ClaimsMarc Andreessen

“The trend toward hybrid and electric vehicles will only accelerate the software shift—electric cars are completely computer controlled.”

Marc Andreessen, a16z co-founder, essay author 20 August 2011 Why Software Is Eating the World (a16z) archived copy

Prediction Technology

The trend toward hybrid and electric vehicles will accelerate the shift of cars to software control.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

Prediction without horizon and with a vague causal claim about acceleration.

Cite this claim

Marc Andreessen, “The trend toward hybrid and electric vehicles will accelerate the shift of cars to software control.” (said 20 August 2011). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_68c90573bb1d, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_68c90573bb1d

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Marc Andreessen, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Marc Andreessen

  1. Resolved false Prediction 20 August 2011
    “In the next 10 years, I expect at least five billion people worldwide to own smartphones, giving every individual with such a phone instant access to the full power of the Internet, every moment of…”

    Within 10 years of 2011, at least five billion people worldwide will own smartphones.

  2. Mostly true Prediction 26 January 2025
    “They’re going to do as much as they can through executive orders, and then they’re going to do legislation and regulatory changes for the rest.”

    The incoming Trump administration will do as much as it can through executive orders and then use legislation and regulatory changes for the rest.

  3. Resolved true Prediction 26 January 2025
    “It’s purely a question of choice, and I think the new administration’s going to do that.”

    Andreessen said energy independence and large net energy exports are a matter of choice, and that he thinks the new Trump administration will choose to pursue them.

  4. Mostly false Prediction 2 September 2023
    “they have a law that looks like it may pass as soon as October that effectively bans AI inside the Eu.”

    The EU may pass a law as soon as October 2023 that effectively bans AI inside the EU.

  5. Resolved true Prediction 2 September 2023
    “Look, you're going to have Chinese AI.”

    There will be Chinese AI systems that embody Communist ideology.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.