2,653 claims · page 3 of 27
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Daniela Amodei started working at Stripe when it had about 40 people. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | AI is currently enabling workers rather than replacing them outright. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Amodei said her organisation had developed a powerful new class of model and, in a decision she linked to Project Glasswing, held off wide release because it felt it needed more time to ensure the model was safe. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Daniela Amodei graduated college in 2009 with a literature degree. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 9 May 2026 | 60% of the American people have below a 6th grade reading level. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Anthropic chose not to release its latest model widely because of concerns about cyber misuse. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 9 May 2026 | It has been 10 years since AlphaGo. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 9 May 2026 | The decline of British power began before the Suez crisis. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Other global risks |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Gold is currently the second largest reserve asset of central banks, after the dollar. Ray Dalio · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 9 May 2026 | Daniela Amodei spent nearly six years at Stripe working closely with engineers. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 9 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ørsted | Factual | 6 May 2026 | Ørsted's net profit for Q1 2026 was DKK 2.6 billion, affected by non-cash tax effects and impairments due to higher long-dated US interest rates. Ørsted · Factual · 6 May 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | The Trump administration's DOJ has said that Jan 6th rioters who threatened to hang Mike Pence should be pardoned. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Other |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | Most of the increase in Meta's 2026 infrastructure capex forecast is due to higher component costs, particularly memory pricing. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | More than 3.5 billion people use at least one Meta app every day. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | Demis Hassabis met South Korean President Lee Jae-myung in Seoul. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | Meta AI use has increased greatly since the updates, and the Meta AI app has consistently been near the top of the app stores. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | Mark Zuckerberg said Meta released Ray-Ban MetaOptics glasses "this quarter" (as of April 29, 2026), designed for all-day wear rather than primarily as sunglasses. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | The Trump administration's DOJ says James Comey should be prosecuted over a photograph of sea shells spelling "8647". Rodney Brooks · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | Other |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 29 Apr 2026 | Meta is rolling out more than one gigawatt of custom silicon developed with Broadcom, plus a significant amount of AMD chips, alongside new NVIDIA systems. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 29 Apr 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 20 Apr 2026 | Once formed through RL training, an LLM's test-passing preference stands on its own and is not overridden by its inference of what the user wants. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 20 Apr 2026 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 20 Apr 2026 | LLMs surely have neural circuits they learned to model text streams from fictional and nonfictional personas that are not lying, deceiving… Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 20 Apr 2026 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 20 Apr 2026 | LLMs' predict-as-if-honest circuitry is contextual, invoked for predicting some text streams but not others. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 20 Apr 2026 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mixed | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 20 Apr 2026 | Yudkowsky himself observed the persona-selection-like hypothesis around the time of GPT 3.5. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 20 Apr 2026 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 20 Apr 2026 | Presumably, at some point during RL training on code-passing tasks, LLMs learn a dispreference for failing tests, independent of how that is avoided or whether the user's real goal is met. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 20 Apr 2026 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 12 Apr 2026 | JD Vance campaigned for Viktor Orban in the Hungarian elections the week before 12 April 2026, and Orban lost the election. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 12 Apr 2026 | Other |
| Resolved true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 12 Apr 2026 | A Putin ally suffered a major defeat in the election after 16 years in power. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 12 Apr 2026 | Other |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 10 Apr 2026 | Deep Blue was world-champion level at chess but could not do anything else. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 10 Apr 2026 | Demis Hassabis decided from a very young age to work on AI because he was obsessed with big questions as a schoolchild. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 10 Apr 2026 | Over 3 million scientists are now using AlphaFold. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 | Science and research methods |
