2,653 claims · page 11 of 27
| Verdict | Person | Kind | Said | Claim | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostly true | Marc Andreessen | Prediction | 12 Jun 2023 | Andreessen said he thought the rate of AI technological improvement from mid-2023 onward would be very rapid. Marc Andreessen · Prediction · 12 Jun 2023 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly false | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 12 Jun 2023 | Outside the San Francisco Bay Area, AI development is overwhelmingly in Beijing and Shanghai. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 12 Jun 2023 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mixed | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 12 Jun 2023 | Hundreds of studies' conclusions on the benefits of intelligence all correlate with fluid intelligence, the ability to rapidly assimilate knowledge and use it to solve problems. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 12 Jun 2023 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Resolved true | Marc Andreessen | Factual | 12 Jun 2023 | The AI being discussed is not, strictly speaking, human intelligence. Marc Andreessen · Factual · 12 Jun 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 7 Jun 2023 | Rodney Brooks has taken many fully driverless Cruise rides at night in San Francisco. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 7 Jun 2023 | Balaji Srinivasan has created tweets, talks, podcasts, courses, articles and The Network State book. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ørsted | Factual | 7 Jun 2023 | Ørsted currently operates 15.5 GW of renewable energy assets, with 4.9 GW under construction. Ørsted · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 7 Jun 2023 | There is a community chat associated with the newsletter at balajis.com/chat. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Balaji Srinivasan | Factual | 7 Jun 2023 | Balaji Srinivasan's newsletter audience has more than 100,000 subscribers. Balaji Srinivasan · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Ørsted | Factual | 7 Jun 2023 | Ørsted was the first energy company in the world to have its science-based net-zero emissions target validated by the Science Based Targets initiative. Ørsted · Factual · 7 Jun 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Yann LeCun | Factual | Jun 2023 | Masked autoencoders are less successful with images and other continuous domains than with discrete domains such as language. Yann LeCun · Factual · Jun 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Yann LeCun | Factual | Jun 2023 | Probabilistic models require normalization and may become intractable for high-dimensional data. Yann LeCun · Factual · Jun 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Yann LeCun | Factual | Jun 2023 | LeCun's proposed AI architecture consists of multiple interconnected modules. Yann LeCun · Factual · Jun 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Yann LeCun | Factual | Jun 2023 | With probabilistic models, training is confined to loss functions derived from the negative log-likelihood, such as cross entropy. Yann LeCun · Factual · Jun 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Yann LeCun | Factual | Jun 2023 | All modules of the proposed architecture are fully differentiable. Yann LeCun · Factual · Jun 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved false | Jim Cramer | Prediction | 24 May 2023 | US politicians will cause investors to lose more money as the May 2023 debt ceiling negotiations drag on. Jim Cramer · Prediction · 24 May 2023 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 24 May 2023 | Brooks described hundreds of driverless cars with no humans inside as driving around San Francisco 'aimlessly' 24 hours a day. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 24 May 2023 | Technology |
| Resolved false | Jim Cramer | Prediction | 24 May 2023 | If the market follows the 2011 debt ceiling pattern, US stocks will fall about 12% from their level on 2023-05-24 to the bottom. Jim Cramer · Prediction · 24 May 2023 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Jim Cramer | Factual | 24 May 2023 | In 2011 the US reached a debt ceiling deal, but the standoff led Standard & Poor's to downgrade the US government's credit rating. Jim Cramer · Factual · 24 May 2023 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Jeff Bezos | Factual | 19 May 2023 | Jeff Bezos is part of a joint effort with NASA to land astronauts on the Moon. Jeff Bezos · Factual · 19 May 2023 | Other |
| Resolved true | Ray Kurzweil | Factual | 5 May 2023 | Kurzweil did not sign the open letter calling for a pause on AI more powerful than GPT-4. Ray Kurzweil · Factual · 5 May 2023 | AI policy and governance |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Promise | 20 Apr 2023 | Google DeepMind is creating a new Scientific Board, led by Koray Kavukcuoglu with representatives from across the orgs, to oversee research progress and direction. Demis Hassabis · Promise · 20 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 20 Apr 2023 | Zoubin Ghahramani will join the Google DeepMind research leadership team reporting to Koray Kavukcuoglu. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 20 Apr 2023 | Google DeepMind brings together DeepMind and Brain AI talent with Google's computing power, infrastructure and resources. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 20 Apr 2023 | On 20 April 2023 Sundar Pichai announced that DeepMind and Google Research's Brain team would join as a single unit called Google DeepMind. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 20 Apr 2023 | Eli Collins will join Demis Hassabis's leads team at Google DeepMind as VP of Product. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 Apr 2023 | Field building and careers |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 20 Apr 2023 | When DeepMind launched in 2010, many people thought general AI was farfetched science fiction decades away. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 20 Apr 2023 | Research advances from the Brain and DeepMind teams, from Deep Reinforcement Learning to Transformers, laid much of the foundations of the current AI industry. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 20 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Rodney Brooks | Factual | 18 Apr 2023 | Yejin Choi gave a "common sense" rebuttal on the TED stage in April 2023. Rodney Brooks · Factual · 18 Apr 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 7 Apr 2023 | OpenAI has openly declared an intention to have some future AI do our AI alignment work. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 7 Apr 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 7 Apr 2023 | Today one can email DNA strings to laboratories that will produce proteins on demand. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 7 Apr 2023 | Biosecurity |
