ClaimsGiveWell

“Excellent entries may lead to changes in how we allocate millions of dollars of funding, contributing to our ultimate goal of recommending programs that save or improve lives the most per dollar.”

GiveWell, unsigned organisational page 6 April 2022 GiveWell's Change Our Mind Contest (GiveWell) archived copy

Prediction Science and research methods

Excellent contest entries may lead to changes in how GiveWell allocates millions of dollars of funding.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

'May lead to changes' is a hedged possibility that can't be falsified.

Cite this claim

GiveWell, “Excellent contest entries may lead to changes in how GiveWell allocates millions of dollars of funding.” (said 6 April 2022). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_5a5e2b5a3520, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_5a5e2b5a3520

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For GiveWell, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by GiveWell

  1. Resolved true Prediction 6 April 2022
    “Due to limited research capacity, we likely won't be able to share a full response to all entries; it's time-consuming for us to write thorough responses, and we aren't sure how many entries we will…”

    GiveWell likely will not be able to share a full response to all contest entries, due to limited research capacity.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.