| Mixed | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 10 Apr 2026 | Hassabis got into AI originally because he was interested in big questions such as the nature of reality and consciousness. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 10 Apr 2026 | Only about 10% of drugs get through all the clinical stages. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 | Science and research methods |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 10 Apr 2026 | A protein's 3D structure is what determines, or partially determines, its function. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 | Science and research methods |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 10 Apr 2026 | SynthID uses AI to digitally watermark any generated image, and Google generative technologies such as Veo carry this watermarking. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 10 Apr 2026 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 1 Apr 2026 | Concerns about human extinction from AI have a history and intellectual lineage that long predate the AI companies. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 1 Apr 2026 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mixed | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 31 Mar 2026 | The recent corporate layoffs were not caused by AI. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 31 Mar 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 30 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen appeared on the Conversations with Coleman podcast, published by 2026-03-30. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 30 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jim Cramer | Factual | 30 Mar 2026 | WTI crude oil was at $101 on 2026-03-30. Jim Cramer · Factual · 30 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Michael Burry | Factual | 27 Mar 2026 | US home equity is a record $35 trillion, nearly double pre-COVID levels. Michael Burry · Factual · 27 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mixed | Michael Burry | Factual | 27 Mar 2026 | In a video posted on arriving at Fannie Mae, Bill Pulte showed that no one was in the Fannie Mae office buildings. Michael Burry · Factual · 27 Mar 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 26 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen published a new "generative book" that he says was fully written by himself. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 26 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Jim Cramer | Factual | 25 Mar 2026 | Jim Cramer pushed Meta to launch initiatives to help small and medium-sized companies, and Meta is carrying them out. Jim Cramer · Factual · 25 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 25 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Paul Gillingham, published by 2026-03-25. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 25 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen's conversation with Paul Gillingham was mostly about Mexico. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 25 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jim Cramer | Factual | 25 Mar 2026 | Dina Powell McCormick has helped Goldman Sachs's small business effort. Jim Cramer · Factual · 25 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 22 Mar 2026 | Treasury's 2012 change to the Fannie and Freddie senior preferred stock terms was a unilateral amendment, not a negotiated resolution with the companies. Bill Ackman · Factual · 22 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 18 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Harvey Mansfield, published by 2026-03-18. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 18 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Jensen Huang | Factual | 17 Mar 2026 | Combining Groq with Vera Rubin under Dynamo scheduling improves overall performance by 35 times and reaches inference performance NVLink 72 could not previously reach. Jensen Huang · Factual · 17 Mar 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 17 Mar 2026 | Satya Nadella confirmed that the first Vera Rubin rack is running on Microsoft Azure. Jensen Huang · Factual · 17 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly false | Jensen Huang | Factual | 17 Mar 2026 | NVIDIA's cost per token is the lowest in the world, currently unmatched by any other company. Jensen Huang · Factual · 17 Mar 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mixed | Jensen Huang | Factual | 17 Mar 2026 | NVIDIA has demonstrated that NVFP4 can achieve inference without loss of precision, with significant performance and energy-efficiency gains, and is equally suitable for training. Jensen Huang · Factual · 17 Mar 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mixed | Jensen Huang | Factual | 17 Mar 2026 | BYD, Hyundai, Nissan and Geely have joined the NVIDIA RoboTaxi Ready platform, with combined annual production capacity of 18 million vehicles. Jensen Huang · Factual · 17 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mixed | Jensen Huang | Promise | 17 Mar 2026 | NVIDIA is forming the Nemotron Consortium, investing billions of dollars to advance foundational AI model development. Jensen Huang · Promise · 17 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 17 Mar 2026 | Anthropic and Meta have officially joined the NVIDIA platform, together representing one-third of world AI computing power demand. Jensen Huang · Factual · 17 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mixed | Jensen Huang | Factual | 17 Mar 2026 | Over the past two years, computational demand for inference rose about 10,000 times while usage rose about 100 times. Jensen Huang · Factual · 17 Mar 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 17 Mar 2026 | Huang said he has always believed that computational demands increased a millionfold over the past two years, and he called this a feeling shared by OpenAI and Anthropic. Jensen Huang · Factual · 17 Mar 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly false | Jensen Huang | Factual | 17 Mar 2026 | Moore's Law might have predicted a 1.5x performance improvement for the H200, but NVIDIA achieved 35x. Jensen Huang · Factual · 17 Mar 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 16 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen's planned conversation with Toby Wilkinson has ancient and Ptolemaic Egypt as its topic. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 16 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 16 Mar 2026 | The Groq chip has 500MB of SRAM, while a Rubin chip has 288GB of memory. Jensen Huang · Factual · 16 Mar 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 16 Mar 2026 | Huang said that in about March 2025 he cited $500 billion of high-confidence Blackwell and Rubin demand through 2026, and that he now sees at least $1 trillion of demand through 2027. Jensen Huang · Factual · 16 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 16 Mar 2026 | In two years Nvidia raised token generation rate in a 1GW data center from 22 million to 700 million, a 350-fold increase. Jensen Huang · Factual · 16 Mar 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 16 Mar 2026 | 2026 is the 20th anniversary of CUDA. Jensen Huang · Factual · 16 Mar 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 16 Mar 2026 | The cloud price of Nvidia's Ampere GPUs, released six years ago, has increased. Jensen Huang · Factual · 16 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 10 Mar 2026 | On 2026-03-10 Pershing Square Inc. (PSI) filed to go public, along with Pershing Square USA, Ltd. (PSUS), a new closed-ended investment company managed by Pershing Square. Bill Ackman · Factual · 10 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Promise | 10 Mar 2026 | In the combined offering, investors in the PSUS IPO will receive PSI shares at no additional consideration (20 PSI shares per 100 PSUS shares bought). Bill Ackman · Promise · 10 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 10 Mar 2026 | Streetwise is now available for sale as of 2026-03-10. Bill Ackman · Factual · 10 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Michael Burry | Factual | 9 Mar 2026 | The Headstrong Project was founded in 2012 by a combat veteran. Michael Burry · Factual · 9 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Mostly true | Bill Ackman | Factual | 8 Mar 2026 | The mayor was not the target of the terrorists in the attack referred to in the post Ackman replied to. Bill Ackman · Factual · 8 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen said he was pretty sure new schools would make up below 1%, or certainly below 2%, of higher education. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | In the university sector there are some startups, but they are not significant. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | The Trump administration is already taking steps toward selling or pricing immigration access, though at too high a price. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Mixed | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | A large number of assistant deans have been hired at universities in the last 15 years. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | The human body cannot survive very well on other planets, other moons, or in outer space. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | Most Americans outside border areas do not feel they are losing their country, even if they think immigration is too high. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Mostly false | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | The World Bank seems weaker in relative terms, more displaced by private capital markets. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mixed | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | Hungary's birth subsidies boosted its birth rate for a while, before it fell back. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | Hungary spent up to 5% of its GDP on birth subsidies. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Other |
| Mostly true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 4 Mar 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a literary Conversations with Tyler episode with Henry Oliver, published by 2026-03-04. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 4 Mar 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | Anthropic has been the most forward-leaning of all AI companies in working with the U.S. government and military. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | As of the interview, Anthropic had received only a tweet and no formal supply chain designation or government action. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | The amount of computation going into AI models doubles every four months. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 28 Feb 2026 | Anthropic will be fine, and the impact of the supply chain risk designation on it will be fairly small. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Promise | 28 Feb 2026 | If Anthropic receives formal government action on the designation, it will review it and challenge it in court. Dario Amodei · Promise · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | It is not illegal for the government to buy data collected by private firms and analyze it in mass with AI. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | Anthropic was threatened with a supply chain designation and Defense Production Act action by the government, and publicly disagreed in response. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | The whole timeline of the dispute was driven by the Department of War, not Anthropic. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2026 | To Anthropic's knowledge, the supply chain risk designation had never previously been applied to an American company, only to adversary-linked firms such as Kaspersky Labs. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2026 | AI policy and governance |
