2,653 claims · page 11 of 27
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostly true | Marc Andreessen | Prediction | 12 Jun 2023 | Andreessen said he thought the rate of AI technological improvement from mid-2023 onward would be very rapid. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 12 Jun 2023 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly false | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 12 Jun 2023 | Outside the San Francisco Bay Area, AI development is overwhelmingly in Beijing and Shanghai. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 12 Jun 2023 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mixed | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 12 Jun 2023 | Hundreds of studies' conclusions on the benefits of intelligence all correlate with fluid intelligence, the ability to rapidly assimilate knowledge and use it to solve problems. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 12 Jun 2023 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Resolved true | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 12 Jun 2023 | The AI being discussed is not, strictly speaking, human intelligence. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 12 Jun 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 7 Jun 2023 | Rodney Brooks has taken many fully driverless Cruise rides at night in San Francisco. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 7 Jun 2023 | Balaji Srinivasan has created tweets, talks, podcasts, courses, articles and The Network State book. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ørsted | Factual | 7 Jun 2023 | Ørsted currently operates 15.5 GW of renewable energy assets, with 4.9 GW under construction. Ørsted · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 7 Jun 2023 | There is a community chat associated with the newsletter at balajis.com/chat. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 7 Jun 2023 | Balaji Srinivasan's newsletter audience has more than 100,000 subscribers. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ørsted | Factual | 7 Jun 2023 | Ørsted was the first energy company in the world to have its science-based net-zero emissions target validated by the Science Based Targets initiative. Ørsted · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Yann LeCun | Factual | Jun 2023 | Masked autoencoders are less successful with images and other continuous domains than with discrete domains such as language. Yann LeCun · Factual · Jun 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Yann LeCun | Factual | Jun 2023 | Probabilistic models require normalization and may become intractable for high-dimensional data. Yann LeCun · Factual · Jun 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Yann LeCun | Factual | Jun 2023 | LeCun's proposed AI architecture consists of multiple interconnected modules. Yann LeCun · Factual · Jun 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Yann LeCun | Factual | Jun 2023 | With probabilistic models, training is confined to loss functions derived from the negative log-likelihood, such as cross entropy. Yann LeCun · Factual · Jun 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Yann LeCun | Factual | Jun 2023 | All modules of the proposed architecture are fully differentiable. Yann LeCun · Factual · Jun 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved false | Jim Cramer | Prediction | 24 May 2023 | US politicians will cause investors to lose more money as the May 2023 debt ceiling negotiations drag on. Jim Cramer · Prediction · 24 May 2023 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 24 May 2023 | Brooks described hundreds of driverless cars with no humans inside as driving around San Francisco 'aimlessly' 24 hours a day. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 24 May 2023 | Technology |
| Resolved false | Jim Cramer | Prediction | 24 May 2023 | If the market follows the 2011 debt ceiling pattern, US stocks will fall about 12% from their level on 2023-05-24 to the bottom. Jim Cramer · Prediction · 24 May 2023 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Jim Cramer | Factual | 24 May 2023 | In 2011 the US reached a debt ceiling deal, but the standoff led Standard & Poor's to downgrade the US government's credit rating. Jim Cramer · Factual · 24 May 2023 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 19 May 2023 | Jeff Bezos is part of a joint effort with NASA to land astronauts on the Moon. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 19 May 2023 | Other |
| Resolved true | Ray Kurzweil | Factual | 5 May 2023 | Kurzweil did not sign the open letter calling for a pause on AI more powerful than GPT-4. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 5 May 2023 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Promise | 20 Apr 2023 | Google DeepMind is creating a new Scientific Board, led by Koray Kavukcuoglu with representatives from across the orgs, to oversee research progress and direction. Demis Hassabis · Promise · 20 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 20 Apr 2023 | Zoubin Ghahramani will join the Google DeepMind research leadership team reporting to Koray Kavukcuoglu. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 20 Apr 2023 | Google DeepMind brings together DeepMind and Brain AI talent with Google's computing power, infrastructure and resources. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 20 Apr 2023 | On 20 April 2023 Sundar Pichai announced that DeepMind and Google Research's Brain team would join as a single unit called Google DeepMind. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 20 Apr 2023 | Eli Collins will join Demis Hassabis's leads team at Google DeepMind as VP of Product. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 Apr 2023 | Field building and careers |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 20 Apr 2023 | When DeepMind launched in 2010, many people thought general AI was farfetched science fiction decades away. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 20 Apr 2023 | Research advances from the Brain and DeepMind teams, from Deep Reinforcement Learning to Transformers, laid much of the foundations of the current AI industry. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 18 Apr 2023 | Yejin Choi gave a "common sense" rebuttal on the TED stage in April 2023. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 18 Apr 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 7 Apr 2023 | OpenAI has openly declared an intention to have some future AI do our AI alignment work. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 7 Apr 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 7 Apr 2023 | Today one can email DNA strings to laboratories that will produce proteins on demand. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 7 Apr 2023 | Biosecurity |
