralizing rather than centralizing effect on the industry. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 3 Aug 2025 | AI, the economy and work |
| Mostly false | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 3 Aug 2025 | AI provably cannot solve chaotic, turbulent, or cryptographic equations. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 3 Aug 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 3 Aug 2025 | On average it takes ten years and billions of dollars to design one drug. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 3 Aug 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 3 Aug 2025 | Everything in biology and the body depends on proteins. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 3 Aug 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 30 Jul 2025 | Zuckerberg said Meta launched the Meta Quest 3S Xbox Edition in June 2025 ("last month", speaking on 2025-07-30) and that Meta is seeing record interest in cloud gaming. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 30 Jul 2025 | Meta is currently building stylish glasses that are not focused on a display. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 30 Jul 2025 | Over the last 5 to 10 years Meta's Reality Labs has been heavily researching different glasses and display technologies. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 30 Jul 2025 | Alexandr Wang is leading the overall Meta Superintelligence Labs team. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Mark Zuckerberg | Promise | 30 Jul 2025 | Meta will share more on these topics, especially its Reality Labs work, at Connect on 17 September 2025. Mark Zuckerberg · Promise · 30 Jul 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 30 Jul 2025 | Meta is building out several multi-gigawatt compute clusters. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 30 Jul 2025 | Meta launched AI video editing tools across Meta AI and its new Edits app. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 30 Jul 2025 | The Oakley Meta HSTN glasses have longer battery life and a higher resolution camera and are designed for sports. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 30 Jul 2025 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 28 Jul 2025 | Bitcoin is valued everywhere there is an internet connection. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 28 Jul 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly false | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | 28 Jul 2025 | Bonds currently offer the lowest interest rates in human history. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 28 Jul 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | 28 Jul 2025 | Thirty-one years after Japan's 1989 bubbles, Japanese land prices and stocks had not returned to their 1989 levels. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 28 Jul 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jeremy Grantham | Factual | 28 Jul 2025 | Emerging markets and value stocks trade at one of the two or three lowest relative valuation points in history compared to the U.S. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 28 Jul 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mixed | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 28 Jul 2025 | The keys are the keys to the car itself: a digital signature starts the engine. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 28 Jul 2025 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 28 Jul 2025 | Doors, including house doors, can be secured with an onchain smart lock controlled by crypto. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 28 Jul 2025 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 27 Jul 2025 | OpenAI will release GPT-5 imminently. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 27 Jul 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 27 Jul 2025 | GPT-5 will still make a significant number of obvious errors that are hard to predict. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 27 Jul 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 27 Jul 2025 | If the model being discussed has guardrails like ChatGPT's, they will teeter between being too weak (beaten by jailbreaks) and too strong (rejecting some perfectly reasonable requests). Gary Marcus · Prediction · 27 Jul 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 27 Jul 2025 | Some of GPT-5's advice will be very bad. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 27 Jul 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 27 Jul 2025 | GPT-5 by itself will not be a general-purpose AGI capable of arbitrary tasks. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 27 Jul 2025 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true | Gary Marcus | Prediction | 27 Jul 2025 | GPT-5 will be considerably better than GPT-4. Gary Marcus · Prediction · 27 Jul 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Prediction | 23 Jul 2025 | Asked whether it would be nuclear fusion, Demis Hassabis said he thinks fusion and solar are the two energy sources he would bet on. Demis Hassabis · Prediction · 23 Jul 2025 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 23 Jul 2025 | Demis Hassabis worked on the early stages of the game Black & White in the 1990s, which he says had probably the best learning AI in a game. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Jul 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 23 Jul 2025 | Video models such as Veo 3 can pretty accurately generate about eight seconds of video that, by eye and at a glance, looks consistent. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Jul 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 23 Jul 2025 | Veo, Google DeepMind's video generation model, can model liquids surprisingly well. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Jul 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 23 Jul 2025 | AI systems are now in products used by billions of people around the world, requiring large amounts of inference compute. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Jul 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 23 Jul 2025 | Google DeepMind built DolphinGemma, a version of its system trained on dolphin and whale sounds. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Jul 2025 | Science and research methods |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 23 Jul 2025 | Over the last year a new paradigm of thinking AI systems emerged, which get smarter the more inference time they are given at test time. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Jul 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | Jul 2025 | SaaS applications are also building autonomous agents. Satya Nadella · Factual · Jul 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | Jul 2025 | Azure annual revenue in fiscal 2025 surpassed $75 billion, up 34%, with growth across all workloads. Satya Nadella · Factual · Jul 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | Jul 2025 | 80% of the Fortune 500 use Azure AI Foundry. Satya Nadella · Factual · Jul 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | Jul 2025 | Through software optimization alone, Microsoft delivers 90% more GPT-4o-family tokens per GPU than a year ago. Satya Nadella · Factual · Jul 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 10 Jun 2025 | Recently US bond prices have fallen while the dollar weakened, and gold and stock prices have risen. Ray Dalio · Factual · 10 Jun 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Ray Dalio | Prediction | 10 Jun 2025 | If current congressional plans go forward, the US federal deficit will be about 7% of GDP. Ray Dalio · Prediction · 10 Jun 2025 | Economics and markets |
“I mean, as far as I know, I'm the person who originally made that argument.”
