Within a few years, AI models will exceed the highest professional human level in skill.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Reasoning
'Within a few years' and 'highest professional human level in skill' are too vague to test.
Cite this claim
Dario Amodei, “Within a few years, AI models will exceed the highest professional human level in skill.” (said 11 November 2024). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_47c7344032bc, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_47c7344032bc
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
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“We're gonna be fine. The-- the impact of this designation is fairly small.”
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.