Claims

2,653 claims by 33 public figures and organisations, checked against the public record. Each has its quote, source, verdict and evidence. Read them without a key; browse by person.

36 claims

36 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictPersonKindSaidClaimTopic
Mixed Bill Ackman Factual 1 Oct 2026 PSUS holds a portfolio of Pershing Square's best ideas and trades at an 18% discount to cash. Bill Ackman · Factual · 1 Oct 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Jensen Huang Factual 2 Jun 2026 NVIDIA used to be a GPU company a long time ago. Jensen Huang · Factual · 2 Jun 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Demis Hassabis Factual 10 Apr 2026 Hassabis got into AI originally because he was interested in big questions such as the nature of reality and consciousness. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Daniela Amodei Factual 2026 Amodei said she thought, as she was remembering it, that some early model names were bird names, and gave BERT as an example. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Michael Burry Factual Dec 2025 Michael Burry has generally stayed away from investing in biomed and medtech. Michael Burry · Factual · Dec 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Mark Zuckerberg Prediction 10 Jan 2025 Requiring more confidence for takedowns will dramatically reduce the number of people whose Meta accounts are removed by mistake. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 10 Jan 2025 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Jensen Huang Factual 29 Dec 2024 After Nvidia's first graphics chip attempt failed, Huang says the company's engineers, together with Chris and Curtis, pivoted to the right way of doing things. Jensen Huang · Factual · 29 Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Demis Hassabis Factual Dec 2024 Hassabis's team has practised open science and open access with all of its scientific work. Demis Hassabis · Factual · Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Bill Ackman Factual Aug 2024 PSCM's new independent directors include long-term investors in PSH and the Pershing Square funds as well as new investors in the management company. Bill Ackman · Factual · Aug 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Mark Zuckerberg Factual 23 Jul 2024 Llama is already leading on openness, modifiability, and cost efficiency. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 23 Jul 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Elon Musk Factual Jan 2024 Tesla is very far along on its next-generation low-cost vehicle, as of the January 2024 earnings call. Elon Musk · Factual · Jan 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Bill Ackman Factual 2024 Pershing Square has not made an activist investment in nearly eight years. Bill Ackman · Factual · 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Rodney Brooks Factual 21 Oct 2023 The warehouse mobile robots built by Brooks's current startup are safe in the presence of humans. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 21 Oct 2023 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Eliezer Yudkowsky Factual 6 Apr 2023 MIRI ran a Visible Thoughts Project that did not get enough funding or personnel and was progressing too slowly. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 6 Apr 2023 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Bill Ackman Factual 31 Jul 2022 The Pershing Square Foundation is not involved in this case but has supported organizations working to stop human trafficking and image-based abuse. Bill Ackman · Factual · 31 Jul 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Elon Musk Prediction 27 Jan 2022 Batteries will probably not be the limiting factor in Cybertruck production. Elon Musk · Prediction · 27 Jan 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Daniela Amodei Factual 2022 Members of Anthropic's founding group had previously done a lot of safety research together at different organizations. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Bill Ackman Promise 2022 If the SEC approves the subscription warrant listing rule and declares SPARC's registration statement effective, Pershing Square intends to distribute SPARs to PSTH shareholders and warrant holders in 2022. Bill Ackman · Promise · 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Mark Zuckerberg Factual 28 Oct 2021 Zuckerberg studied Classics, and the word "meta" comes from the Greek word meaning "beyond". Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 28 Oct 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Bill Ackman Promise 19 Aug 2021 PSTH shareholders will receive $20 per share in cash and one SPARC warrant per share owned, following the cash return. Bill Ackman · Promise · 19 Aug 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Ørsted Factual 2 Jun 2021 Ørsted has been named the world's most sustainable energy company three years in a row. Ørsted · Factual · 2 Jun 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Elon Musk Promise 30 Mar 2021 Elon Musk is donating $20M to Cameron County schools and $10M to the City of Brownsville for downtown revitalization, with details to follow the next week. Elon Musk · Promise · 30 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Elon Musk Promise 6 Mar 2021 Tesla is doubling the FSD Beta program size with software version 8.2 and will probably expand it about tenfold with version 8.3. Elon Musk · Promise · 6 Mar 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Scott Alexander Factual 14 Feb 2021 The NYT's original pitch was interest in how Scott Alexander warned early about the coronavirus pandemic and urged mask-wearing before it was standard advice. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Scott Alexander Factual 14 Feb 2021 In early 2020, Scott Alexander learned the New York Times wanted to write an article about him. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Scott Alexander Factual 14 Feb 2021 Scott Alexander wrote a 30,000-word condemnation of one of the right-wing figures named in the article on his blog a few years ago. Scott Alexander · Factual · 14 Feb 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Steven Pinker Factual 9 Oct 2018 Steven Pinker has consulted with Obama's speechwriters and has met heads of state such as Justin Trudeau. Steven Pinker · Factual · 9 Oct 2018 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Warren Buffett Factual 27 Feb 2017 Buffett said Berkshire tried to time its sales of Dow Chemical stock once it rose above the conversion price, selling more aggressively as the price rose, because it did not want to own the roughly 72 million common shares. Warren Buffett · Factual · 27 Feb 2017 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Satya Nadella Factual 3 Mar 2014 Tami Reller has held multiple CFO roles at Microsoft, for Microsoft Dynamics, the Product and Services Division and Windows. Satya Nadella · Factual · 3 Mar 2014 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Vinod Khosla Factual 7 Dec 2013 Square is possibly the most popular payment system, and when Khosla Ventures backed it everybody told Khosla it would take 10-15 years. Vinod Khosla · Factual · 7 Dec 2013 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Jeremy Grantham Factual 3 Dec 2012 GMO has modeled momentum and value as two key variables for 33 years. Jeremy Grantham · Factual · 3 Dec 2012 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Michael Burry Factual 5 Apr 2011 Burry's proposed "Milton's Opus" never got off the ground, after his investors met it with scepticism and outside institutions he approached went off to do the idea themselves. Michael Burry · Factual · 5 Apr 2011 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Michael Burry Factual 6 Apr 2010 By mid-2005 Michael Burry bought credit default swaps on billions of dollars of subprime mortgage-backed securities and bonds of financial companies. Michael Burry · Factual · 6 Apr 2010 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Warren Buffett Factual 28 Feb 2002 Buffett previously assured shareholders that General Re was underwriting with discipline, and that assurance proved wrong. Warren Buffett · Factual · 28 Feb 2002 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Jeff Bezos Factual 2 Apr 2001 Amazon reached 25 million customers and $2 billion in sales, which it had not expected. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 2 Apr 2001 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Marc Andreessen Factual Jun 1995 Early in his time at the University of Illinois, Andreessen started working in a research lab at the university's physics research facility. Marc Andreessen · Factual · Jun 1995 Their own work or organisation
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Factual Their own work or organisation

