ClaimsEliezer Yudkowsky

“While building dams decreases the frequency of floods, damage per flood is so much greater afterward that the average yearly damage increases.”

Eliezer Yudkowsky, author of the chapter 2008 Cognitive biases potentially affecting judgment of global risks (UC Berkeley (hosted))

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Factual Economics and markets

Building dams reduces flood frequency but damage per flood becomes so much greater that average yearly damage increases.

Not researched Checkable, but outside the sample that was researched.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

Cite this claim

Eliezer Yudkowsky, “Building dams reduces flood frequency but damage per flood becomes so much greater that average yearly damage increases.” (said 2008). Verdict: not researched. Reliability API, claim c_8a4d3b137fbd, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_8a4d3b137fbd

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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More factual claims by Eliezer Yudkowsky

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  5. Mostly true Factual 20 April 2026
    “LLMs surely have neural circuits they learned to model text streams from fictional and nonfictional personas that are not lying, deceiving, cheating.”

    LLMs surely have neural circuits they learned to model text streams from fictional and nonfictional personas that are not lying, deceiving…

All of them

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