ClaimsDario Amodei

“it’s my guess that diseases like PTSD, depression, schizophrenia, addiction, etc. can be figured out and very effectively treated”

Dario Amodei, essay author 17 August 2015 Machines of Loving Grace (darioamodei.com)

Prediction Science and research methods

Amodei guessed that diseases like PTSD, depression, schizophrenia and addiction can be figured out and very effectively treated.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

A guess about future treatments within the powerful-AI timeline that has not yet elapsed.

Cite this claim

Dario Amodei, “Amodei guessed that diseases like PTSD, depression, schizophrenia and addiction can be figured out and very effectively treated.” (said 17 August 2015). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_b0197a4714e8, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b0197a4714e8

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Dario Amodei, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Dario Amodei

  1. Mostly false Prediction 23 September 2026
    “We believe AI for biology is on a similar exponential trend.”

    Amodei said that "we" believe AI for biology is on an exponential trend similar to the one he described for AI in mathematics.

  2. Mostly true Prediction 28 February 2026
    “We're gonna be fine. The-- the impact of this designation is fairly small.”

    Anthropic will be fine, and the impact of the supply chain risk designation on it will be fairly small.

  3. Resolved false Prediction 10 March 2025
    “where AI is writing 90 percent of the code”

    Within three to six months of March 2025, AI will be writing 90 percent of code.

  4. Resolved false Prediction 10 March 2025
    “And then in twelve months, we may be in a world where AI is writing essentially all of the code”

    Within twelve months of March 2025, AI may be writing essentially all of the code.

  5. Mostly true Prediction 10 March 2025
    “We may actually hit that this year”

    Anthropic's models may reach AI Safety Level 3 in 2025.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.