Nearly every job created since the last recession has gone to someone with a post-high school education.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
What would count as true or false
Judged as of 2019-05-17, using the best US labour-market data available then on net job creation since the 2007–09 recession (e.g. Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce, BLS/CPS), split by education level. 'Post-high school education' means at least some college, including an associate degree or postsecondary certificate. True: about 95% or more of net new jobs since the recession went to workers with education beyond high school. Mostly true: 90–95%, or the share is about 95% or more but the data cover a slightly different period or a measure close to the one stated (e.g. net jobs since the recovery began rather than since the recession). Mixed: about 75–90%. Mostly false: a majority but under about 75%, or the near-total figure holds only for a narrow subset (e.g. good-paying jobs only) and is presented as covering all jobs. False: half or less of net new jobs went to workers with post-high school education.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (2)
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E1 America’s Divided Recovery: College Haves and Have-Nots - CEW Georgetown Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce
“those with at least some college education have captured 11.5 million of the 11.6 million jobs created during the recovery.”
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E2 America’s Divided Recovery: College Haves and Have-Nots - CEW Georgetown Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce
“Over 95 percent of jobs created during the recovery have gone to workers with at least some college education, while those with a high school diploma or less are being left behind.”
Reasoning
Georgetown CEW reports that workers with at least some college captured 11.5 million of the 11.6 million jobs created during the recovery, about 99% (E1). It summarises this as over 95% of recovery jobs going to that group (E2). That share is above the 95% threshold. However, the figure covers jobs created during the recovery rather than net change since the recession began, and the evidence does not show the end date of the data. The criteria name this situation as mostly true.
Cite this claim
Bill Gates, “Nearly every job created since the last recession has gone to someone with a post-high school education.” (said 17 May 2019). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_692bf2976d6c, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_692bf2976d6c
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More factual claims by Bill Gates
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Mostly true
“Even with this complexity, the rate of improvement is already starting to be enough to disrupt job demand in areas like software development.”
AI's rate of improvement is already starting to disrupt job demand in software development.
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Mostly true
“Even lack of control that I thought would be many years from now, we’re seeing lack of control.”
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Mostly true
“Sometimes I do it if there’s three of us: Claude, ChatGPT and me, debating these things.”
Bill Gates sometimes debates topics in a three-way conversation with Claude and ChatGPT.
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Resolved true
“These are people who are super expert on the thing, going, well, maybe we won’t be able to control these things.”
Leading AI experts are saying humans may not be able to control these AI systems.
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Mixed
“There is no plan to ease the entry into the AI era.”
There is currently no plan to ease the entry into the AI era.
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.