The 21st century will see about 20,000 years of progress at today's rate, a thousand times the 20th century.

Cite this claim

Ray Kurzweil, “The 21st century will see about 20,000 years of progress at today's rate, a thousand times the 20th century.” (said 12 December 2002). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_4fa96c7587f0, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_4fa96c7587f0

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

More prediction claims by Ray Kurzweil

1. Mostly false Prediction · 2001

   “Full immersion visual-auditory environments will be available by the end of this decade with images written directly onto our retinas by our eyeglasses and contact lenses.”

   By the end of the decade (the 2000s), full immersion visual-auditory environments will be available, with images written onto the retinas by eyeglasses and contact lenses.

2. Mostly false Prediction · May 2020

   “This is where combining AI with biotechnology is headed, and within several years all vaccine and medication development could be done this way.”

   Within several years all vaccine and medication development could be done by combining AI with biotechnology.

3. Mostly false Prediction · 3 June 2015

   “We're going to gradually merge and enhance ourselves.”

   Kurzweil predicted that humans will gradually merge with technology and enhance themselves.

4. Resolved true Prediction · 12 December 2002

   “Ten or 15 years from now we’ll go to the third dimension.”

   Ten or 15 years after 2002, computing will move to three-dimensional circuits as integrated circuits run out of steam.

5. Mostly false Prediction · January 2001

   “Computers will be able to read on their own, understanding and modeling what they have read, by the second decade of the twenty-first century.”

   Computers will be able to read on their own, understanding and modeling what they read, by the second decade of the 21st century.

All of them