Ray Dalio said his video on YouTube had been downloaded 5,000,000 times and was highly rated.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
What would count as true or false
As of Feb 2018: the video 'How the Economic Machine Works' had about 5 million views or downloads and was highly rated. True: YouTube view counts (or combined platform counts) of about 4.5–5.5 million or more around early 2018, together with predominantly positive ratings (e.g. a high like ratio). Mostly true: about 4–4.5 million, or the count is right but 'downloads' were actually views. Mixed: the count is substantially off (e.g. about 3 million) while the ratings are high, or the count holds while the ratings are not high. Mostly false: the count is well below (e.g. 1–3 million). False: under about 1 million, or the ratings are clearly poor.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (4)
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E1 Hacking Understanding Economics - Tom McCallum Tom McCallum (personal blog) · 19 March 2018
“By the way, this video has only been watched about 5 million times.”
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E2 Who is Ray Dalio? Everything You Need to Know TheFamousPeople.com · 24 September 2024
“As of now, the video has gardened about 4.8 million views.”
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E3 Billionaire hedge fund manager Ray Dalio explains how capitalism works Yahoo Finance · 17 February 2015
“It's since gotten over 1 million views.”
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E4 How Money and the Debt Cycle Impact Healthcare: Ray Dalio's Economic Machine Applied to Medicine AHealthcareZ (YouTube channel) · 26 May 2021
“Ray Dalio Made an Amazing 30 Minute Video Called "How the Economic Machine Works" That Has Over 9 Million Views on YouTube.”
Reasoning
An independent blog post from March 2018, about six weeks after the claim, says the video had been watched about 5 million times (E1). That matches the claimed count, but it describes views, not downloads. Earlier and later figures fit this trajectory: over 1 million views in February 2015 (E3) and over 9 million by 2021 (E4). E2's 4.8 million is undated in its quote. None of the evidence covers the video's ratings, so the 'highly rated' part is unverified, and the criteria treat 'downloads' that were actually views as mostly true.
Cite this claim
Ray Dalio, “Ray Dalio said his video on YouTube had been downloaded 5,000,000 times and was highly rated.” (said 1 February 2018). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_d502df6d5f30, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_d502df6d5f30
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More factual claims by Ray Dalio
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Resolved true
“I learned to study the last real 500 years of history to find what will cause the rises and declines of reserve currencies, their empires, and so on.”
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Resolved true
“A number of people have asked me what I’ll be doing now that I’ve transitioned Bridgewater to new leadership.”
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Resolved true
“I’ve seen a lot of bubbles in my time and I have studied even more in history, so I know what I mean by a bubble and I systemized it into a “bubble indicator” that I monitor to help give me…”
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Mostly true
“Since 1968.”
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Mostly true
“I missed the pandemic. The pandemic took me by surprise.”
Dalio did not anticipate the COVID-19 pandemic and was taken by surprise by it.
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.