ClaimsMark Zuckerberg

“In the next five or 10 years, a lot of this is going to be mainstream and a lot of us will be creating and inhabiting worlds that are just as detailed and convincing as this one on a daily basis.”

Mark Zuckerberg, Meta CEO, keynote 28 October 2021 Meta (Facebook) Connect 2021 Metaverse Event Transcript (Rev)

Prediction Technology

Within five to ten years, much of this metaverse technology will be mainstream and many people will daily create and inhabit detailed, convincing virtual worlds.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

deadline 2031 is after 2026-10-29

Cite this claim

Mark Zuckerberg, “Within five to ten years, much of this metaverse technology will be mainstream and many people will daily create and inhabit detailed, convincing virtual worlds.” (said 28 October 2021). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_ea94d46a9875, method 0.1.0+3f84d14d, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_ea94d46a9875

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Mark Zuckerberg, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Mark Zuckerberg

  1. Mostly true Prediction 28 September 2023
    “I think Quest 3 is going to be the first device like this that millions of people are going to get that’s mixed reality.”

    Zuckerberg said he thinks Quest 3 is going to be the first mixed reality device that millions of people get.

  2. Mixed Prediction 10 January 2025
    “it will also mean that we will dramatically reduce the amount of people whose accounts were taking off for a mistake, which is just a terrible experience.”

    Requiring more confidence for takedowns will dramatically reduce the number of people whose Meta accounts are removed by mistake.

  3. Mostly true Prediction 10 January 2025
    “changing the content filters to have to require higher confidence and precision is actually going to be the thing that reduces the vast majority of the censorship mistakes that we make.”

    Changing Meta's content filters to require higher confidence and precision will reduce the vast majority of Meta's censorship mistakes.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 18 April 2024
    “This is only a matter of time but it's not going to be next year.”

    A 1GW data center will be built eventually, but not in 2025 (next year).

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.