ClaimsRay Kurzweil

“Because that’s useful, but we can multiply that by ten, a hundred, a thousand, a million.”

Ray Kurzweil, interviewee 16 September 2022 Ray Kurzweil: Google's prophet of superintelligent AI who will not slow down (EDRM) archived copy

Prediction Technology

Humans will be able to multiply their neocortical capacity by ten, a hundred, a thousand, a million.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

No horizon was given; the prediction could come true at any time, and no evidence was gathered on whether it has.

Cite this claim

Ray Kurzweil, “Humans will be able to multiply their neocortical capacity by ten, a hundred, a thousand, a million.” (said 16 September 2022). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_a641c5f90788, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_a641c5f90788

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Ray Kurzweil, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Ray Kurzweil

  1. Mostly false Prediction 2001
    “Full immersion visual-auditory environments will be available by the end of this decade with images written directly onto our retinas by our eyeglasses and contact lenses.”

    By the end of the decade (the 2000s), full immersion visual-auditory environments will be available, with images written onto the retinas by eyeglasses and contact lenses.

  2. Mostly false Prediction May 2020
    “This is where combining AI with biotechnology is headed, and within several years all vaccine and medication development could be done this way.”

    Within several years all vaccine and medication development could be done by combining AI with biotechnology.

  3. Mostly false Prediction 3 June 2015
    “We're going to gradually merge and enhance ourselves.”

    Kurzweil predicted that humans will gradually merge with technology and enhance themselves.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 12 December 2002
    “Ten or 15 years from now we’ll go to the third dimension.”

    Ten or 15 years after 2002, computing will move to three-dimensional circuits as integrated circuits run out of steam.

  5. Mostly false Prediction January 2001
    “Computers will be able to read on their own, understanding and modeling what they have read, by the second decade of the twenty-first century.”

    Computers will be able to read on their own, understanding and modeling what they read, by the second decade of the 21st century.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.