ClaimsRay Kurzweil

“These new forms of solar and wind don’t use any of that.”

Ray Kurzweil, futurist, interviewee 9 July 2024 'The Singularity is Nearer,' Says Futurist Ray Kurzweil (Science Friday) archived copy

Factual Economics and markets

New forms of solar and wind do not use oil and coal or add carbon dioxide.

Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

What would count as true or false

Judged as of July 2024. True if solar and wind power generation does not burn oil or coal and does not emit CO2 when operating. Mostly true if operation is free of fossil fuels and CO2, but manufacturing, mining and construction use fossil energy and cause some lifecycle emissions that are small compared with fossil generation. In that case the claim is broadly right with a detail overstated, since the lifecycle emissions are not zero. Mostly false if solar and wind are shown to depend substantially on oil or coal, with lifecycle emissions comparable to fossil sources. False if they burn fossil fuels or emit CO2 when operating.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (5)

  1. E1 Annex III: Technology-specific cost and performance parameters (Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change, IPCC WG III AR5) IPCC Working Group III / Cambridge University Press · 2014

    “Table A.III.2 | Emissions of selected electricity supply technologies (gCO2eq / kWh)i”
  2. E2 [PDF] AR5 FOD Chapter 07 - Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPCC · 20 July 2012

    “The literature reviewed in this section shows that a range of technologies can provide electricity with less than 5% of the life‐cycle GHG emissions of coal power: wind, solar, nuclear and run‐of‐the‐river hydro power.”
  3. E3 Wind U.S. Energy Information Administration

    “Producing the metals and other materials used to make wind turbine components can also affect the environment, and fossil fuels may be used to produce those components.”
  4. E4 Electric Power Sector Basics | US EPA U.S. Environmental Protection Agency · 15 February 2022

    “Energy sources range from emissions-intensive (e.g., coal) to zero-emitting (e.g., nuclear, solar, wind, and hydro).”
  5. E5 Life Cycle Emissions Factors for Electricity Generation Technologies National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR, formerly NREL) NLR Data Catalog · 23 August 2021

    “This dataset consists of a table containing the distribution of literature estimates of greenhouse gas emissions for the following electricity generation and storage technologies: biopower, coal, concentrating solar power, geothermal, hydrogen storage, hydropower, lithium-ion battery storage, natural gas, nuclear, ocean, oil, photovoltaic, pumped-storage hydropower, and wind.”

Reasoning

The EPA calls solar and wind zero-emitting energy sources, so they burn no oil or coal and emit no CO2 when operating (E4). The EIA notes that fossil fuels may be used to make wind turbine components (E3). An IPCC draft puts lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions for wind and solar at less than 5% of coal power's (E2). That fits the "mostly true" criterion: operation is fossil-free, but small lifecycle emissions mean the claim overstates one detail.

Cite this claim

Ray Kurzweil, “New forms of solar and wind do not use oil and coal or add carbon dioxide.” (said 9 July 2024). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_e0b21dea1aa6, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_e0b21dea1aa6

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

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More factual claims by Ray Kurzweil

  1. Mixed Factual March 2025
    “more and more people from more and more backgrounds are participating, which didn’t used to.”

    More and more people from more backgrounds, including third world countries in Africa and South America, now participate in technological advances than previously.

  2. Resolved true Factual 9 July 2024
    “We actually have 10,000 times more sunlight that falls on the Earth than we need to meet all of our energy needs.”

    10,000 times more sunlight falls on Earth than needed to meet all energy needs.

  3. Mostly true Factual 29 March 2024
    “we make 10 times as much in constant dollars as we did 100 years ago.”

    People today earn about 10 times as much in constant dollars as 100 years ago.

  4. Resolved false Factual January 2001
    “These projections actually assume a fixed rate of growth of 3.5% per year for the next fifty years!”

    The projections being discussed assume a fixed rate of growth of 3.5% per year for the next fifty years.

  5. Mostly false Factual 4 June 2026
    “That was not true a year ago. But that’s true today.”

    Large language models being roughly 50% better than human doctors at diagnosing conditions and recommending treatments was not true a year ago but is true today.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.