ClaimsMichael Burry

“The largest inflation adjusted valuation at pre-IPO of 1990-2000 was UPS at $119 billion, 92 years old at the time.”

Michael Burry, X post 8 October 2026 Post by @michaeljburry on X, 2026-10-08 (X)

Factual Economics and markets

The largest inflation-adjusted pre-IPO valuation of 1990-2000 was UPS at $119 billion, when the company was 92 years old.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

What would count as true or false

Judged as of 2026-10-08. True: data on 1990–2000 IPOs show that UPS (IPO November 1999) had the largest pre-IPO valuation, inflation-adjusted to about $119 billion (roughly $110–128 billion, allowing for different inflation indices and base years), and that UPS was about 92 years old, having been founded in 1907. Mostly true: UPS was the largest, but the adjusted figure is moderately off (within about 20%) or the age is off by one or two years. Mixed: UPS was the largest but the dollar figure is substantially off, or the figure is right but another company had a larger valuation. Mostly false: UPS was among the largest but not the largest, and the figures are distorted. False: UPS was not near the top, or its valuation was far from the stated figure.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (6)

  1. E1 UPS Goes To IPO Heaven CBS News · 10 November 1999

    “United Parcel Service traded at a 37 percent premium amid blistering volume Wednesday as the 92-year-old company's whopping $5.5 billion initial public offering rocketed out of the gate.”
  2. E2 UPS Packs a Wallop in Record Stock Market Debut Los Angeles Times · 10 November 1999

    “The stock sale instantly made UPS one of the nation's largest publicly traded companies in the world, and assigned it a total stock market value of $60.2 billion.”
  3. E3 Anthropic Valuation At $965B Could Swallow Domino's, Clorox, And 76 Other S&P 500 Firms, Burry Says Stocktwits · 6 October 2026

    “Burry contrasted that with the largest inflation-adjusted pre-IPO valuation of the 1990–2000 period: United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) at $119 billion, when the company was already 92 years old.”
  4. E4 UPS 1999 Online Annual Report United Parcel Service of America, Inc. (UPS)

    “After more than 92 years as a privately held company, UPS went public.”
  5. E5 Internet IPOs Conclude a Sensational Year in 1999 WilmerHale (compiled by Hale and Dorr LLP data) · 31 December 1999

    “This was primarily due to seven IPOs over $1 billion each during 1999 by non-Internet related companies, led by UPS ($5.47 billion), Goldman Sachs ($3.66 billion) and Charter Communications ($3.23 billion).”
  6. E6 UPS 1999 Online Annual Report United Parcel Service of America, Inc. (UPS)

    “During the course of the day, UPS sold 109.4 million shares of Class B Common Stock totaling $5.47 billion.”

Reasoning

E1 and E4 confirm that UPS was about 92 years old at its November 1999 IPO. E2 gives a total market value of $60.2 billion, and E5/E6 give the offering size as $5.47 billion. None of the evidence gives a pre-IPO valuation, an inflation-adjusted figure, or a ranking showing that UPS had the largest pre-IPO valuation of 1990–2000. E3 only repeats Burry's own claim, so the central point about the largest inflation-adjusted valuation cannot be settled from this evidence.

Cite this claim

Michael Burry, “The largest inflation-adjusted pre-IPO valuation of 1990-2000 was UPS at $119 billion, when the company was 92 years old.” (said 8 October 2026). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_b99fadad8fda, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b99fadad8fda

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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All of them

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