| Mixed | Michael Burry | Factual | 27 Feb 2026 | Nvidia is investing $30 billion in OpenAI, and OpenAI is to spend 20+ billion on Nvidia chips. Michael Burry · Factual · 27 Feb 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 25 Feb 2026 | NVIDIA's customers are racing to invest in AI compute for AI factories. Jensen Huang · Factual · 25 Feb 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 25 Feb 2026 | Enterprise adoption of AI agents is growing very rapidly. Jensen Huang · Factual · 25 Feb 2026 | AI, the economy and work |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 25 Feb 2026 | Jensen Huang said in February 2026 that NVIDIA's Grace Blackwell with NVLink is "the king of inference today," delivering "an order-of-magnitude lower cost per token," without stating what that cost is compared with. Jensen Huang · Factual · 25 Feb 2026 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Delivered on time | Jensen Huang | Promise | 25 Feb 2026 | Beginning in Q1 fiscal 2027, NVIDIA will include stock-based compensation expense in its non-GAAP financial measures. Jensen Huang · Promise · 25 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 25 Feb 2026 | NVIDIA's H20 charges/(releases), net, were $4.5 billion in Q1 fiscal 2026 and ($180 million) in Q2 fiscal 2026. Jensen Huang · Factual · 25 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Guidance | 25 Feb 2026 | NVIDIA expects stock-based compensation in Q1 fiscal 2027 to have a 0.1% impact on non-GAAP gross margin and add $1.9 billion to non-GAAP operating expenses. Jensen Huang · Guidance · 25 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 25 Feb 2026 | The tax expense included in the table represents the impact of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). Jensen Huang · Factual · 25 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Michael Burry | Factual | 22 Feb 2026 | RCA stock fell about 98% peak to trough in the early 1930s, while radio's growth continued for many more decades. Michael Burry · Factual · 22 Feb 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 22 Feb 2026 | Tyler Cowen recorded a podcast with Jake Sullivan and Jon Finer, mostly on geopolitics, with a transcript available. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 22 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 18 Feb 2026 | Tyler Cowen appeared on the podcast of Rasheed Griffith and Diego Sanchez de la Cruz, discussing Latin America and Spain. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 18 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Tyler Cowen | Factual | 18 Feb 2026 | Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Joe Studwell, published by 2026-02-18. Tyler Cowen · Factual · 18 Feb 2026 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Michael Burry | Factual | 12 Feb 2026 | As Palantir prepared to go public in August 2020, its board awarded Alex Karp $1.1 billion worth of stock options. Michael Burry · Factual · 12 Feb 2026 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Daniela Amodei | Factual | 7 Feb 2026 | A lot of current AI models are very good at STEM. Daniela Amodei · Factual · 7 Feb 2026 | AI capabilities |
“Today, Pershing Square Inc. (PSI), an alternative asset management company, filed to go public along with Pershing Square USA, Ltd. (PSUS) a new closed ended investment company managed by Pershing Square.”
Bill Ackman, Pershing Square founder, on X 10 March 2026 Post by @BillAckman on X, 2026-03-10 (X)
On 2026-03-10 Pershing Square Inc. (PSI) filed to go public, along with Pershing Square USA, Ltd. (PSUS), a new closed-ended investment company managed by Pershing Square.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
True if, on 2026-03-10 (or a day either side, to allow for time zones and filing dates), Pershing Square Inc. filed a registration statement with the SEC for an IPO and Pershing Square USA, Ltd. (PSUS), a new closed-end fund managed by Pershing Square, also filed (or was covered in a joint or concurrent filing), as shown on SEC EDGAR or in an official announcement. Mostly true if both filings were made but a minor detail is off, for example the filing date is a few days earlier or one was a confidential draft submission that was announced that day. Mixed if only one of the two entities filed on or around that date. Mostly false if filings happened but at a clearly different time, for example weeks earlier in public. False if neither entity filed to go public around that date.
Evidence
- Ackman's Pershing Square Seeks IPO To Raise Up To $10B - Law360 Law360 · 10 March 2026
“Pershing Square Inc. founder and CEO Bill Ackman is looking to raise between $5 billion and $10 billion in a "combined" initial public offering by selling shares of a new closed-end investment fund alongside his hedge fund company, according to a Tuesday filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission”
- Pershing Files for $10B IPO as Vantage Deal Puts Insurance at Center of Ackman's Strategy Risk Market News · 10 March 2026
“Bill Ackman filed a registration statement Tuesday for Pershing Square USA, Ltd., his closed-end investment company targeting up to $10 billion in its combined public and private offering at $50.00 per share.”
- EDGAR Filing Documents for 0001140361-26-008532 U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR) · 10 March 2026
“Type: N-2 | Act: 33 | File No.: 333-294164 | Film No.: 26737065”
- Pershing Square USA, Ltd. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR) Own record
“(+) | To be filed by subsequent amendment.”
Reasoning
The SEC EDGAR index (E3) shows a Securities Act registration statement on Form N-2 filed by Pershing Square USA, Ltd., dated 2026-03-10. Law360 (E1) and Risk Market News (E2) both report a filing on Tuesday, 10 March 2026. E1 describes it as a "combined" IPO that sells shares of the new closed-end fund alongside Ackman's company. However, none of the evidence shows a separate registration statement filed by Pershing Square Inc. itself, and the EDGAR index does not name it as a filer. Pershing Square Inc. appears only as part of the combined offering, so the verdict is mostly true rather than true.
Cite this claim
Bill Ackman, “On 2026-03-10 Pershing Square Inc. (PSI) filed to go public, along with Pershing Square USA, Ltd. (PSUS), a new closed-ended investment company managed by Pershing Square.” (said 10 March 2026). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_3f8a51ccee70, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_3f8a51ccee70
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.