| Mostly false | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 7 Apr 2023 | DeepMind, a leading AI lab, has no plan for AI alignment/safety. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 7 Apr 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 7 Apr 2023 | Yudkowsky said he did not sign the open letter because he thinks it understates the seriousness of the situation and asks for too little to solve it. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 7 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 6 Apr 2023 | Eliezer Yudkowsky has consistently refused for many years to publish AI timelines with detailed probabilities. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 6 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Prediction | 6 Apr 2023 | Paul Christiano will probably win his forecast disagreement with Yudkowsky on an AI getting IMO gold by 2025, with prediction-market odds then running around 30%. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 6 Apr 2023 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Resolved false | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Prediction | 6 Apr 2023 | The current AI developers will not try the alignment approach he described (filtering training data to nice examples and training on it). Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 6 Apr 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 6 Apr 2023 | Yudkowsky previously thought that building intelligence would involve multiple specialized systems. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 6 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Prediction | 6 Apr 2023 | AI alignment will not be solved within a few years. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 6 Apr 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Prediction | 6 Apr 2023 | GPT-5 will not end the world, with more than 50% of Yudkowsky's probability on that outcome. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · 6 Apr 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mixed | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 6 Apr 2023 | MIRI ran a Visible Thoughts Project that did not get enough funding or personnel and was progressing too slowly. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 6 Apr 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 6 Apr 2023 | In principle, the task of minimizing loss on predicting human text does not stop being improvable once a system is as smart as a human. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 6 Apr 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 31 Mar 2023 | Yudkowsky's TIME piece did not suggest nuclear strikes against countries refusing to sign a global agreement against large AI training runs. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 31 Mar 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | Transformers were the main architectural change that gave a non-linear jump in performance, compared with earlier approaches such as RNNs. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | As of March 2023, leading AI systems are being trained on computers that are connected to the internet. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | Beyond external performance metrics, there are no guardrails for determining what is inside current large AI models. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | The FLI open letter called for more AI research. Gary Marcus · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | The basic paradigm of machine learning currently in use is that a loss function can be defined only for things that can be evaluated. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Delivered on time | Gary Marcus | Promise | 30 Mar 2023 | Gary Marcus will speak at TED about short-term and long-term AI risk and what to do about it, in about two weeks from 2023-03-30. Gary Marcus · Promise · 30 Mar 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | The FLI open letter did not call for a ban on AI or for a permanent ban. Gary Marcus · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | Sixty years later, AI has made progress on a number of the earlier problems discussed, such as vision, though AI systems have not yet improved themselves. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 30 Mar 2023 | As of March 2023, none of the top AI labs is remotely transparent, AI governance basically doesn't exist, and there are basically no safeguards in place. Gary Marcus · Factual · 30 Mar 2023 | AI policy and governance |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 24 Mar 2023 | There have already been reports of contamination in GPT-4's training data. Gary Marcus · Factual · 24 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 24 Mar 2023 | The OpenAI and Microsoft GPT-4 papers reveal nothing about the model's architecture or training set. Gary Marcus · Factual · 24 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 24 Mar 2023 | Citing Ernie Davis, Marcus said OpenAI had begun to incorporate user experiments into its models' training corpus. Gary Marcus · Factual · 24 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 24 Mar 2023 | GPT-4 has not solved hallucinations, reliability or planning on complex tasks, as the paper's authors acknowledge for planning. Gary Marcus · Factual · 24 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Gary Marcus | Factual | 24 Mar 2023 | Gary Marcus said that on 2023-03-23 Microsoft had put out what he called a press release masquerading as science, which claimed that GPT-4 was an early (yet still incomplete) version of an AGI system. Gary Marcus · Factual · 24 Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mixed | Satya Nadella | Factual | 22 Mar 2023 | On 2023-03-22, Satya Nadella said GitHub Copilot is the first at-scale developer tool, and that "we" were going further that day, bringing Copilot past the editor into every aspect of the developer experience. Satya Nadella · Factual · 22 Mar 2023 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 9 Mar 2023 | Clement (@clmt) joined DeepMind. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 9 Mar 2023 | Field building and careers |
