Routine college bioengineering labs will soon be able to create pathogens more dangerous than nuclear weapons, as more sophisticated labs already can.

Cite this claim

Ray Kurzweil, “Routine college bioengineering labs will soon be able to create pathogens more dangerous than nuclear weapons, as more sophisticated labs already can.” (said January 2001). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_c436328b7fe4, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_c436328b7fe4

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

More prediction claims by Ray Kurzweil

1. Mostly false Prediction · May 2020

   “This is where combining AI with biotechnology is headed, and within several years all vaccine and medication development could be done this way.”

   Within several years all vaccine and medication development could be done by combining AI with biotechnology.

2. Mostly false Prediction · 3 June 2015

   “We're going to gradually merge and enhance ourselves.”

   Kurzweil predicted that humans will gradually merge with technology and enhance themselves.

3. Resolved true Prediction · 12 December 2002

   “Ten or 15 years from now we’ll go to the third dimension.”

   Ten or 15 years after 2002, computing will move to three-dimensional circuits as integrated circuits run out of steam.

4. Mostly false Prediction · January 2001

   “Computers will be able to read on their own, understanding and modeling what they have read, by the second decade of the twenty-first century.”

   Computers will be able to read on their own, understanding and modeling what they read, by the second decade of the 21st century.

5. Mostly false Prediction · January 2001

   “In line with my earlier predictions, supercomputers will achieve one human brain capacity by 2010, and personal computers will do so by around 2020.”

   Supercomputers will achieve one human brain's capacity by 2010, and personal computers by around 2020.

All of them