ClaimsElon Musk

“So we expect to see deflation in our input costs most likely, which would then lead to, yes, better margin.”

Elon Musk, Tesla CEO, on earnings call 26 January 2023 Tesla Q4 2022 Earnings Call Transcript (Motley Fool) archived copy

Prediction Economics and markets

Musk guessed that if a serious recession occurred, Tesla would most likely see deflation in its input costs, which would lead to better margins.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

Prediction with no horizon and vague ('most likely'); no defined period to test.

Cite this claim

Elon Musk, “Musk guessed that if a serious recession occurred, Tesla would most likely see deflation in its input costs, which would lead to better margins.” (said 26 January 2023). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_c54898a2cbd2, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_c54898a2cbd2

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

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More prediction claims by Elon Musk

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  2. Mostly false Prediction 27 January 2026
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  3. Mostly false Prediction 30 December 2024
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  4. Mostly false Prediction 26 January 2023
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  5. Mostly false Prediction 26 January 2023
    “I think there would be demand for that, too.”

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All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.