“In early 2020, I learned the New York Times wanted to write an article about me.”

Scott Alexander, blog author 14 February 2021 Statement on New York Times Article (Astral Codex Ten)

In early 2020, Scott Alexander learned the New York Times wanted to write an article about him.

Mixed Partly true and partly false in roughly equal measure.

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

True: contemporaneous or later records (his June 2020 statement about the New York Times, the reporter's or the Times's own accounts, or dated correspondence) show he learned of the Times's plan to write about him in roughly January to April 2020. Mostly true: he learned in late 2019 or around May to early June 2020. Mostly false: the Times had planned an article but he learned of it clearly outside the first half of 2020. False: the evidence shows the Times never planned such an article, or that he learned of it at a clearly different time, such as 2019 or earlier, or after mid-2020.

Evidence

  1. NYT Is Threatening My Safety By Revealing My Real Name, So I Am Deleting The Blog Slate Star Codex · 22 June 2020 Own record
    “Last week I talked to a *New York Times* technology reporter who was planning to write a story on Slate Star Codex.”
  2. Silicon Valley's Safe Space The New York Times (Cade Metz), PDF copy hosted at pdf.stafforini.com · 13 February 2021
    “In late June of last year, not long after talking to Mr. Altman, the OpenAI chief executive, I approached the writer known as Scott Alexander, hoping to get his views on the Rationalist way and its effect on Silicon Valley.”
  3. The Slate Star Codex saga proves a new blasphemy code is emerging among liberals New Statesman · 24 February 2021
    “When Cade Metz, the author of the *Times* report, contacted Alexander at the beginning of last year to tell him that he would be writing a piece, Metz allegedly led him to believe that the focus would be on Alexander's prescient warnings about Covid 19.”
  4. SlateStarCodex deleted because NYT wants to dox Scott — LessWrong LessWrong
    “Also, Metz contacted me on June 1, wanting to ask questions about the rationality community and its overlap with Silicon Valley (he did not mention SSC).”

Reasoning

Alexander's own post of 22 June 2020 says he spoke "last week" with a Times reporter who was planning a story, which puts that conversation in mid-June 2020; it does not say when he first learned of the plan (E1). The reporter's own account says he approached Alexander in late June 2020 (E2). Both place it at or just past the end of the criteria's "mostly true" window (May to early June), not in January to April. E3, an independent commentary, states that Metz contacted Alexander at the beginning of 2020, which conflicts with the reporter's own account of a late-June approach (E2), so the evidence conflicts and only partly supports "early 2020".

Cite this claim

Scott Alexander, “In early 2020, Scott Alexander learned the New York Times wanted to write an article about him.” (said 14 February 2021). Verdict: mixed. Reliability API, claim c_79cbcc24db6d, method 0.1.0+8bea457b. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_79cbcc24db6d

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.