Dalio said he thinks almost everybody is underweight gold, mentioning perhaps 10 or 15 percent as an allocation while saying he did not know the right figure.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
What would count as true or false
This is a claim about what Dalio said, judged against the record of his 25 October 2020 remarks. True: the transcript or recording shows him saying that almost everybody is underweight gold, mentioning roughly 10 or 15 percent as an allocation, and saying he did not know the right figure. Mostly true: the substance matches but a secondary detail differs (e.g. the figures he gave were somewhat different, or the hedge was phrased differently). Mixed: he said one part, such as underweighting, but not the figure or the hedge. Mostly false: he discussed gold, but the 'almost everybody underweight' statement was about a different asset or materially different. False: the record shows he did not make such statements.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (1)
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E1 Bridgewater on gold: 'It's wise to hold some of what central banks can't create more of' Kitco News · 1 October 2020
“Investor allocations to gold are relatively low compared to history, and particularly compared to prior periods of paper currency devaluation that ultimately created inflation.”
Reasoning
The only evidence, E1, is a Kitco article from 1 October 2020 about a Bridgewater report. It says investor allocations to gold are low compared with history. It is not a transcript or recording of Dalio's 25 October 2020 remarks. It does not show him saying that almost everybody is underweight gold, naming a 10 or 15 percent allocation, or saying he did not know the right figure. The evidence therefore cannot settle what he said on that date.
Cite this claim
Ray Dalio, “Dalio said he thinks almost everybody is underweight gold, mentioning perhaps 10 or 15 percent as an allocation while saying he did not know the right figure.” (said 25 October 2020). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_62c3c6d6ef38, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_62c3c6d6ef38
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More factual claims by Ray Dalio
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Mostly false
“That has been true through all history.”
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Mostly true
“So when we look at history, we see that in all such periods, all the fiat currencies go down, okay?”
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Mostly true
“It takes in about $5 trillion, so it spends 40% more than it takes in.”
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Mostly true
“you could still have financial problems, like the breakdown of the monetary system in 1971, okay?”
The monetary system broke down in 1971 while the United States was still a dominant power.
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Resolved true
“one-third of our debt is held by foreigners, so that’s a different thing.”
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.