2,653 claims · page 6 of 27
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 10 Jun 2025 | The US debt-to-GDP ratio is over 100%. Ray Dalio · Factual · 10 Jun 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 5 Jun 2025 | Distillation of frontier models lets lagging companies narrow the gap at a fraction of the cost of developing their own AI independently. Dario Amodei · Factual · 5 Jun 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Promise | 5 Jun 2025 | Anthropic is unilaterally committing now to the step of embedding third-party evaluators, which it describes as the key step for verifying any pacing commitments, comparable to regulatory supervisors embedded alongside employees in banking. Dario Amodei · Promise · 5 Jun 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 5 Jun 2025 | Dario Amodei has worked on AI for the last twelve years. Dario Amodei · Factual · 5 Jun 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Jensen Huang | Factual | 19 May 2025 | NVIDIA's NVLink Fusion work is now flexible and open for anybody to integrate into. Jensen Huang · Factual · 19 May 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true | Nate Silver | Factual | 12 May 2025 | Winning the Senate in 2026 would require Democrats to win at least two states that are solidly red at the presidential level. Nate Silver · Factual · 12 May 2025 | Other |
| Delivered on time | Nate Silver | Promise | 12 May 2025 | The Silver Bulletin will not publish its official 2026 midterms forecast until at least a year after May 2025. Nate Silver · Promise · 12 May 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Nate Silver | Factual | 12 May 2025 | Democrats need a net gain of four Senate seats to win the Senate majority in 2026. Nate Silver · Factual · 12 May 2025 | Other |
| Resolved true | Nate Silver | Factual | 12 May 2025 | Susan Collins won re-election in Maine in 2020 even as Donald Trump lost the presidency to Joe Biden. Nate Silver · Factual · 12 May 2025 | Other |
| Mixed | Nate Silver | Prediction | 8 Apr 2025 | Children's toys will become much more expensive in the US because they are made in heavily tariffed countries such as Vietnam. Nate Silver · Prediction · 8 Apr 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Nate Silver | Factual | 8 Apr 2025 | The average US tariff rate on the rest of the world was at least 23% as of April 2025. Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Apr 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Nate Silver | Factual | 8 Apr 2025 | The two special elections held in early April 2025 were in extremely Republican-leaning, rural Florida districts. Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Apr 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Resolved true | Nate Silver | Factual | 8 Apr 2025 | Congress has the power to pass a law stopping President Trump's tariffs. Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Apr 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Resolved true | Nate Silver | Factual | 8 Apr 2025 | About 60% of Americans have investments in the stock market. Nate Silver · Factual · 8 Apr 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Prediction | 3 Apr 2025 | In the AI 2027 scenario, the government becomes extremely interested in AI and discusses nationalizing the AI companies. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 3 Apr 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 3 Apr 2025 | Through history, people have been reluctant to admit an AI is truly intelligent. Scott Alexander · Factual · 3 Apr 2025 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true | Scott Alexander | Prediction | 3 Apr 2025 | The authors of the scenario think coding is what will start the intelligence explosion. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 3 Apr 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Scott Alexander | Prediction | 3 Apr 2025 | In the AI 2027 scenario, as AI labs become more capable they tell the government, seeking government contracts and support. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 3 Apr 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Scott Alexander | Prediction | 3 Apr 2025 | In the AI 2027 scenario, the government sees via cyber warfare that AIs are as capable as the best human hackers but deployable at huge scale. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 3 Apr 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 3 Apr 2025 | Nvidia originally came from gaming. Scott Alexander · Factual · 3 Apr 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 3 Apr 2025 | Scott Alexander said he thinks the AI alignment community did not really expect LLMs. Scott Alexander · Factual · 3 Apr 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 10 Mar 2025 | Anthropic was the first AI company to have a responsible scaling policy. Dario Amodei · Factual · 10 Mar 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 10 Mar 2025 | Within a few months of Anthropic releasing its responsible scaling policy, the other AI companies all adopted similar policies. Dario Amodei · Factual · 10 Mar 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 10 Mar 2025 | US export controls may have the effect of stimulating China's chip development. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 10 Mar 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Resolved false | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 10 Mar 2025 | Within three to six months of March 2025, AI will be writing 90 percent of code. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 10 Mar 2025 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 10 Mar 2025 | Amodei said he thinks delaying Claude's release had real commercial consequences for Anthropic. Dario Amodei · Factual · 10 Mar 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved false | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 10 Mar 2025 | Within twelve months of March 2025, AI may be writing essentially all of the code. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 10 Mar 2025 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mixed | Dario Amodei | Factual | 10 Mar 2025 | Amodei's group measured AI scaling trends when models cost $1,000 or $10,000 to train. Dario Amodei · Factual · 10 Mar 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 10 Mar 2025 | Anthropic's models may reach AI Safety Level 3 in 2025. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 10 Mar 2025 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly false | Dario Amodei | Factual | 10 Mar 2025 | Dario Amodei thought one or two years before March 2025 that data limits were a very plausible blocker to AI progress. Dario Amodei · Factual · 10 Mar 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 10 Mar 2025 | Dario Amodei has supported export controls on chips for several years, before DeepSeek's model came out. Dario Amodei · Factual · 10 Mar 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mixed | Ray Kurzweil | Factual | Mar 2025 | AI hallucinations persist but are becoming much less frequent. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · Mar 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mixed | Ray Kurzweil | Factual | Mar 2025 | Kurzweil said that at about 10 billion connections neural networks started to do things. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · Mar 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly false | Ray Kurzweil | Factual | Mar 2025 | Exponential growth applies to every type of technology, not just computers. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · Mar 2025 | Technology |