| Mostly false | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 7 Apr 2023 | DeepMind, a leading AI lab, has no plan for AI alignment/safety. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 7 Apr 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 7 Apr 2023 | Yudkowsky said he did not sign the open letter because he thinks it understates the seriousness of the situation and asks for too little to solve it. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 7 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 6 Apr 2023 | Eliezer Yudkowsky has consistently refused for many years to publish AI timelines with detailed probabilities. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 6 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Prediction | 6 Apr 2023 | Paul Christiano will probably win his forecast disagreement with Yudkowsky on an AI getting IMO gold by 2025, with prediction-market odds then running around 30%. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 6 Apr 2023 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Resolved false | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Prediction | 6 Apr 2023 | The current AI developers will not try the alignment approach he described (filtering training data to nice examples and training on it). Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 6 Apr 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 6 Apr 2023 | Yudkowsky previously thought that building intelligence would involve multiple specialized systems. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 6 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Prediction | 6 Apr 2023 | AI alignment will not be solved within a few years. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 6 Apr 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Prediction | 6 Apr 2023 | GPT-5 will not end the world, with more than 50% of Yudkowsky's probability on that outcome. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 6 Apr 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mixed | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 6 Apr 2023 | MIRI ran a Visible Thoughts Project that did not get enough funding or personnel and was progressing too slowly. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 6 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 6 Apr 2023 | In principle, the task of minimizing loss on predicting human text does not stop being improvable once a system is as smart as a human. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 6 Apr 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 31 Mar 2023 | Yudkowsky's TIME piece did not suggest nuclear strikes against countries refusing to sign a global agreement against large AI training runs. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 31 Mar 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | Transformers were the main architectural change that gave a non-linear jump in performance, compared with earlier approaches such as RNNs. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | As of March 2023, leading AI systems are being trained on computers that are connected to the internet. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | Beyond external performance metrics, there are no guardrails for determining what is inside current large AI models. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | The FLI open letter called for more AI research. Gary Marcus · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | The basic paradigm of machine learning currently in use is that a loss function can be defined only for things that can be evaluated. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Delivered on time | Gary Marcus | Promise | 30 Mar 2023 | Gary Marcus will speak at TED about short-term and long-term AI risk and what to do about it, in about two weeks from 2023-03-30. Gary Marcus · Promise · 30 Mar 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | The FLI open letter did not call for a ban on AI or for a permanent ban. Gary Marcus · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | Sixty years later, AI has made progress on a number of the earlier problems discussed, such as vision, though AI systems have not yet improved themselves. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | As of March 2023, none of the top AI labs is remotely transparent, AI governance basically doesn't exist, and there are basically no safeguards in place. Gary Marcus · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | AI policy and governance |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 24 Mar 2023 | There have already been reports of contamination in GPT-4's training data. Gary Marcus · Factual · 24 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 24 Mar 2023 | The OpenAI and Microsoft GPT-4 papers reveal nothing about the model's architecture or training set. Gary Marcus · Factual · 24 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 24 Mar 2023 | Citing Ernie Davis, Marcus said OpenAI had begun to incorporate user experiments into its models' training corpus. Gary Marcus · Factual · 24 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 24 Mar 2023 | GPT-4 has not solved hallucinations, reliability or planning on complex tasks, as the paper's authors acknowledge for planning. Gary Marcus · Factual · 24 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 24 Mar 2023 | Gary Marcus said that on 2023-03-23 Microsoft had put out what he called a press release masquerading as science, which claimed that GPT-4 was an early (yet still incomplete) version of an AGI system. Gary Marcus · Factual · 24 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mixed | Satya Nadella | Factual | 22 Mar 2023 | On 2023-03-22, Satya Nadella said GitHub Copilot is the first at-scale developer tool, and that "we" were going further that day, bringing Copilot past the editor into every aspect of the developer experience. Satya Nadella · Factual · 22 Mar 2023 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 9 Mar 2023 | Clement (@clmt) joined DeepMind. