ClaimsMarc Andreessen

“The opportunity is more likely to be in the areas that people think are cult and fringe.”

Marc Andreessen, venture capitalist, interviewee 1 January 2018 The Tim Ferriss Show Transcripts: Marc Andreessen (#163) (Tim Ferriss blog) archived copy

Prediction Economics and markets

Entrepreneurial opportunity is more likely to be in areas people think of as cult and fringe.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Vague prediction with no horizon and undefined terms.

Cite this claim

Marc Andreessen, “Entrepreneurial opportunity is more likely to be in areas people think of as cult and fringe.” (said 1 January 2018). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_98ef93faefb9, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_98ef93faefb9

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

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More prediction claims by Marc Andreessen

  1. Mostly false Prediction June 1995
    “George Gilder's answer to this sort of question is that over time--let's say five to ten years--the Internet will essentially be free.”

    George Gilder predicts that within five to ten years the Internet will essentially be free.

  2. Mostly true Prediction June 1995
    “The catalog of resources on the Internet will be supported by advertising in the future.”

    Catalogs of Internet resources will be supported by advertising in the future.

  3. Mostly true Prediction 26 January 2025
    “They’re going to do as much as they can through executive orders, and then they’re going to do legislation and regulatory changes for the rest.”

    The incoming Trump administration will do as much as it can through executive orders and then use legislation and regulatory changes for the rest.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 26 January 2025
    “It’s purely a question of choice, and I think the new administration’s going to do that.”

    Andreessen said energy independence and large net energy exports are a matter of choice, and that he thinks the new Trump administration will choose to pursue them.

  5. Mostly false Prediction 2 September 2023
    “they have a law that looks like it may pass as soon as October that effectively bans AI inside the Eu.”

    The EU may pass a law as soon as October 2023 that effectively bans AI inside the EU.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.