Public trust in the US Supreme Court is way down in polls as of June 2022.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
What would count as true or false
Judged as of June 2022. The claim is that public trust or confidence in the US Supreme Court had fallen sharply in polls. True: major polls from around that time (e.g. Gallup's June 2022 confidence survey, Pew, Marquette) show a substantial fall in confidence or approval, to record or near-record lows, compared with prior years. Mostly true: the polls show a clear decline that is moderate rather than steep, or the decline appears in most polls but not all. Mixed: the polls disagree, with some showing large falls and others little change. Mostly false: the declines were small and within the normal range. False: polls showed trust stable or rising.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (4)
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E1 Confidence in U.S. Supreme Court Sinks to Historic Low Gallup · 23 June 2022
“Twenty-five percent of U.S. adults say they have "a great deal" or "quite a lot" of confidence in the U.S. Supreme Court, down from 36% a year ago and five percentage points lower than the previous low recorded in 2014.”
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E2 Confidence in U.S. Supreme Court Sinks to Historic Low Gallup · 23 June 2022
“Confidence in the Supreme Court is down by double digits among both Democrats (30% to 13%) and independents (40% to 25%) this year, but it is essentially unchanged among Republicans (37% to 39%).”
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E3 Confidence in U.S. Institutions Down; Average at New Low Gallup · 5 July 2022
“The largest declines in confidence are 11 percentage points for the Supreme Court -- as reported in late June before the court issued controversial rulings on gun laws and abortion”
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E4 Public’s Views of Supreme Court Turned More Negative Before News of Breyer’s Retirement Pew Research Center · 2 February 2022
“Over the past three years, the share of adults with a favorable view of the court has declined 15 percentage points”
Reasoning
Gallup's June 2022 survey found confidence in the Supreme Court fell to a record low of 25%, down from 36% a year earlier and below the previous low from 2014 (E1, E3). The drop was double-digit among Democrats and independents (E2). Pew reported a separate 15-point fall in favorable views over three years as of early 2022 (E4). Independent polls show a large decline, with Gallup's confidence measure at a record low [E1] and Pew reporting a 15-point fall in favorability over three years [E4], which meets the criteria for true.
Cite this claim
Nate Silver, “Public trust in the US Supreme Court is way down in polls as of June 2022.” (said 24 June 2022). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_52b09801c370, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_52b09801c370
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
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Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.