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 9 Mar 2023 | Field building and careers |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 7 Mar 2023 | Ray Dalio has transitioned Bridgewater to new leadership. Ray Dalio · Factual · 7 Mar 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Mar 2023 | Yudkowsky previously expected AI progress to involve more distinct discoveries, rather than scaling an existing architecture. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Bill Gates | Factual | Mar 2023 | There is a robust debate in the computing industry about how to create AGI and whether it can be created at all. Bill Gates · Factual · Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 24 Feb 2023 | OpenAI's Charter includes a clause about assisting other organizations to advance safety instead of racing with them in late-stage AGI development. Sam Altman · Factual · 24 Feb 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Promise | 24 Feb 2023 | OpenAI will discuss in more detail, later in 2023, independent audits of AI systems before release. Sam Altman · Promise · 24 Feb 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 24 Feb 2023 | OpenAI has a cap on the returns its shareholders can earn. Sam Altman · Factual · 24 Feb 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 23 Feb 2023 | Jeff Clune joined DeepMind. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Feb 2023 | Field building and careers |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 20 Feb 2023 | As of 2023 the technology to offer polygenic scores to consumers definitely exists. Scott Alexander · Factual · 20 Feb 2023 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Scott Alexander | Prediction | 20 Feb 2023 | Scaling AI models will continue to produce gains, though less obviously than in the past five years. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 20 Feb 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 20 Feb 2023 | As of early 2023 nobody is talking about technological unemployment, because unemployment rates are historically low. Scott Alexander · Factual · 20 Feb 2023 | AI, the economy and work |
| Mostly true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 20 Feb 2023 | impute.me may provide the consumer polygenic score service Scott Alexander predicted, but it has made no public waves. Scott Alexander · Factual · 20 Feb 2023 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Prediction | 20 Feb 2023 | Training GPT-4 will cost $100 million. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 20 Feb 2023 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 20 Feb 2023 | In 2018 Scott Alexander partly abandoned his usual clear-resolution probabilistic predictions for rough guesses in his five-year predictions. Scott Alexander · Factual · 20 Feb 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 14 Feb 2023 | GitHub Copilot for Business is now available, as of 2023-02-14. Satya Nadella · Factual · 14 Feb 2023 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 7 Feb 2023 | Microsoft launched its AI-powered Bing and Edge search experience on 2023-02-07. Satya Nadella · Factual · 7 Feb 2023 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 2 Feb 2023 | Microsoft is adding new generative AI features to Viva Sales to help sellers close deals more quickly. Satya Nadella · Factual · 2 Feb 2023 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 1 Feb 2023 | Microsoft is bringing large language models, including OpenAI's GPT, to Teams Premium. Satya Nadella · Factual · 1 Feb 2023 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 1 Feb 2023 | More than one million researchers have used AlphaFold in the 18 months since DeepMind made it freely available. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 1 Feb 2023 | Science and research methods |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Feb 2023 | Yudkowsky says that we do not know how to get goals into an AI system, and that gradient descent can cause systems to do a thing inside the distribution they were optimized over. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Feb 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Feb 2023 | The technology underlying ChatGPT was published, if he recalled correctly, in 2018. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Feb 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mixed | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Feb 2023 | ChatGPT is not very good at long multiplication unless given the right instructions, in which case it can do it. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Feb 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Prediction | Feb 2023 | Yudkowsky said he felt quite confident that the upper range of the untapped potential of ChatGPT-style systems is insufficient to outsmart all living humans and carry out the catastrophe scenario he worries about. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · Feb 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Delivered on time | Elon Musk | Promise | 26 Jan 2023 | Volume production of the vehicle under discussion will happen in 2024. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla FSD has accumulated about 100 million miles outside of highways as of January 2023. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | If 2023 has no major supply chain interruption, Tesla has the potential to produce 2 million cars in 2023. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Promise | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla's Cybertruck will have Hardware 4. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Promise | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla is increasing 4680 cell capacity by another 100 gigawatt-hours, as announced at Giga Nevada. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | Cybertruck will not be a significant contributor to Tesla's bottom line in 2023 but will be in 2024. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Guidance | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla expects to produce 1.8 million cars in 2023, possibly more if it gets lucky. Elon Musk · Guidance · 26 Jan 2023 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | Musk said Tesla was not committing to it, but he thought there would also be demand for the potential of about 2 million vehicles in 2023. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla thinks demand for its vehicles will be good despite a probable contraction in the overall automotive market. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Elon Musk | Promise | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla expects Cybertruck production to start maybe sometime in summer 2023. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Promise | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla expects to use the Dojo computer operationally later in 2023. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | Hardware 3 will far exceed the safety of the average human driver, though not be as good as Hardware 4. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla has raised the Model Y price a little bit in response to high orders. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Satya Nadella | Promise | 17 Jan 2023 | ChatGPT will soon be available in Microsoft's Azure OpenAI Service, which is now generally available. Satya Nadella · Promise · 17 Jan 2023 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 16 Jan 2023 | Microsoft is partnering with The King Center to help preserve Coretta Scott King's legacy. Satya Nadella · Factual · 16 Jan 2023 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 9 Jan 2023 | Nobel laureates Jennifer Doudna, David MacMillan, Paul Nurse and Venki Ramakrishnan joined the Isomorphic Labs Scientific Advisory Board. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 9 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 3 Jan 2023 | China produces or processes most of the rare-earth metals used in electric vehicles. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 3 Jan 2023 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Nouriel Roubini | Prediction | 3 Jan 2023 | China will respond strongly to US technological and economic containment rather than take it lightly. Nouriel Roubini · Prediction · 3 Jan 2023 | Other global risks |
| Mostly false | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 3 Jan 2023 | Food prices were already spiking before the invasion because desertification in many parts of the world limits the food supply. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 3 Jan 2023 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 3 Jan 2023 | All the zombie institutions that survived because of negative interest rates, quantitative easing and credit easing now face rising debt servicing ratios. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 3 Jan 2023 | Economics and markets |
“Honored to be on this journey with @NASA to land astronauts on the Moon — this time to stay.”
Jeff Bezos, on X 19 May 2023 Post by @JeffBezos on X, 2023-05-19 (X)
Jeff Bezos is part of a joint effort with NASA to land astronauts on the Moon.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
Judged as of 2023-05-19. True: by that date there was a dated, official joint arrangement linking Bezos to NASA's crewed lunar landing effort. This could be NASA selecting Blue Origin, the company Bezos founded and owns, for a crewed Artemis lunar lander contract (for example a Human Landing System award). Bezos's tie to that company is enough for him to be 'part of' the effort; the claim does not require his personal operational role. Mostly true: the joint effort existed, but a minor detail is off (for example the award was announced but the contract had not yet been formally signed). Mixed: Blue Origin had a NASA lunar contract, but only for uncrewed or cargo work and not for landing astronauts. Mostly false: Blue Origin was only bidding or had lost, with no award or agreement with NASA to land astronauts as of the date. False: records show there was no NASA arrangement involving Blue Origin or Bezos for crewed lunar landing at that date.
Evidence
- NASA Selects Blue Origin as Second Artemis Lunar Lander Provider - NASA NASA · 19 May 2023
“To develop a human landing system for the agency’s Artemis V mission to the Moon, NASA has selected Blue Origin of Kent, Washington.”
- NASA awards Blue Origin $3.4 billion Artemis moon lander contract Spaceflight Now · 19 May 2023
“Blue Origin, the rocket company owned by Amazon-founder Jeff Bezos, has won a $3.4 billion NASA contract to build an Artemis lunar lander that will provide a downstream alternative to the Starship variant already being developed by SpaceX, the agency announced Friday.”
- NASA awards Blue Origin $3.4 billion Artemis moon lander contract Spaceflight Now · 19 May 2023
“Honored to be on this journey with @nasa to land astronauts on the Moon — this time to stay,” Bezos said in an Instagram post.”
- NASA picks Bezos' Blue Origin to build lunar landers for moonwalkers WLRN (Associated Press report) · 19 May 2023
“Jeff Bezos' rocket company has won a NASA contract to land astronauts on the moon, two years after it lost out to SpaceX.”
Reasoning
NASA's 2023-05-19 release (E1) states that NASA selected Blue Origin to develop a human landing system for the Artemis V mission to the Moon. Independent reports from the same day (E2, E4) identify Blue Origin as owned by Jeff Bezos and say it won a NASA contract to land astronauts on the Moon. This meets the criteria's test of a dated, official arrangement linking Bezos to NASA's crewed lunar landing effort as of that date.
Cite this claim
Jeff Bezos, “Jeff Bezos is part of a joint effort with NASA to land astronauts on the Moon.” (said 19 May 2023). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_644d85f2181a, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_644d85f2181a
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.