ClaimsEliezer Yudkowsky

“My TIME piece did not suggest nuclear strikes against countries that refuse to sign on to a global agreement against large AI training runs.”

Eliezer Yudkowsky, MIRI researcher, op-ed author 31 March 2023 Pausing AI Developments Isn't Enough. We Need to Shut it All Down (MIRI (TIME op-ed))

Factual Their own work or organisation

Yudkowsky's TIME piece did not suggest nuclear strikes against countries refusing to sign a global agreement against large AI training runs.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

Judge on the text of Yudkowsky's March 2023 TIME op-ed ('Pausing AI Developments Isn't Enough. We Need to Shut it All Down'). True: the article does not call for nuclear strikes against countries that merely refuse to sign the agreement. For example, it calls instead for destroying rogue datacenters by airstrike and for accepting a risk of nuclear exchange in order to prevent large training runs, without proposing a nuclear first strike against non-signatories. Mostly true: the article does not literally suggest such strikes, but its wording (e.g. being willing to risk nuclear exchange) makes that reading reasonably available. Mixed: the text is ambiguous enough that careful readers are evenly split. Mostly false: the text comes close to proposing nuclear force against non-signatories. False: the article explicitly suggests nuclear strikes against countries that refuse to sign.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (3)

  1. E1 The Open Letter on AI Doesn't Go Far Enough TIME · 29 March 2023

    “Make it explicit in international diplomacy that preventing AI extinction scenarios is considered a priority above preventing a full nuclear exchange, and that allied nuclear countries are willing to run some risk of nuclear exchange if that’s what it takes to reduce the risk of large AI training runs.”
  2. E2 The Open Letter on AI Doesn't Go Far Enough TIME · 29 March 2023

    “If intelligence says that a country outside the agreement is building a GPU cluster, be less scared of a shooting conflict between nations than of the moratorium being violated; be willing to destroy a rogue datacenter by airstrike.”
  3. E3 The case for how and why AI might kill us all New Atlas · 31 March 2023

    “If intelligence says that a country outside the agreement is building a GPU cluster, be less scared of a shooting conflict between nations than of the moratorium being violated; be willing to destroy a rogue datacenter by airstrike.”

Reasoning

The op-ed's text calls for being willing to destroy a rogue datacenter by airstrike if a country outside the agreement builds a GPU cluster [E2, reproduced in E3]. Separately, it says allied nuclear countries should be willing to run some risk of nuclear exchange to reduce the risk of large AI training runs [E1]. Neither passage proposes nuclear strikes against countries that simply refuse to sign. This matches the 'true' example in the resolution criteria.

Cite this claim

Eliezer Yudkowsky, “Yudkowsky's TIME piece did not suggest nuclear strikes against countries refusing to sign a global agreement against large AI training runs.” (said 31 March 2023). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_d1a942918607, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_d1a942918607

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Eliezer Yudkowsky, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Eliezer Yudkowsky

  1. Mostly true Factual September 2025
    “I mean, as far as I know, I'm the person who originally made that argument.”

    Yudkowsky said that, as far as he knows, he was the person who originally made that argument.

  2. Resolved true Factual 7 April 2023
    “I refrained from signing because I think the letter is understating the seriousness of the situation and asking for too little to solve it.”

    Yudkowsky said he did not sign the open letter because he thinks it understates the seriousness of the situation and asks for too little to solve it.

  3. Mixed Factual 6 April 2023
    “MIRI has something called the Visible Thoughts Project, which did not get enough funding and enough personnel and was going too slowly.”

    MIRI ran a Visible Thoughts Project that did not get enough funding or personnel and was progressing too slowly.

  4. Mostly true Factual 6 April 2023
    “I have refused to deploy timelines with fancy probabilities on them consistently for many years”

    Eliezer Yudkowsky has consistently refused for many years to publish AI timelines with detailed probabilities.

  5. Mostly true Factual 6 April 2023
    “I previously thought that when intelligence was built, there were going to be multiple specialized systems in there.”

    Yudkowsky previously thought that building intelligence would involve multiple specialized systems.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.