| Resolved true | Ray Dalio | Factual | 7 Mar 2023 | Ray Dalio has transitioned Bridgewater to new leadership. Ray Dalio · Factual · 7 Mar 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Mar 2023 | Yudkowsky previously expected AI progress to involve more distinct discoveries, rather than scaling an existing architecture. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Bill Gates | Factual | Mar 2023 | There is a robust debate in the computing industry about how to create AGI and whether it can be created at all. Bill Gates · Factual · Mar 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 24 Feb 2023 | OpenAI's Charter includes a clause about assisting other organizations to advance safety instead of racing with them in late-stage AGI development. Sam Altman · Factual · 24 Feb 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Sam Altman | Promise | 24 Feb 2023 | OpenAI will discuss in more detail, later in 2023, independent audits of AI systems before release. Sam Altman · Promise · 24 Feb 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Resolved true | Sam Altman | Factual | 24 Feb 2023 | OpenAI has a cap on the returns its shareholders can earn. Sam Altman · Factual · 24 Feb 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 23 Feb 2023 | Jeff Clune joined DeepMind. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 23 Feb 2023 | Field building and careers |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 20 Feb 2023 | As of 2023 the technology to offer polygenic scores to consumers definitely exists. Scott Alexander · Factual · 20 Feb 2023 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Scott Alexander | Prediction | 20 Feb 2023 | Scaling AI models will continue to produce gains, though less obviously than in the past five years. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 20 Feb 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 20 Feb 2023 | As of early 2023 nobody is talking about technological unemployment, because unemployment rates are historically low. Scott Alexander · Factual · 20 Feb 2023 | AI, the economy and work |
| Mostly true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 20 Feb 2023 | impute.me may provide the consumer polygenic score service Scott Alexander predicted, but it has made no public waves. Scott Alexander · Factual · 20 Feb 2023 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Prediction | 20 Feb 2023 | Training GPT-4 will cost $100 million. Scott Alexander · Prediction · 20 Feb 2023 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true | Scott Alexander | Factual | 20 Feb 2023 | In 2018 Scott Alexander partly abandoned his usual clear-resolution probabilistic predictions for rough guesses in his five-year predictions. Scott Alexander · Factual · 20 Feb 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 14 Feb 2023 | GitHub Copilot for Business is now available, as of 2023-02-14. Satya Nadella · Factual · 14 Feb 2023 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 7 Feb 2023 | Microsoft launched its AI-powered Bing and Edge search experience on 2023-02-07. Satya Nadella · Factual · 7 Feb 2023 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 2 Feb 2023 | Microsoft is adding new generative AI features to Viva Sales to help sellers close deals more quickly. Satya Nadella · Factual · 2 Feb 2023 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 1 Feb 2023 | Microsoft is bringing large language models, including OpenAI's GPT, to Teams Premium. Satya Nadella · Factual · 1 Feb 2023 | Technology |
| Mostly true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 1 Feb 2023 | More than one million researchers have used AlphaFold in the 18 months since DeepMind made it freely available. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 1 Feb 2023 | Science and research methods |
| Resolved true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Feb 2023 | Yudkowsky says that we do not know how to get goals into an AI system, and that gradient descent can cause systems to do a thing inside the distribution they were optimized over. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Feb 2023 | AI safety and alignment |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Feb 2023 | The technology underlying ChatGPT was published, if he recalled correctly, in 2018. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Feb 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mixed | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Factual | Feb 2023 | ChatGPT is not very good at long multiplication unless given the right instructions, in which case it can do it. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Factual · Feb 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Mostly true | Eliezer Yudkowsky | Prediction | Feb 2023 | Yudkowsky said he felt quite confident that the upper range of the untapped potential of ChatGPT-style systems is insufficient to outsmart all living humans and carry out the catastrophe scenario he worries about. Eliezer Yudkowsky · Prediction · Feb 2023 | AI capabilities |
