ClaimsMarc Andreessen

“If they perform to my and others’ expectations, they are going to be highly valuable cornerstone companies in the global economy, eating markets far larger than the technology industry has historically been able to pursue.”

Marc Andreessen, a16z co-founder, essay author 20 August 2011 Why Software Is Eating the World (a16z) archived copy

Prediction Economics and markets

If the new software companies perform as expected, they will become highly valuable cornerstone companies in the global economy, addressing markets far larger than tech has historically pursued.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

Conditional, vague prediction with no horizon.

Cite this claim

Marc Andreessen, “If the new software companies perform as expected, they will become highly valuable cornerstone companies in the global economy, addressing markets far larger than tech has historically pursued.” (said 20 August 2011). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_9d77c109352c, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_9d77c109352c

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Marc Andreessen, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Marc Andreessen

  1. Mostly false Prediction June 1995
    “George Gilder's answer to this sort of question is that over time--let's say five to ten years--the Internet will essentially be free.”

    George Gilder predicts that within five to ten years the Internet will essentially be free.

  2. Mostly true Prediction June 1995
    “The catalog of resources on the Internet will be supported by advertising in the future.”

    Catalogs of Internet resources will be supported by advertising in the future.

  3. Mostly true Prediction 26 January 2025
    “They’re going to do as much as they can through executive orders, and then they’re going to do legislation and regulatory changes for the rest.”

    The incoming Trump administration will do as much as it can through executive orders and then use legislation and regulatory changes for the rest.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 26 January 2025
    “It’s purely a question of choice, and I think the new administration’s going to do that.”

    Andreessen said energy independence and large net energy exports are a matter of choice, and that he thinks the new Trump administration will choose to pursue them.

  5. Mostly false Prediction 2 September 2023
    “they have a law that looks like it may pass as soon as October that effectively bans AI inside the Eu.”

    The EU may pass a law as soon as October 2023 that effectively bans AI inside the EU.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.