Ultimately drug testing will no longer need to be done on humans, because simulated biology will replace it.

Cite this claim

Ray Kurzweil, “Ultimately drug testing will no longer need to be done on humans, because simulated biology will replace it.” (said April 2022). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_7b2bda6a1079, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_7b2bda6a1079

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

More prediction claims by Ray Kurzweil

1. Mostly false Prediction · May 2020

   “This is where combining AI with biotechnology is headed, and within several years all vaccine and medication development could be done this way.”

   Within several years all vaccine and medication development could be done by combining AI with biotechnology.

2. Resolved false Prediction · 2001

   “With the revolutions in genomics, proteomics, rational drug design, therapeutic cloning of our own organs and tissues, and related developments in bio-information sciences, we will be adding more…”

   Within ten years of 2001, biotechnology advances will add more than a year of life expectancy every year.

3. Mostly false Prediction · 3 June 2015

   “We're going to gradually merge and enhance ourselves.”

   Kurzweil predicted that humans will gradually merge with technology and enhance themselves.

4. Resolved true Prediction · 12 December 2002

   “Ten or 15 years from now we’ll go to the third dimension.”

   Ten or 15 years after 2002, computing will move to three-dimensional circuits as integrated circuits run out of steam.

5. Mostly false Prediction · January 2001

   “Computers will be able to read on their own, understanding and modeling what they have read, by the second decade of the twenty-first century.”

   Computers will be able to read on their own, understanding and modeling what they read, by the second decade of the 21st century.

All of them