| Delivered on time | Elon Musk | Promise | 26 Jan 2023 | Volume production of the vehicle under discussion will happen in 2024. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla FSD has accumulated about 100 million miles outside of highways as of January 2023. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | If 2023 has no major supply chain interruption, Tesla has the potential to produce 2 million cars in 2023. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Promise | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla's Cybertruck will have Hardware 4. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Promise | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla is increasing 4680 cell capacity by another 100 gigawatt-hours, as announced at Giga Nevada. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | Cybertruck will not be a significant contributor to Tesla's bottom line in 2023 but will be in 2024. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Guidance | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla expects to produce 1.8 million cars in 2023, possibly more if it gets lucky. Elon Musk · Guidance · 26 Jan 2023 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | Musk said Tesla was not committing to it, but he thought there would also be demand for the potential of about 2 million vehicles in 2023. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla thinks demand for its vehicles will be good despite a probable contraction in the overall automotive market. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Elon Musk | Promise | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla expects Cybertruck production to start maybe sometime in summer 2023. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true | Elon Musk | Promise | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla expects to use the Dojo computer operationally later in 2023. Elon Musk · Promise · 26 Jan 2023 | AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly false | Elon Musk | Prediction | 26 Jan 2023 | Hardware 3 will far exceed the safety of the average human driver, though not be as good as Hardware 4. Elon Musk · Prediction · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Elon Musk | Factual | 26 Jan 2023 | Tesla has raised the Model Y price a little bit in response to high orders. Elon Musk · Factual · 26 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Delivered on time | Satya Nadella | Promise | 17 Jan 2023 | ChatGPT will soon be available in Microsoft's Azure OpenAI Service, which is now generally available. Satya Nadella · Promise · 17 Jan 2023 | Technology |
| Resolved true | Satya Nadella | Factual | 16 Jan 2023 | Microsoft is partnering with The King Center to help preserve Coretta Scott King's legacy. Satya Nadella · Factual · 16 Jan 2023 | Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Resolved true | Demis Hassabis | Factual | 9 Jan 2023 | Nobel laureates Jennifer Doudna, David MacMillan, Paul Nurse and Venki Ramakrishnan joined the Isomorphic Labs Scientific Advisory Board. Demis Hassabis · Factual · 9 Jan 2023 | Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 3 Jan 2023 | China produces or processes most of the rare-earth metals used in electric vehicles. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 3 Jan 2023 | Economics and markets |
| Resolved true | Nouriel Roubini | Prediction | 3 Jan 2023 | China will respond strongly to US technological and economic containment rather than take it lightly. Nouriel Roubini · Prediction · 3 Jan 2023 | Other global risks |
| Mostly false | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 3 Jan 2023 | Food prices were already spiking before the invasion because desertification in many parts of the world limits the food supply. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 3 Jan 2023 | Economics and markets |
| Mostly true | Nouriel Roubini | Factual | 3 Jan 2023 | All the zombie institutions that survived because of negative interest rates, quantitative easing and credit easing now face rising debt servicing ratios. Nouriel Roubini · Factual · 3 Jan 2023 | Economics and markets |
“We have a clause in our Charter about assisting other organizations to advance safety instead of racing with them in late-stage AGI development.”
Sam Altman, CEO, writing on OpenAI's blog 24 February 2023 Sam Altman: "Planning for AGI and beyond" (LessWrong (mirror of OpenAI post))
OpenAI's Charter includes a clause about assisting other organizations to advance safety instead of racing with them in late-stage AGI development.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
Judged as of 2023-02-24. True if OpenAI's published Charter (2018) contains a clause saying that, if a value-aligned, safety-conscious project comes close to building AGI before OpenAI, OpenAI commits to stop competing with it and start assisting it, framed around late-stage AGI development becoming a competitive race without time for safety precautions. Mostly true if the clause exists but differs in a minor detail from the description (e.g. it is conditional on the other project being value-aligned). Mostly false if the Charter has only a general cooperation or safety statement without the assist-instead-of-race commitment. False if no such clause exists.
Evidence
- AI Lab Watch · 21 July 2023
“We are concerned about late-stage AGI development becoming a competitive race without time for adequate safety precautions. Therefore, if a value-aligned, safety-conscious project comes close to building AGI before we do, we commit to stop competing with and start assisting this project.”
- OpenAI's "Planning For AGI And Beyond" Astral Codex Ten · 1 March 2023
“We are concerned about late-stage AGI development becoming a competitive race without time for adequate safety precautions. Therefore, if a value-aligned, safety-conscious project comes close to building AGI before we do, we commit to stop competing with and start assisting this project.”
- Sam Altman has five new principles for OpenAI: Here's what's different from the 2018 charter - The Times of India The Times of India · 28 April 2026
“The 2018 charter had an unusual pledge: if a safety-conscious rival got close to building AGI first, OpenAI would stop competing and help them instead.”
Reasoning
E1 and E2 are two independent sources, both from 2023. They reproduce the same Charter text: concern that "late-stage AGI development" could become "a competitive race without time for adequate safety precautions," and a commitment to "stop competing with and start assisting" a value-aligned, safety-conscious project that comes close to building AGI first. E4 confirms that this pledge was part of the 2018 charter. This is exactly the clause the criteria describe for a true verdict, so the claim holds as of 2023-02-24.
Cite this claim
Sam Altman, “OpenAI's Charter includes a clause about assisting other organizations to advance safety instead of racing with them in late-stage AGI development.” (said 24 February 2023). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_1864d4035fa5, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_1864d4035fa5
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made. The same data is on Hugging Face under CC BY 4.0.