ClaimsRay Kurzweil

“So at that rate, in about 10 years, we’ll be getting all of our energy that way, and it’ll keep getting cheaper.”

Ray Kurzweil, futurist, interviewee 9 July 2024 'The Singularity is Nearer,' Says Futurist Ray Kurzweil (Science Friday) archived copy

Prediction Economics and markets

If solar and wind energy keeps doubling every four years, all of our energy would come from those sources in about 10 years, and it will keep getting cheaper.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

deadline 2034 is after 2026-10-30

Cite this claim

Ray Kurzweil, “If solar and wind energy keeps doubling every four years, all of our energy would come from those sources in about 10 years, and it will keep getting cheaper.” (said 9 July 2024). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_9a6550e9dccc, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_9a6550e9dccc

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Ray Kurzweil, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Ray Kurzweil

  1. Mostly false Prediction January 2001
    “my prediction is that indeed these views will prevail, but only over time, as more and more evidence of the exponential nature of technology and its impact on the economy becomes apparent.”

    Exponential-outlook views of the economy will prevail gradually over the next several years, producing a strong continuing updraft for the stock market.

  2. Mostly false Prediction May 2020
    “This is where combining AI with biotechnology is headed, and within several years all vaccine and medication development could be done this way.”

    Within several years all vaccine and medication development could be done by combining AI with biotechnology.

  3. Mostly false Prediction 3 June 2015
    “We're going to gradually merge and enhance ourselves.”

    Kurzweil predicted that humans will gradually merge with technology and enhance themselves.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 12 December 2002
    “Ten or 15 years from now we’ll go to the third dimension.”

    Ten or 15 years after 2002, computing will move to three-dimensional circuits as integrated circuits run out of steam.

  5. Mostly false Prediction January 2001
    “Computers will be able to read on their own, understanding and modeling what they have read, by the second decade of the twenty-first century.”

    Computers will be able to read on their own, understanding and modeling what they read, by the second decade of the 21st century.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.