ClaimsWarren Buffett

“For the next couple of years, the Civic is our only choice.”

Warren Buffett, Berkshire chairman 28 February 2001 Chairman's Letter (2000) (Berkshire Hathaway) archived copy

Prediction Their own work or organisation

For the next couple of years the Civic Auditorium will be Berkshire's only venue choice for its annual meeting.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

The evidence is the person's or their organisation's own records.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

True: Berkshire's 2001 and 2002 annual meetings were both held at the Omaha Civic Auditorium, with no other venue used or seriously available to Berkshire in that period. Mostly true: both meetings were held there, but the later record shows some other venue was briefly considered or available. Mostly false: one of the two meetings was held elsewhere. False: both were held at another venue.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (3)

  1. E1 Chairman's Letter Berkshire Hathaway Inc. · 28 February 2002 Own record

    “For at least the next year, the Civic, located downtown, is the only site available to us.”

  2. E2 Chairman's Letter Berkshire Hathaway Inc. · 28 February 2002 Own record

    “This year's annual meeting will be on Saturday, May 4, and we will again be at the Civic Auditorium.”

  3. E3 Chairman's Letter Berkshire Hathaway Inc. · 28 February 2002 Own record

    “Shortly, however, Omaha will have a new Convention Center with plenty of parking facilities.”

Reasoning

Berkshire's 2001 Chairman's Letter, dated February 2002, says the May 4, 2002 annual meeting "will again be at the Civic Auditorium" (E2). The word "again" in the 2002 letter implies that the 2001 meeting was also held at the Civic Auditorium, though the letter does not state the 2001 venue directly [E2]. The same letter says the Civic "is the only site available to us" for at least the next year, which supports the claim that no other venue was available (E1). Omaha's new Convention Center is described as coming only later (E4). All of this comes from Berkshire's own official annual report, and the 2002 meeting appears only as an announcement made before it took place, not as an independent record that it was held there.

Cite this claim

Warren Buffett, “For the next couple of years the Civic Auditorium will be Berkshire's only venue choice for its annual meeting.” (said 28 February 2001). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_9410f22ca586, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_9410f22ca586

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Warren Buffett, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Warren Buffett

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  2. Resolved true Prediction 4 May 2024
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  4. Mostly true Prediction 28 February 2002
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  5. Mostly true Prediction 28 February 2002
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All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.