The template section of Dalio's book on financial crises is 60 pages long.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
What would count as true or false
The claim concerns Dalio's 'A Template for Understanding Big Debt Crises' (2018). The test is the length of Part 1, the archetypal big debt cycle (template) section. True: that section is about 60 pages, within roughly ±10 (50–70 pages). Mostly true: 45–49 or 71–80 pages, or about 60 pages under a different but reasonable section boundary. Mostly false: 80–120 pages, or under 45. False: more than 120 pages, or the book has no distinct template section.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (2)
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E1 Book Review: Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises CFA Institute (Enterprising Investor blog) · 9 August 2019
“The key lessons are held in Part One, consisting of 64 pages on “the archetypal big debt cycle.””
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E2 pushing on a string edwardbetts.com · 31 March 2008
“A Template for Understanding BIG DEBT CRISES Ray Dalio Table of Contents A Template for Understanding Big Debt Crises Acknowledgements Introduction PART 1: The Archetypal Big Debt Cycle”
Reasoning
An independent CFA Institute review (E1) says the book's key lessons are in Part One, which runs 64 pages on "the archetypal big debt cycle." That length is within the 50–70 page range the criteria set for true. A third-party copy of the table of contents (E2) confirms the book has a distinct Part 1, "The Archetypal Big Debt Cycle." E1 reviews the book under the title "Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises," but the Part One it describes, "the archetypal big debt cycle," matches the template section the claim refers to [E1][E2].
Cite this claim
Ray Dalio, “The template section of Dalio's book on financial crises is 60 pages long.” (said 11 November 2018). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_8baa14e4ee11, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_8baa14e4ee11
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More factual claims by Ray Dalio
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Resolved true
“I learned to study the last real 500 years of history to find what will cause the rises and declines of reserve currencies, their empires, and so on.”
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“A number of people have asked me what I’ll be doing now that I’ve transitioned Bridgewater to new leadership.”
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Resolved true
“I’ve seen a lot of bubbles in my time and I have studied even more in history, so I know what I mean by a bubble and I systemized it into a “bubble indicator” that I monitor to help give me…”
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Mostly true
“Since 1968.”
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Mostly true
“I missed the pandemic. The pandemic took me by surprise.”
Dalio did not anticipate the COVID-19 pandemic and was taken by surprise by it.
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.