Eliezer Yudkowsky, interviewee September 2025 Interview with Eliezer Yudkowsky on Rationality and Systematic Misunderstanding of AI Alignment (LessWrong)
Yudkowsky said that, as far as he knows, he was the person who originally made that argument.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
What would count as true or false
The proposition is only that Yudkowsky said this (hedged with 'as far as I know'). It does not assert that he was in fact the originator. True: a transcript or recording from about September 2025 shows him saying that, as far as he knows, he originally made the argument under discussion. Mostly true: he made this statement, but the wording, date or venue differs slightly. Mixed: he made a weaker or different statement about the argument's origin (e.g. that he was among the early people to make it). Mostly false: he discussed the argument but did not claim to be its originator. False: the source shows he attributed the argument to someone else, or the quote is shown not to be his.
Evidence
- Sam Harris and Eliezer Yudkowsky on "AI: Racing Toward the Brink" - Machine Intelligence Research Institute Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI) · 28 February 2018 Own record
“It could still be Bostrom. I asked somebody, “Do you remember who it was?” and they searched through the archives of the mailing list where this idea plausibly originated and if it originated there, then I was the first one to say “paperclips.””
- Are We Past Peak iPhone? + Eliezer Yudkowsky on A.I. Doom podscripts.co (transcript of NYT's Hard Fork podcast) · 12 September 2025
“Then AI Dumer-in-Chief, Elizer Yudkowski, is here to discuss his new book.”
- Are We Past Peak iPhone? + Eliezer Yudkowsky on A.I. Doom podscripts.co (transcript of NYT's Hard Fork podcast) · 12 September 2025
“That's actually a distorted version of the thought experiment. It's the one that got written up, but the original version that I formulated was you, somebody had just completely lost control of the superintelligence they were building.”
- Sam Harris and Eliezer Yudkowsky on "AI: Racing Toward the Brink" - Machine Intelligence Research Institute Machine Intelligence Research Institute · 28 February 2018 Own record
“Eliezer: As far as I know, it’s me.”
- DoomsdAI dtnext.in (republishing The New York Times) · 14 September 2025
“He was among the first to warn of risks from powerful AI systems, and many AI leaders, including OpenAI’s Sam Altman and Elon Musk, have cited his ideas.”
- DoomsdAI dtnext.in (republishing The New York Times) · 14 September 2025
“In addition to his work on AI safety — a field he more or less invented — Yudkowsky is the intellectual force behind Rationalism, a loosely organised movement”
- #434 — Can We Survive AI? podscripts.co (transcript of the Making Sense podcast with Sam Harris) · 16 September 2025
“you were among the first people to make me concerned about AI,”
Reasoning
The September 2025 Hard Fork transcript (E3) shows Yudkowsky calling a widely circulated thought experiment a distorted version and referring to 'the original version that I formulated'. That is a claim to have originated it, made in the right month, though not in the quoted words and without the 'as far as I know' hedge. The exact hedged wording, 'As far as I know, it's me,' appears in a 2018 MIRI transcript (E4), not in a 2025 source. No evidence item contains the exact quoted sentence from about September 2025, so the claim holds with differences in wording.
Cite this claim
Eliezer Yudkowsky, “Yudkowsky said that, as far as he knows, he was the person who originally made that argument.” (said September 2025). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_8ec994cdeb35, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_8ec994cdeb35
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.