ClaimsVinod Khosla

“Painting your roof white is better for the environment than driving a Prius or similar vehicle,”

Vinod Khosla, investor, speaking at TechCrunch Disrupt 29 September 2010 Clean Tech Investor Vinod Khosla: "Environmentalists Get In The Way" (TechCrunch) archived copy

Factual Technology

Painting a roof white is better for the environment than driving a Prius or similar vehicle.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

Judge as of 2010-09-29. The claim says painting a roof white gives a greater environmental (climate) benefit than driving a Prius or similar hybrid instead of a conventional car. True: credible studies (for example Akbari et al., or work from Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory or the US Department of Energy) estimate the CO2-equivalent benefit of a white or cool roof, over a comparable period, as larger than the emissions saved by driving a hybrid rather than a conventional car. Mostly true: the comparison holds for typical roofs or climates but depends on assumptions (roof size, climate, years counted). Mixed: estimates conflict or the result depends heavily on assumptions. Mostly false: the claim rests on a real study but takes it out of context, for example by comparing a large commercial roof with one car, or the comparison holds only in narrow conditions. False: credible estimates show the hybrid's benefit clearly exceeds a white roof's under typical assumptions.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (4)

  1. E1 [PDF] White Roofs Cool the World, Directly Offset CO2 and Delay Global ... LBNL Heat Island Group (Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory) · 10 November 2008

    “Akbari et al. estimate that so retrofitting 100 m2 (1000 ft2) of roof offsets 10 tonnes of CO2 emission.”
  2. E2 [PDF] White Roofs Cool the World, Directly Offset CO2 and Delay Global ... LBNL Heat Island Group (Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory) · 10 November 2008

    “The average world car emits about 4 tonnes of CO2 each year.”
  3. E3 Putting Rumors About Hybrids and Conventional Cars to Rest Audubon (National Audubon Society) · 11 August 2010

    “The Toyota Prius Plugin, for instance, gets up to 60 highway miles per gallon compared with the U.S. fleet average of 21.1 mpg, producing 60 percent fewer emissions over its lifetime.”
  4. E4 White Roofs and Global Warming: A More Realistic Perspective Dr. Roy Spencer (drroyspencer.com) · 28 May 2009

    “Comparing this to our goal — offsetting 3.8 Watts per sq. meter for a doubling of CO2 — we find you have only offset 1.6% of the carbon dioxide emissions.”

Reasoning

The evidence says retrofitting 100 m2 of roof offsets 10 tonnes of CO2 (E1) without saying whether this is a one-time or recurring offset. No item gives the tonnes a standard Prius saves compared with a conventional car: E3 gives only a lifetime percentage for a Prius Plugin against the US fleet average, and E2 gives the annual emissions of an average world car. Without these, the evidence cannot settle the comparison.

Cite this claim

Vinod Khosla, “Painting a roof white is better for the environment than driving a Prius or similar vehicle.” (said 29 September 2010). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_d0586ac9fa6f, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_d0586ac9fa6f

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Vinod Khosla, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

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All of them

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