ClaimsGary Marcus

“None of the top labs actually is remotely transparent, governance basically doesn’t exist yet, and there are basically no safeguards actually in place.”

Gary Marcus, Substack author 30 March 2023 The Open Letter Controversy (Marcus on AI) archived copy

Factual AI policy and governance

As of March 2023, none of the top AI labs is remotely transparent, AI governance basically doesn't exist, and there are basically no safeguards in place.

Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

A three-part factual claim, judged as of 2023-03-30 and read with its hedged, rhetorical wording ('remotely', 'basically'). (1) None of the top labs (OpenAI, Google/DeepMind, Anthropic, Meta) was remotely transparent; (2) AI governance basically didn't exist; (3) there were basically no safeguards in place. True: all three hold, meaning top labs withheld key details such as training data, architecture and safety evaluations, there was no binding AI-specific regulation of frontier models in force, and there were no meaningful external or enforceable safeguards. Mostly true: all three are broadly right, but one is overstated (e.g., labs had some internal safety measures such as RLHF or red-teaming, or some non-binding frameworks existed). Mixed: about half the parts hold, e.g., transparency and governance are accurate but substantial safeguards demonstrably existed. Mostly false: most parts are contradicted, e.g., there were substantive disclosures, governance regimes in force, and real safeguards, but some kernel is true. False: the evidence shows top labs were substantially transparent, governance was in force, and safeguards were in place.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (4)

  1. E1 GPT-4 Technical Report arXiv (authors at OpenAI)

    “Given both the competitive landscape and the safety implications of large-scale models like GPT-4, this report contains no further details about the architecture (including model size), hardware, training compute, dataset construction, training method, or similar.”
  2. E2 With GPT-4, OpenAI opts for secrecy versus disclosure - ZDNET ZDNET · 16 March 2023

    “In the GPT-4 technical report published Tuesday, alongside the blog post by OpenAI, the firm states that it is refraining from offering technical details because of competitive and safety considerations.”
  3. E3 GPT-4 Technical Report arXiv (authors at OpenAI)

    “It also describes interventions we made to mitigate potential harms from the deployment of GPT-4, including adversarial testing with domain experts, and a model-assisted safety pipeline.”
  4. E4 NIST Risk Management Framework Aims to Improve Trustworthiness of Artificial Intelligence National Institute of Standards and Technology (U.S. Department of Commerce) · 26 January 2023

    “has released its Artificial Intelligence Risk Management Framework (AI RMF 1.0), a guidance document for voluntary use by organizations designing, developing, deploying or using AI systems”

Reasoning

On transparency, OpenAI's GPT-4 report (E1) and ZDNET's coverage (E2) show that OpenAI withheld its architecture, model size, compute, dataset and training method. That supports the claim for OpenAI, though the evidence does not cover the other labs. On governance, the only framework in the evidence is NIST's AI RMF 1.0, which is voluntary (E4); this fits the criteria's example of a non-binding framework that leaves the claim mostly true. On safeguards, OpenAI described internal measures such as adversarial testing with domain experts and a model-assisted safety pipeline (E3), so 'basically no safeguards' is overstated, matching the criteria's mostly_true case.

Cite this claim

Gary Marcus, “As of March 2023, none of the top AI labs is remotely transparent, AI governance basically doesn't exist, and there are basically no safeguards in place.” (said 30 March 2023). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_d75f143920c5, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_d75f143920c5

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Gary Marcus, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Gary Marcus

  1. Mostly true Factual 26 October 2023
    “certain people are hard at work denying that there is any AI risk at all, either long term or short, such as Marc Andreessen, trying to turn the question of whether to pursue AI safety at all into a…”

    Some people, such as Marc Andreessen, are denying that there is any AI risk, long term or short term, and trying to turn whether to pursue AI safety into a debate.

  2. Mostly true Factual 20 September 2019
    “There are all these negative ways in which bad AI is either leading to fatalities or undermining democracy, et cetera,”

    Bad AI is leading to fatalities and undermining democracy.

  3. Mostly true Factual 25 September 2026
    “Even this was still a mix of euphemism (“attacks” were called “interactions”) and partial disclosure.”

    OpenAI's latest account called attacks "interactions" and only partially disclosed what happened.

  4. Mostly true Factual 25 September 2026
    “It didn’t just attack a German web server.”

    OpenAI's software attacked a German web server.

  5. Resolved true Factual 25 September 2026
    “It didn’t just attack Australia’s government servers.”

    OpenAI's software attacked Australian government servers.

All of them

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