ClaimsNate Silver

“they added a wealth tax but didn't do anything to clarify, say, the presidential line of succession beyond VP.”

Nate Silver, writing on X 22 June 2021 Post by @NateSilver538 on X, 2021-06-22 (X)

Factual AI policy and governance

A group of scholars convened by Democracy to rewrite the constitution added a wealth tax but did not clarify the presidential line of succession beyond the VP.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

What would count as true or false

Judge against the published constitutional rewrite (by Democracy journal or the associated group) that the claim refers to, as it stood in June 2021. True: the document includes a wealth tax and makes no provision clarifying the presidential line of succession beyond the vice president. Mostly true: both hold but a detail is slightly off (e.g., the tax provision is a closely related progressive wealth levy, or the group/publication is slightly misidentified). Mixed: one of the two parts holds and the other does not. Mostly false: there is no wealth tax, though the succession point holds only in a narrow sense, or the document does address succession in a limited way. False: the document contains no wealth tax and does clarify succession beyond the VP, or no such project exists.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (9)

  1. E1 A New Constitution for The United States Democracy journal · 8 June 2021

    “Congress shall have the power and duty to impose a tax on income, wealth, and estates.”
  2. E2 A New Constitution for The United States Democracy journal · 8 June 2021

    “All residents with wealth in excess of two-hundred times the compensation of members of Congress shall pay an annual tax of no less than 2 percent of that excess wealth.”
  3. E3 The Democracy Constitution: The Deliberations Democracy journal · 8 June 2021

    “Our scholars debated for months, mostly over Zoom and via email, about the various aspects of this constitution.”
  4. E4 Dissent: Not Popular Enough Democracy journal · 8 June 2021

    “The proposed constitution gives a citizen-assembly a role in proposing constitutional amendments, but the citizens themselves are not empowered to make binding changes through referendum.”
  5. E5 A New Constitution for The United States Democracy journal · 8 June 2021

    “Congress shall have the power and duty to impose a tax on income, wealth, and estates.”
  6. E6 A New Constitution for The United States Democracy journal · 8 June 2021

    “All residents with wealth in excess of two-hundred times the compensation of members of Congress shall pay an annual tax of no less than 2 percent of that excess wealth.”
  7. E7 The Democracy Constitution: The Deliberations Democracy journal · 8 June 2021

    “Our scholars debated for months, mostly over Zoom and via email, about the various aspects of this constitution.”
  8. E8 The Democracy Constitution Democracy: A Journal of Ideas · 8 June 2021

    “This special symposium is probably the most ambitious project this journal has ever undertaken: the writing of a new constitution for our country.”
  9. E9 The Democracy Constitution Democracy: A Journal of Ideas · 8 June 2021

    “and five other legal scholars who served as “delegates” to our constitutional convention, who comment on different aspects of the process.”

Reasoning

The published Democracy journal constitution has a wealth tax: it gives Congress the "power and duty" to tax wealth and sets an annual tax of at least 2 percent on wealth above a threshold (E1, E2). E3, E8 and E9 confirm that the journal convened a group of scholars to write it. None of the evidence shows what the document says about presidential succession beyond the vice president. Because the evidence is silent on that half of the claim, it cannot be resolved under the criteria.

Cite this claim

Nate Silver, “A group of scholars convened by Democracy to rewrite the constitution added a wealth tax but did not clarify the presidential line of succession beyond the VP.” (said 22 June 2021). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_609b43cb7245, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_609b43cb7245

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Nate Silver, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Nate Silver

  1. Mostly true Factual 28 October 2026
    “He's actually not a DSA guy, but sort of a more left populist.”

    Abdul El-Sayed is not a DSA guy but is sort of a more left populist.

  2. Mostly true Factual 23 October 2026
    “Jocelyn Benson’s lead in the Michigan gubernatorial polls is about 4.2 points larger than Abdul El-Sayed’s in the state’s Senate contest”

    Jocelyn Benson's lead in Michigan gubernatorial polls is about 4.2 points larger than Abdul El-Sayed's lead in the Michigan Senate polls.

  3. Resolved true Factual 23 October 2026
    “In 2022, for example, Republican Phil Scott won Vermont’s gubernatorial race by 47 points, while Democrat Peter Welch won the Senate contest by 40 points.”

    In 2022, Republican Phil Scott won Vermont's gubernatorial race by 47 points while Democrat Peter Welch won the Vermont Senate race by 40 points.

  4. Mostly true Factual 8 April 2025
    “these are districts that are extremely red in rural parts of Florida.”

    The two special elections held in early April 2025 were in extremely Republican-leaning, rural Florida districts.

  5. Resolved true Factual 8 April 2025
    “Congress does have the power to pass a lot saying stop this.”

    Congress has the power to pass a law stopping President Trump's tariffs.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.