| Mixed | Ray Kurzweil | Factual | Mar 2025 | More and more people from more backgrounds, including third world countries in Africa and South America, now participate in technological advances than previously. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · Mar 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mixed | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2025 | Many other companies' reasoning models on the market are trained primarily on math and competition coding. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 28 Feb 2025 | In the short run (about 6 to 12 months), AI will augment and increase coders' productivity rather than replace them. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 28 Feb 2025 | AI, the economy and work |
| Delivered on time | Dario Amodei | Promise | 28 Feb 2025 | Anthropic will launch web search for Claude very soon. Dario Amodei · Promise · 28 Feb 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2025 | Anthropic ran an experiment training a model to be helpful, honest, harmless and friendly. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2025 | Anthropic assessed that Claude 3.7 Sonnet is not yet at a stage giving a real and meaningful end-to-end increase in dangerous threat capability. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2025 | Amodei said he thinks AI coding is moving the fastest of all the areas of AI. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2025 | Amodei's earlier 10 to 25% figure referred to the chance of civilization getting substantially derailed. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2025 | The model sometimes gives a very short response because, when it knows it gains nothing from thinking further, it does not think for longer; a bound on how long it thinks is still described as valuable. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2025 | Anthropic trained Claude 3.7 to focus more on real-world tasks, as distinct from competition coding. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Prediction | 28 Feb 2025 | By the end of 2025, AI will do very serious things in coding. Dario Amodei · Prediction · 28 Feb 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 28 Feb 2025 | Anthropic's approach to reasoning models in Sonnet 3.7 emphasized different things from competitors' reasoning models. Dario Amodei · Factual · 28 Feb 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 22 Feb 2025 | The gap between conservative and liberal votes in the US House and Senate is the greatest since 1900. Ray Dalio · Factual · 22 Feb 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 22 Feb 2025 | The United States designs chips but cannot produce chips effectively. Ray Dalio · Factual · 22 Feb 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly false | Ray Dalio | Factual | 22 Feb 2025 | US life expectancy is five years lower than that of Canadians and of countries with equal income levels. Ray Dalio · Factual · 22 Feb 2025 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 22 Feb 2025 | About 3 million people (the top innovators) live in a US population of a little over 330 million. Ray Dalio · Factual · 22 Feb 2025 | Field building and careers |
| Mostly false | Ray Dalio | Factual | 22 Feb 2025 | Dalio said that over the past 30 years, US leaders have dealt with the recurring problem he was describing by completely ignoring it. Ray Dalio · Factual · 22 Feb 2025 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 22 Feb 2025 | Indonesia has the second highest happiness rating. Ray Dalio · Factual · 22 Feb 2025 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 22 Feb 2025 | 60% of Americans read below a sixth-grade level. Ray Dalio · Factual · 22 Feb 2025 | Field building and careers |
| Mixed | Ray Dalio | Factual | 22 Feb 2025 | China accounts for about 33% of world manufacturing, more than the United States, Europe and Japan combined. Ray Dalio · Factual · 22 Feb 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 18 Feb 2025 | The lack of understanding of how AI systems work is essentially unprecedented in the history of technology. Dario Amodei · Factual · 18 Feb 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mixed | Dario Amodei | Factual | 18 Feb 2025 | People outside the AI field are often surprised and alarmed to learn that AI creators do not understand how their AI systems work. Dario Amodei · Factual · 18 Feb 2025 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 18 Feb 2025 | When Anthropic was founded, its founders made mechanistic interpretability a central part of the company's direction, focused on LLMs. Dario Amodei · Factual · 18 Feb 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 18 Feb 2025 | Amodei said that "we" were able to provide a strong theoretical basis for having conviction that superposition was the right hypothesis to pursue; the surrounding text does not say who "we" refers to. Dario Amodei · Factual · 18 Feb 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 18 Feb 2025 | It became clear that superposition would be a central problem for language models, much worse than in vision models. Dario Amodei · Factual · 18 Feb 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 18 Feb 2025 | Modern generative AI systems are opaque in a way that fundamentally differs from traditional software. Dario Amodei · Factual · 18 Feb 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 18 Feb 2025 | Anthropic created "Golden Gate Claude", a version of one of its models with the Golden Gate Bridge feature artificially amplified, making it obsessed with the bridge. Dario Amodei · Factual · 18 Feb 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Dario Amodei | Factual | 18 Feb 2025 | Circuits, groups of features, allow researchers to trace an AI model's thinking steps. Dario Amodei · Factual · 18 Feb 2025 | AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true | Bill Gates | Prediction | 4 Feb 2025 | Some government policies affecting climate work will become less favorable than before. Bill Gates · Prediction · 4 Feb 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mixed | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 26 Jan 2025 | Political donations in Silicon Valley go 90 to 99% to one party. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 26 Jan 2025 | Substack started from scratch and declared up front that it would be a free speech platform. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Marc Andreessen | Prediction | 26 Jan 2025 | Andreessen said energy independence and large net energy exports are a matter of choice, and that he thinks the new Trump administration will choose to pursue them. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 26 Jan 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Marc Andreessen | Prediction | 26 Jan 2025 | The incoming Trump administration will do as much as it can through executive orders and then use legislation and regulatory changes for the rest. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 26 Jan 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 26 Jan 2025 | Marc Andreessen is a volunteer for the Trump administration when helpful, does not make its decisions and cannot speak for it. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mixed | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 26 Jan 2025 | The Stanford Internet Observatory was basically funded by the federal government to be a third-party censorship operation. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 26 Jan 2025 | The US Constitution requires Congress to authorize money to be spent by the executive branch. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 26 Jan 2025 | Under the current interpretation of appropriations, a president who does not want to spend appropriated money cannot decline to spend it. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly false | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 26 Jan 2025 | Getting Amish voters to the polls was one of the reasons Trump won the 2024 election. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 26 Jan 2025 | Incumbent universities, through accreditation, are in complete control of who gets access to federal student loan money. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 | Other |
| Mostly true | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 26 Jan 2025 | Marc Andreessen does not speak for DOGE and is not in charge of DOGE. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 26 Jan 2025 | The United States is the main place where the world's best and brightest foreign students get educated. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 | AI, the economy and work |
| Mostly true | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 26 Jan 2025 | The US is adding a trillion dollars to the national debt every 100 days, and it is now passing the size of the Defense Department budget and compounding. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mixed | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 26 Jan 2025 | The system that has been built for these people is paid for virtually 100% by taxpayer money. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 26 Jan 2025 | Marc Andreessen has made the argument in favour of high-skilled immigration and H-1B visas many times. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 | AI, the economy and work |
| Mostly true | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 26 Jan 2025 | Marc Andreessen joined the Facebook board in 2007. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 26 Jan 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 10 Jan 2025 | Zuckerberg controls the majority of the voting power at Meta. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 10 Jan 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 10 Jan 2025 | Requiring more confidence for takedowns will dramatically reduce the number of people whose Meta accounts are removed by mistake. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 10 Jan 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Prediction | 10 Jan 2025 | Changing Meta's content filters to require higher confidence and precision will reduce the vast majority of Meta's censorship mistakes. Mark Zuckerberg · Prediction · 10 Jan 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 10 Jan 2025 | Someone in Pakistan tried to get Zuckerberg sentenced to death, bringing a criminal proceeding over a Facebook picture of the prophet Muhammad. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 10 Jan 2025 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 10 Jan 2025 | Before Meta updated its policies, a statement calling for women to be excluded from certain combat roles could not be posted on its platforms because it called for exclusion of a protected category. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 10 Jan 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 10 Jan 2025 | Apple built a protocol for connecting accessories to the iPhone that is not encrypted (plain text). Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 10 Jan 2025 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 10 Jan 2025 | The body has redundant neural pathways to the hand because the ability to use the hand is very important. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 10 Jan 2025 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Mark Zuckerberg | Factual | 10 Jan 2025 | Zuckerberg said that there are emails and that the emails have been published. Mark Zuckerberg · Factual · 10 Jan 2025 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed | Jensen Huang | Factual | 7 Jan 2025 | NVIDIA Cosmos is the world's first world foundation model. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 7 Jan 2025 | On 2025-01-07, Jensen Huang announced NVIDIA's next-generation RTX Blackwell family, the GeForce RTX 50 series. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 | Technology |
| Mostly false | Jensen Huang | Factual | 7 Jan 2025 | NVIDIA DRIVE OS is the first software-defined programmable AI computer certified up to ASIL D, the highest automotive functional safety standard. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 7 Jan 2025 | NVIDIA fine-tuned Llama models and turned them into the Llama Nemotron suite of open models. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 7 Jan 2025 | NVIDIA Cosmos is trained on 20 million hours of video. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 7 Jan 2025 | NVIDIA's Blackwell chip is in full production as of January 2025. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly false | Jensen Huang | Promise | 7 Jan 2025 | NVIDIA's GB10-based Project DIGITS computer will be available around May 2025. Jensen Huang · Promise · 7 Jan 2025 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 7 Jan 2025 | NVIDIA invented the programmable GPU in 1999, six years after the UDA work described just before in the speech, and this started more than 20 years of advances in the GPU. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 7 Jan 2025 | Toyota and NVIDIA are going to partner to create their next-generation autonomous vehicles. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 7 Jan 2025 | The RTX 50 series Blackwell GPU has 92 billion transistors, 4,000 TOPS and four petaflops of AI, three times the previous-generation Ada. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 7 Jan 2025 | NVIDIA invented CUDA six years after 1999 (around 2005) to expose GPU programmability to a broad set of algorithms. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 7 Jan 2025 | NVIDIA invented neural texture compression and neural material shading. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Jensen Huang | Factual | 7 Jan 2025 | In the RTX 50 (Blackwell) generation the programmable shader can process neural networks. Jensen Huang · Factual · 7 Jan 2025 | Technology |
“it will also mean that we will dramatically reduce the amount of people whose accounts were taking off for a mistake, which is just a terrible experience.”
