ClaimsTyler Cowen

“The Biden administration relied much less on economists than the Obama administration did.”

Tyler Cowen, host 25 December 2024 Conversations with Tyler 2024 Retrospective (Ep. 230) (Conversations with Tyler) archived copy

Factual Other

The Biden administration relied much less on economists than the Obama administration did.

Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

The second judge said resolved true; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

Judged as of 2024-12-25. True: evidence shows that economists held markedly fewer or less influential senior policy roles in the Biden administration than under Obama, for example a less influential CEA or NEC led by non-economists, fewer PhD economists in top posts, and economists' advice reported to have been sidelined. Credible reporting or analyses must describe the gap as substantial. Mostly true: there is a clear decline in reliance, but 'much less' is somewhat overstated on some measures. Mixed: some indicators show less reliance while others show comparable reliance. Mostly false: reliance was similar, with only minor or anecdotal differences. False: the Biden administration relied on economists as much as or more than the Obama administration.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (4)

  1. E1 Why America gave up on economists Vox · 12 December 2025

    “Not so much anymore. Economists, Ezra Klein has written, were “simply far less influential” in the Biden administration, which turned instead to elite lawyers, activists, and the nonprofit world for expertise.”
  2. E2 Why are economists losing prestige? - Econlib Econlib (Liberty Fund) · 10 April 2021

    “Multiple economists, both inside and outside the Biden administration, told me that this is an administration in which economists and financiers are simply far less influential than they were in past administrations.”
  3. E3 Why are economists losing prestige? - Econlib Econlib (Liberty Fund) · 10 April 2021

    “Janet Yellen, the Treasury secretary, holds real weight in internal discussions, and so do some others, but economists are one of many voices at the table, not the dominant voices.”
  4. E4 Summers Pick Fits Obama’s Preference for Beaten Path Washington Monthly · 29 August 2013

    “An early surprise of the Obama administration was how much it looked like the Clinton administration, at least on the economics side. Summers was back. So were Tim Geithner, Peter Orszag, Jason Furman, Gene Sperling, Jack Lew and Mike Froman.”

Reasoning

E2 relays that multiple economists inside and outside the Biden administration said economists were "simply far less influential" than in past administrations. E1 repeats that description via Ezra Klein and adds that the administration turned instead to lawyers, activists and the nonprofit world. So the reporting describes the gap as substantial. E3 qualifies this: Treasury Secretary Yellen and some others held real weight, so economists were one of many voices rather than sidelined. E4 shows Obama's economic team drew heavily on Clinton-era figures such as Summers, Geithner, Orszag and Furman, but the evidence includes no structural comparison (CEA/NEC leadership, counts of PhD economists) and rests largely on one line of reporting, so "much less" is supported but somewhat qualified.

Cite this claim

Tyler Cowen, “The Biden administration relied much less on economists than the Obama administration did.” (said 25 December 2024). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_60f0a2282a80, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_60f0a2282a80

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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All of them

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