ClaimsRay Dalio

“I’ve liquidated positions to take risk off the table because certain things have happened and I’d say, listen, I just don’t know and I’d rather now take risk off the table.”

Ray Dalio, interviewee on The Tim Ferriss Show 1 February 2018 Tim Ferriss Show Transcripts: Ray Dalio (#264) (tim.blog) archived copy

Factual Their own work or organisation

Ray Dalio has liquidated positions to take risk off the table when certain events occurred and he was uncertain.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

What would count as true or false

True: credible accounts (Dalio's own writings such as 'Principles', Bridgewater letters, interviews, or press reports of Bridgewater cutting risk) document at least one occasion before February 2018 when he or Bridgewater liquidated positions to reduce risk because of events that made him uncertain. Mostly true: such de-risking is documented, but the details differ slightly (for example, it was done systematically by the firm rather than by him personally). Mostly false: the documented cases are of a different nature (for example only rebalancing with no risk-off liquidation tied to uncertainty). False: evidence shows he never did this, or his stated practice contradicts it.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (2)

  1. E1 CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin Interviews Raymond Dalio ... CNBC · 12 September 2017

    “Well, we always think about hedging risk. And there's a beta component to this. And what we think about is how to take it off the table, and you think of using of options, you think of hedges in terms of structures, in terms of gold.”
  2. E2 The Mistake That Nearly Ended Bridgewater | Ray Dalio's War Story — Ray Dalio CEOInterviews.AI · 7 October 2026

    “In 1982, a young Ray Dalio made a bold call: the world was headed for an economic collapse. Instead, the market hit bottom and launched the greatest bull run in history.”

Reasoning

E1 is a CNBC interview in which Dalio talks in general terms about hedging and taking risk "off the table" with options, hedge structures or gold. It does not record any specific occasion when he or Bridgewater sold positions because events left him uncertain. The interview only carries his own words, so it counts as his own statement rather than independent confirmation. E2 is about a wrong 1982 bet on economic collapse and says nothing about selling positions to reduce risk, so the evidence does not settle the claim.

Cite this claim

Ray Dalio, “Ray Dalio has liquidated positions to take risk off the table when certain events occurred and he was uncertain.” (said 1 February 2018). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_57ae1c8420a3, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_57ae1c8420a3

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Ray Dalio, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Ray Dalio

  1. Resolved true Factual 9 May 2026
    “I learned to study the last real 500 years of history to find what will cause the rises and declines of reserve currencies, their empires, and so on.”

    Ray Dalio studied roughly the last 500 years of history to find what causes the rise and decline of reserve currencies and empires.

  2. Resolved true Factual 7 March 2023
    “A number of people have asked me what I’ll be doing now that I’ve transitioned Bridgewater to new leadership.”

    Ray Dalio has transitioned Bridgewater to new leadership.

  3. Resolved true Factual 22 March 2021
    “I’ve seen a lot of bubbles in my time and I have studied even more in history, so I know what I mean by a bubble and I systemized it into a “bubble indicator” that I monitor to help give me…”

    Ray Dalio has systemized his definition of a bubble into a "bubble indicator" that he monitors for each market.

  4. Mostly true Factual 25 October 2020
    “Since 1968.”

    Ray Dalio has practiced meditation since 1968.

  5. Mostly true Factual 25 October 2020
    “I missed the pandemic. The pandemic took me by surprise.”

    Dalio did not anticipate the COVID-19 pandemic and was taken by surprise by it.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.