ClaimsBalaji Srinivasan

“it may be possible for a suitably talented administrator to do the Plymouth Colony, then Massachusetts, then the US all within one lifetime.”

Balaji Srinivasan, author of essay on his site 11 November 2021 The Network State (balajis.com)

Prediction Philosophy, ethics and society

A suitably talented administrator may be able to found successive polities (like Plymouth Colony, Massachusetts, then the US) as iterated network states within one lifetime.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Speculative 'may be able' claim with no horizon.

Cite this claim

Balaji Srinivasan, “A suitably talented administrator may be able to found successive polities (like Plymouth Colony, Massachusetts, then the US) as iterated network states within one lifetime.” (said 11 November 2021). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_dc5378ae4478, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_dc5378ae4478

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Balaji Srinivasan, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Balaji Srinivasan

  1. Mostly true Prediction 31 March 2020
    “Censoring anyone (let alone a head of state) in this way will push people towards censorship-resistant platforms.”

    Censoring anyone in this way, let alone a head of state, will push people towards censorship-resistant platforms.

  2. Mostly true Prediction 13 March 2020
    “The second thing is people are going to lean harder into social networks and EA Sports and all of these online compliments or proxies for offline socialization.”

    People will lean harder into social networks and online games as proxies for offline socialization because of the pandemic.

  3. Mostly true Prediction 13 March 2020
    “this year is going to be it's kind of like, you know, during World War Two, many women enter the workforce and then even after World War two, a new normal had been reached.”

    2020 will establish a lasting new normal, as World War Two did for women in the workforce.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 27 August 2024
    “France may not be able to hold him prisoner for long.”

    France may not be able to hold Telegram founder Pavel Durov in custody for long.

  5. Mixed Prediction 25 March 2021
    “So the fear is that, if vaccines are eventually rolled out and if enough Americans take them, then by 2023 or 2024, people will be spoiling for a fight to go and beat up China as the one legitimated…”

    He said he feared that, if vaccines were rolled out and enough Americans took them, by 2023 or 2024 people would be spoiling for a fight with China as the one legitimated enemy.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.