ClaimsRay Kurzweil

“This graph matches the available data for the twentieth century through all five paradigms and provides projections for the twenty-first century.”

Ray Kurzweil, essay author January 2001 The Law of Accelerating Returns (Kurzweil Library) archived copy

Factual AI compute, hardware and data

Kurzweil's computation growth graph matches the available twentieth-century data through all five paradigms.

Not researched Checkable, but outside the sample that was researched.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

Cite this claim

Ray Kurzweil, “Kurzweil's computation growth graph matches the available twentieth-century data through all five paradigms.” (said January 2001). Verdict: not researched. Reliability API, claim c_f5e4fdfdfd33, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_f5e4fdfdfd33

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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More factual claims by Ray Kurzweil

  1. Mixed Factual March 2025
    “But I got to 10 billion. It started to do things.”

    Kurzweil said that at about 10 billion connections neural networks started to do things.

  2. Mixed Factual 9 July 2024
    “the cloud right now is expanding exponentially. It gets twice as fast every year for the same money.”

    Cloud computing is expanding exponentially, doubling in speed every year for the same money.

  3. Mostly false Factual 29 March 2024
    “a 20 quadrillion–fold increase over 80 years.”

    Computation/AI capability has increased 20 quadrillion-fold over 80 years.

  4. Resolved true Factual 12 December 2002
    “It’s remarkable how long it’s lasted, but it wasn’t the first, but the fifth paradigm to provide exponential growth to computing.”

    Moore's Law (shrinking transistors on integrated circuits) was the fifth paradigm, not the first, to provide exponential growth in computing.

  5. Mostly true Factual January 2001
    “A computer can also remember billions or even trillions of facts perfectly, while we are hard pressed to remember a handful of phone numbers.”

    A computer can remember billions or trillions of facts perfectly, while humans struggle to remember a handful of phone numbers.

All of them

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