Mark Zuckerberg, Meta CEO 10 January 2025 Transcript of Mark Zuckerberg on Joe Rogan Podcast (The Singju Post)
Requiring more confidence for takedowns will dramatically reduce the number of people whose Meta accounts are removed by mistake.
Mixed Partly true and partly false in roughly equal measure.
The evidence is the person's or their organisation's own records.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
The test is whether, after the January 2025 enforcement changes that require more confidence before taking content or accounts down, the number of people whose Meta accounts or content were removed by mistake fell dramatically, meaning roughly halved or more, or a similarly large cut. Meta's Community Standards Enforcement / Integrity Reports, including figures on mistakes, appeals and restorations, count as official records. Independent reporting can corroborate or challenge them. True: data for 2025 shows a reduction in erroneous account removals of roughly 50% or more. Mostly true: a dramatic reduction is shown in enforcement mistakes overall (content takedowns), but not broken out for accounts specifically, or the reduction is somewhat below half but still large. Mixed: the reduction is modest (roughly 15–40%), or it applies only in some regions or surfaces, for example the US only. Mostly false: there is only a small reduction, or the reduction is asserted without supporting figures. False: the data shows mistaken removals stayed flat or increased, or credible reports show widespread erroneous account bans continuing at similar or higher levels.
Evidence
- Integrity Reports, First Quarter 2025 | Transparency Center Meta (Transparency Center) · 29 May 2025 Own record
“Since that announcement, we have taken steps to reduce the number of mistakes we make in the United States, cutting them in half for the time period of Q4 2024 to the end of Q1 2025.”
- Tech Giant Cuts Censorship Errors By 90% After Free Speech Pivot The Daily Caller · 11 December 2025
““Since we began our efforts to reduce over-enforcement, we’ve cut the global number of weekly enforcement mistakes by more than 90% across Facebook and Instagram,””
- Integrity Reports, H1 2026 | Transparency Center Meta (Transparency Center) · 19 March 2026 Own record
“Our rate of mistakes remained consistent during Q4 2025 with the exception of the number of false positives, which increased over 100% during a very brief period of the quarter due to a bug.”
- Integrity Reports, Third Quarter 2025 | Transparency Center Meta (Transparency Center) · 11 December 2025 Own record
“Of the hundreds of billions of pieces of content produced on Facebook and Instagram in Q3 globally, less than 1% was removed for violating our policies and less than 0.1% was removed incorrectly.”
Reasoning
Meta's Q1 2025 Integrity Report (E1) says enforcement mistakes were cut in half from Q4 2024 to the end of Q1 2025, but only for the United States. It gives no figure for accounts removed by mistake. The larger global figure, a cut of more than 90% (E2), is a statement in Meta's own voice reported by the Daily Caller, with no baseline or account-level breakdown in the quoted material, so it is the subject's own claim rather than independent data. E4 gives a Q3 2025 share of content removed incorrectly (under 0.1%), and E3 says the mistake rate stayed consistent in Q4 2025 apart from a brief bug-driven rise in false positives; neither shows a reduction for accounts. Under the criteria, a documented halving of mistakes that is shown only for the US, with no account-level figure, is mixed.
Cite this claim
Mark Zuckerberg, “Requiring more confidence for takedowns will dramatically reduce the number of people whose Meta accounts are removed by mistake.” (said 10 January 2025). Verdict: mixed. Reliability API, claim c_375d60804277, method 0.1.0+3f84d14d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_375d60804277
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.