A superintelligent AI whose goal system operates in an unforeseen fashion may actively resist human attempts to correct it.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Reasoning
Hedged 'may' prediction about a hypothetical superintelligence with no horizon.
Cite this claim
Eliezer Yudkowsky, “A superintelligent AI whose goal system operates in an unforeseen fashion may actively resist human attempts to correct it.” (said 2008). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_786d3f1594cf, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_786d3f1594cf
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More prediction claims by Eliezer Yudkowsky
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Resolved false
“The current crop of people will not try it.”
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Resolved true
“Alignment will not be solved in a few years.”
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Resolved true
“even if GPT-5 doesn’t end the world, which I agree is like more than 50% of where my probability mass lies”
GPT-5 will not end the world, with more than 50% of Yudkowsky's probability on that outcome.
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Mostly true
“Most AI researchers will not want to make unFriendly AIs.”
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Mixed
“Beating GPT-4 on GI just forces OpenAI to release 4.5.”
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.